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2202 Mangold St
D+ Composite 45.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

2202 Mangold St · Poplar Bluff, MO 63901
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Other public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1935 5,227 sqft lot $130/sqft · 33% above area Est $132k · 6% over ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly renovated 4 Bed, 1 Bath home with attached carport, storage shed, privacy fenced yard on a corner lot. This charming home has original 1930s character with modern updates including new roof, kitchen appliances, flooring, fixtures, cabinets and privacy fence. The main level flows nicely through the living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, laundry/utility room and 3 bedrooms. Upstairs hosts the 4th bedroom and enough room for a sitting area. 2202 Mangold Street, Poplar Bluff, $144,900. Call to schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1935

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.4% in Poplar Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Poplar Bluff R-I (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #127 of 324 in MO (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,759 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.59%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,981
List price
$139,900
Delta
6.00%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-13,199
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$503
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63901

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $336/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,038
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,900 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    status Active 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Newly renovated 4 Bed, 1 Bath home with attached carport, storage shed, privacy fenced yard on a corner lot. This charming home has original 1930s character with modern updates including new roof, kitchen appliances, flooring, fixtures, cabinets and privacy fence. The main level flows nicely through the living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, laundry/utility room and 3 bedrooms. Upstairs hosts the 4th bedroom and enough room for a sitting area. 2202 Mangold Street, Poplar Bluff, $144,900. Call to schedule your tour today!

  15. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Newly renovated 4 Bed, 1 Bath home with attached carport, storage shed, privacy fenced yard on a corner lot. This charming home has original 1930s character with modern updates including new roof, kitchen appliances, flooring, fixtures, cabinets and privacy fence. The main level flows nicely through the living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, laundry/utility room and 3 bedrooms. Upstairs hosts the 4th bedroom and enough room for a sitting area. 2202 Mangold Street, Poplar Bluff, $144,900. Call to schedule your tour today!

  16. 2026-05-04
    price $144,900 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Newly renovated 4 Bed, 1 Bath home with attached carport, storage shed, privacy fenced yard on a corner lot. This charming home has original 1930s character with modern updates including new roof, kitchen appliances, flooring, fixtures, cabinets and privacy fence. The main level flows nicely through the living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, laundry/utility room and 3 bedrooms. Upstairs hosts the 4th bedroom and enough room for a sitting area. 2202 Mangold Street, Poplar Bluff, $144,900. Call to schedule your tour today!

  17. 2026-03-26
    listed $149,900 Active 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Newly renovated 4 Bed, 1 Bath home with attached carport, storage shed, privacy fenced yard on a corner lot. This charming home has original 1930s character with modern updates including new roof, kitchen appliances, flooring, fixtures, cabinets and privacy fence. The main level flows nicely through the living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, laundry/utility room and 3 bedrooms. Upstairs hosts the 4th bedroom and enough room for a sitting area. 2202 Mangold Street, Poplar Bluff, $144,900. Call to schedule your tour today!

  18. 2026-03-22
    historical $149,900 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Newly renovated 4 Bed, 1 Bath home with attached carport, storage shed, privacy fenced yard on a corner lot. This charming home has original 1930s character with modern updates including new roof, kitchen appliances, flooring, fixtures, cabinets and privacy fence. The main level flows nicely through the living room, dining room, kitchen, bathroom, laundry/utility room and 3 bedrooms. Upstairs hosts the 4th bedroom and enough room for a sitting area. 2202 Mangold Street, Poplar Bluff, $144,900. Call to schedule your tour today!

  19. 2025-09-30
    soldstatus
  20. 2022-06-10
    soldstatus
  21. 2013-10-07
    soldstatus
  22. 2002-03-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$336 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$1,021/yr (+$85/mo · 303.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,731
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$336
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,178
− Management
−$1,178
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$136
After-tax cash flow
$1,934/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poplar Bluff R-I
NCES district ID
2925450
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,761
Composite
35.17/100
National rank
#5001
State rank
#127 of 324 in MO

Livability — Poplar Bluff

Score
70/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#8135

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poplar Bluff, MO
City population
34,920
Population (ZIP)
34,920

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,648 people
By 2030
42,329 · -0.7%
By 2040
41,498 · -2.7%
By 2050
40,308 · -5.5%
By 2075
36,168 · -15.2%
By 2100
28,893 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.7% · R 81.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -63.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.8 2020: R+62.3 2016: R+61.6 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.64%
Current HPI
175.3008
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $144,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-22 Coming Soon $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-06-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-10-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $336 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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