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80370 Royal Aberdeen Dr
D Composite 40.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$449,950

80370 Royal Aberdeen Dr · Indio, CA 92201
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 2000 7,841 sqft lot $223/sqft · 21% below area Est $572k · 21% under $600/mo HOA · 15% of rent ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Clean, well-maintained. and move-in ready! This Carnoustie model home is located in the highly desirable 55+ guard-gated community of Heritage Palms Country Club. Offering approximately 2,020 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, plus a den/office, this home features a spacious layout, golf course/greenbelt setting, mountain views, and a 2-car plus golf cart garage. Located on the north side of Heritage Palms near the Fred Waring entrance, this well-maintained corner lot home offers convenient access to all the resort-style amenities the community is known for. Heritage Palms residents enjoy golf, clubhouse, restaurant, pools, fitness center, pickleball, tennis, and an active resort-style

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • Active lifestyle
  • Golf course setting

Tags

GUARD GATED COMMUNITYGOLF COURSE SETTINGMOUNTAIN VIEWSCORNER LOTRESORT STYLE AMENITIESACTIVE LIFESTYLE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in a suburban community; Directions reference: community entrance at Fred Waring Dr & Jefferson St
  • HOA & community: Part of Heritage Palms association; Monthly association fee of $600; Association amenities include gym/exercise room, pickleball, tennis, golf, clubhouse, controlled access; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 parking spaces total
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District / public water
  • Home design: Single-story house; Entry at front
  • Construction: Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: House (no common walls); Community pool; Has a view; Lot described as 0-1 Unit/Acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: One-level home with front entry; Main level has 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-521 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $358k (20.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $410k (8.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $358k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carrillo Ranch Elementary (492 students, 81% FRL); Colonel Mitchell Paige Middle (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #474 of 498 statewide, top 99%, 436 students, 74% FRL); La Quinta High (math 31% / reading 65%, grade D, #380 of 1,170 statewide, top 33%, 2,500 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desert Sands Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,099/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2036% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $357,865 (20.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.97%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$571,557
List price
$449,950
Delta
-21.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
80405 Portobello Dr 0.12mi 2/2.0 2,020 (0%) 2mo $470,000 $233 93
80729 Braemar Ct 0.28mi 2/2.0 2,061 (+2%) 3mo $457,000 $222 81
43328 Heritage Palms Dr N 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,885 (-7%) 2mo $599,000 $318 78
44075 Royal Troon Dr 0.45mi 2/2.0 2,052 (+2%) 2mo $360,000 $175 75
80190 Royal Birkdale 0.57mi 2/2.0 2,061 (+2%) 2mo $460,000 $223 68
44110 Royal Troon Dr 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,885 (-7%) 1mo $385,000 $204 61
44382 Royal Lytham Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,079 (+3%) 2mo $560,000 $269 59
44327 Royal Lytham Dr 0.52mi 2/2.5 2,172 (+8%) 3mo $695,000 $320 59
44601 S Heritage Palms Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,827 (-10%) 0mo $555,000 $304 58
80717 Turnberry Ct 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,720 (-15%) 3mo $397,500 $231 58
80534 Knightswood Rd 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,766 (-13%) 2mo $590,000 $334 56
44584 S Heritage Palms Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,258 (+12%) 2mo $590,000 $261 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-104,243
Equity at exit
$67,089
10-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.00×
Total profit
$-125,835
Equity at exit
$38,903

Cash invested: $125,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92201

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,099 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax from tax record
$613 /mo · $7,351/yr
Insurance
$187
HOA
$600
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$861
Net cashflow
$-521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,759
Max offer price $357,865
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-267 -5% $-394 +0% $-521 +5% $-649 +10% $-776
Rent -10% $-845 -5% $-683 +0% $-521 +5% $-359 +10% $-197
Rate -1.0pp $-295 -0.5pp $-407 base $-521 +0.5pp $-638 +1.0pp $-756

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,488
Closing costs
$13,498
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
80411 Portobello Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1707 $3,200 $1.87 45d 1 0.15mi
43388 Saint Andrews Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1917 $3,500 $1.83 45d 1 0.22mi
43387 Saint Andrews Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1766 $4,500 $2.55 45d 1 0.27mi
80571 Hoylake Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.5 2172 $4,200 $1.93 18d 1 0.35mi
80589 Hoylake Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1420 $2,500 $1.76 20d 1 0.37mi
43465 Liberty St Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 2200 $4,200 $1.91 45d 1 0.45mi
43419 Corte del Oro La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1829 $7,000 $3.83 19d 1 0.48mi
43424 Bordeaux Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 2172 $6,000 $2.76 45d 1 0.55mi
44725 Alexandria Vale Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1707 $2,800 $1.64 45d 1 0.57mi
80200 Royal Birkdale Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 2061 $6,500 $3.15 19d 1 0.58mi
80149 Royal Birkdale Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 2466 $6,000 $2.43 45d 1 0.62mi
42391 Palisades Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1679 $2,975 $1.77 45d 1 0.63mi
42655 Delhi Pl Bermuda Dunes, CA 3.0 2.5 1988 $8,000 $4.02 20d 1 0.64mi
80216 Jasper Park Ave Indio, CA 2.0 3.0 1703 $2,899 $1.70 20d 1 0.65mi
43480 Port Maria Rd Bermuda Dunes, CA 3.0 3.0 2096 $6,500 $3.10 45d 1 0.68mi
43480 Port Maria Rd Bermuda Dunes, CA 3.0 3.0 2096 $6,500 $3.10 7d 1 0.68mi
44060 Mariposa Ct La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 1621 $3,250 $2.00 45d 1 0.70mi
80055 Jasper Park Ave Indio, CA 3.0 2.5 2162 $4,000 $1.85 45d 1 0.71mi
79948 Bethpage Ave Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1529 $4,500 $2.94 45d 1 0.73mi
45168 Coeur Dalene Dr Indio, CA 3.0 3.0 2719 $9,000 $3.31 26d 1 0.74mi
80172 Green Hills Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.5 1703 $4,200 $2.47 45d 1 0.77mi
43615 Roebelenii Way Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1508 $2,599 $1.72 14d 1 0.78mi
80395 Green Hills Dr Indio, CA 3.0 3.0 1981 $7,500 $3.79 45d 1 0.80mi
45233 Big Canyon St Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1529 $6,000 $3.92 45d 1 0.81mi
45338 Coeur Dalene Dr Indio, CA 3.0 3.0 1898 $6,500 $3.42 45d 1 0.82mi
81145 Paludosa Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1823 $3,000 $1.65 23d 1 0.83mi
45439 Shaugnessy Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.5 1703 $5,500 $3.23 45d 1 0.86mi
80372 Pebble Beach Dr Indio, CA 3.0 3.0 1898 $3,750 $1.98 45d 1 0.87mi
80162 Pebble Beach Dr Indio, CA 3.0 3.0 1898 $8,000 $4.21 18d 1 0.87mi
45385 Big Canyon St Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1529 $3,200 $2.09 45d 1 0.88mi
45553 Meadow Lake Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 2168 $8,000 $3.69 18d 1 0.92mi
79535 Dandelion Dr La Quinta, CA 3.0 3.0 2237 $3,950 $1.77 45d 1 0.93mi
79891 Avenue 42 Unit 1 Bermuda Dunes, CA 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,895 $1.35 21d 1 0.93mi
80188 Golden Horseshoe Dr Indio, CA 3.0 2.5 1898 $3,200 $1.69 45d 1 0.95mi
80346 Indian Springs Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.5 1713 $3,500 $2.04 20d 1 1.01mi
44270 Camino Lavanda La Quinta, CA 3.0 2.0 2216 $5,797 $2.62 45d 1 1.08mi
45596 Torrey Pines Ct Indio, CA 3.0 3.0 1981 $4,000 $2.02 7d 1 1.11mi
79188 Bog Walk Ct Bermuda Dunes, CA 3.0 3.0 2748 $3,000 $1.09 4d 1 1.15mi
79631 Half Moon Bay Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.5 1703 $3,600 $2.11 7d 1 1.17mi
80538 Avenida Camarillo Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1571 $2,500 $1.59 45d 1 1.18mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$600 · $7,200/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $449,950 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $449,950 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $449,950 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $449,950 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $449,950 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $449,950 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $449,950 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $449,950 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $449,950 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $449,950 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $449,950 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $449,950 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $449,950 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $449,950 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $449,950 Active 731-char remark
  16. 2025-09-08
    historical $1,800
  17. 2025-08-18
    price $1,800
  18. 2025-07-27
    price $1,500
  19. 2024-10-04
    listed $3,100
  20. 2009-05-09
    historical
  21. 2008-10-27
    price $469,000
  22. 2008-06-20
    listed $479,000
  23. 2008-05-18
    historical
  24. 2008-04-08
    price $479,000
  25. 2008-01-31
    price $489,000
  26. 2007-11-19
    listed $499,000
  27. 2007-02-02
    historical
  28. 2006-07-29
    listed $519,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,351 · $613/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,351 · $613/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥114°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,191
− Mortgage interest
−$25,204
− Property taxes
−$7,351
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,935
− Management
−$3,935
− HOA
−$7,200
− Depreciation
−$13,089
Taxable loss
−$13,774
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,306
After-tax cash flow
$-2,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indio, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
65,825
Household income
$66,758
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
2036.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.46%
Current HPI
348.6605
Rent YoY
▲ 3.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $449,950 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Rental Removed $1,800 REDFIN
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed $1,800 REDFIN
  • 2025-07-27 Price Changed $1,500 REDFIN
  • 2024-10-04 Listed for Rent $3,100 REDFIN
  • 2009-05-09 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2008-10-27 Price Changed $469,000 GPSMLS
  • 2008-06-20 Listed $479,000 GPSMLS
  • 2008-05-18 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2008-04-08 Price Changed $479,000 GPSMLS
  • 2008-01-31 Price Changed $489,000 GPSMLS
  • 2007-11-19 Listed $499,000 GPSMLS
  • 2007-02-02 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2006-07-29 Listed $519,000 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,351 · +46.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…