1412 Gillespie Ave · Albany, GA 31707

$74,900

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1957 10,454 sqft lot Est $132k · 43% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.8/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits with this spacious 3 bedroom, 3 bath home offering multiple living areas and plenty of flexibility. The floor plan features a living room, den, and additional gathering space that can be used as a family room, home office, or recreation area. Enjoy relaxing on the screened patio overlooking the backyard. The home has benefited from updates to major systems, including the roof and HVAC. Whether you're searching for an affordable primary residence, starter home, or investment property, this home offers excellent value and endless potential. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own.

Key facts

• Screened patio
• 0.24 acre lot
• Built 1957

Tags

• MULTIPLE LIVING AREAS
• SCREENED PATIO
• UPDATES TO MAJOR SYSTEMS

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

• Parking: Carport
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available on property
• Home design: Single-family house; One-level home; Resale property
• Construction: Built in 1957; Aluminum siding; Composition roof; No basement
• Exterior features: Screened patio/porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
• Flooring: Hardwood
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Den; Other interior features
• Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
• Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: West Town Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 337 students, 100% FRL); Radium Springs Middle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #462 of 470 statewide, top 99%, 919 students, 100% FRL); Monroe High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #421 of 424 statewide, top 100%, 1,078 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $74,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.75% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.09%
• DSCR: 2.34
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $132,000
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1906 W Whitney Ave	0.70mi	3/1.0	1,736 (-13%)	4mo	$114,250	$66	33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.35×
• Total profit: $28,292
• Equity at exit: $11,168

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.74×
• Total profit: $99,310
• Equity at exit: $6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31707

• Rents YoY: 9.4%
• Active inventory: 184
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,309 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$84 /mo · $1,009/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$275
• Net cashflow: $526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $643

Max offer price $74,900

Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,725
• Closing costs: $2,247
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
612 Florence Dr Albany, GA	3.0	1.0	1428	$1,200	$0.84	21d	1	0.99mi

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-15
   statusdays on market $74,900 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-14
   days on market $74,900 New 12 DOM
3. 2026-06-13
   days on market $74,900 New 11 DOM
4. 2026-06-10
   days on market $74,900 New 9 DOM
5. 2026-06-09
   days on market $74,900 New 8 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $74,900 New 7 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $74,900 New 6 DOM
8. 2026-06-05
   days on market $74,900 New 3 DOM
9. 2026-06-02
   remarks 612-char remark
10. 2026-06-02
    listed $74,900 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,009 · $84/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,009 · $84/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,706
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,196
• − Property taxes: −$1,009
• − Insurance: −$374
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,257
• − Management: −$1,257
• − Depreciation: −$2,179
• Taxable income: $5,436
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,305
• After-tax cash flow: $5,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dougherty County
• NCES district ID: 1301830
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $33,105
• Composite: 11.31/100
• National rank: #9716
• State rank: #163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #371
• US rank: #18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Albany, GA
• County: Dougherty County · 89,040 people
• City population: 89,040
• Metro: Albany, GA
• Population (ZIP): 22,679
• Household income: $50,862
• Rent vs Own: 57.3% rent · 42.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1572.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 84,551 people
• By 2030: 80,637 · -4.6%
• By 2040: 72,090 · -14.7%
• By 2050: 64,056 · -24.2%
• By 2075: 46,332 · -45.2%
• By 2100: 33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 63% White 31% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -130.86%
• Current HPI: 173.4443
• Rent YoY: ▲ 9.39%
• Metro: Albany, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $74,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,009 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.