602 S Bell St · Big Spring, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$102,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 bed / 1 bath home with recent updates including a new roof, windows, stucco, and fresh exterior paint. Inside, you'll find beautiful hardwood floors, spacious bedrooms, and plenty of character throughout. This low-maintenance property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor. Opportunity to purchase with neighboring properties to expand your rental portfolio. Call today!
Key facts
- 5,750 sq ft lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 69 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#948 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Big Spring ISD (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #641 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 69 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($705 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Howard County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.05%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,125
- List price
- $102,000
- Delta
- 116.44%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $30,541
- Equity at exit
- $45,864
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $83,120
- Equity at exit
- $70,681
Cash invested: $28,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79721
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,191 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$535
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $920/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $345 | -5% $316 | +0% $287 | +5% $258 | +10% $229 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $193 | -5% $240 | +0% $287 | +5% $334 | +10% $381 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $338 | -0.5pp $313 | base $287 | +0.5pp $260 | +1.0pp $233 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,500
- Closing costs
- $3,060
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 N San Antonio St Unit B Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,700 | $2.83 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2105 S Main St Unit G Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,200 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2107 S Main St Unit D Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,000 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1009 E 15th St Unit B Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $800 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2609 Wasson Rd Unit 38 Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $800 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $102,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $102,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $102,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $102,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $102,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $108,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $108,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $108,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $108,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $108,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $108,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $108,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $108,000 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
Charming 2 bed / 1 bath home with recent updates including a new roof, windows, stucco, and fresh exterior paint. Inside, you'll find beautiful hardwood floors, spacious bedrooms, and plenty of character throughout. This low-maintenance property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor. Opportunity to purchase with neighboring properties to expand your rental portfolio. Call today!
-
2026-04-10$118,000 Active 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
Charming 2 bed / 1 bath home with recent updates including a new roof, windows, stucco, and fresh exterior paint. Inside, you'll find beautiful hardwood floors, spacious bedrooms, and plenty of character throughout. This low-maintenance property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor. Opportunity to purchase with neighboring properties to expand your rental portfolio. Call today!
-
2023-03-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $920 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,867 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$947/yr (+$79/mo · 102.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,714
- − Property taxes
- −$920
- − Insurance
- −$510
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,143
- − Management
- −$1,143
- − Depreciation
- −$2,967
- Taxable income
- $1,894
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$455
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Spring ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810200
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,916
- Composite
- 25.11/100
- National rank
- #7529
- State rank
- #641 of 826 in TX
Livability — Big Spring
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #948
- US rank
- #16886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Spring, TX
- City population
- 29,936
- Population (ZIP)
- 466
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,396 people
- By 2030
- 46,792 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 54,096 · +24.7%
- By 2050
- 61,707 · +42.2%
- By 2075
- 79,809 · +83.9%
- By 2100
- 87,385 · +101.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 11% White 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 73% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 14% English-only · Spanish 83% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.2% · R 81.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.6pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.4 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+46.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $108,000 PBBOR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $118,000 PBBOR
- 2023-03-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $920 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…