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236 Cobb Rd
A- Composite 80.31
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$52,500

236 Cobb Rd · Huntsville, AL 35748
2 bd · None ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1940 0.90 ac lot $55/sqft · 89% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home has no monetary value. Approximately 205' of road frontage on Cobb Road.

Key facts

  • 0.9 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located at 236 Cobb Rd, Gurley, AL 35748
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds

Exterior

  • Parking: Dirt driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence built in 1940; Residential property
  • Construction: Masonite exterior; Built in 1940; No fireplaces
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.9-acre lot; Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: No full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $52k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Madison County Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 412 students, 59% FRL); Madison County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #39 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 483 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($363 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,712 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.41%
Cap rate
21.71%
Cash-on-cash
55.08%
DSCR
3.45
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$461,550
List price
$52,500
Delta
-88.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.9%
Equity multiple
5.87×
Total profit
$71,560
Equity at exit
$47,296
10-year hold
IRR
61.6%
Equity multiple
13.04×
Total profit
$176,933
Equity at exit
$101,996

Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35748

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$275
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $347/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $413
Max offer price $52,500
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,125
Closing costs
$1,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $52,500 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $52,500 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-05-06
    listed $59,900 Active 77-char remark
  4. 2026-05-06
    price $59,000 77-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$347 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$347 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,202
− Mortgage interest
−$2,941
− Property taxes
−$347
− Insurance
−$262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,216
− Management
−$1,216
− Depreciation
−$1,527
Taxable income
$7,692
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,846
After-tax cash flow
$6,250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
220,435
Population (ZIP)
7,311

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.02%
Current HPI
337.7613
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $52,500 VMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $59,900 VMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $59,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $347 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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