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8 E 5th St
C+ Composite 61.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$175,000

8 E 5th St · Oswego, NY 13126
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1900 7,400 sqft lot $105/sqft · 34% above area Est $130k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.

Key facts

  • First-floor bedroom
  • Double lot
  • Shed in back yard

Tags

DOUBLE LOTFULLY FENCED YARDFIRST-FLOOR BEDROOMSHED IN BACK YARDBUILT IN FIREPIT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2 stories; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Irregular lot (approx. 74 x 100)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Includes bedrooms (total rooms listed: 8)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $175k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.53%
Cash-on-cash
11.55%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,381
List price
$175,000
Delta
34.22%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
81 E 5th St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,592 (-4%) 2mo $44,000 $28 78
30 E 4th St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,540 (-7%) 6mo $144,000 $94 74
132 Lyon St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,550 (-7%) 6mo $85,000 $55 70
121 E 3rd St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,591 (-4%) 4mo $140,000 $88 67
58 E 8th St 0.26mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,514 (-9%) 6mo $132,500 $88 63
94 E 5th St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,417 (-15%) 2mo $148,930 $105 59
77 W 7th St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,596 (-4%) 0mo $225,000 $141 55
42 W Mohawk St 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,701 (+2%) 7mo $120,000 $71 55
150 1/2 E 3rd St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,834 (+10%) 1mo $42,000 $23 51
51 E Albany St 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,540 (-7%) 2mo $179,900 $117 51
74 E Oneida St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,886 (+14%) 4mo $125,000 $66 48
55 Catherine St 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,852 (+12%) 4mo $200,000 $108 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.25% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$18,357
Equity at exit
$31,973
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$110,287
Equity at exit
$25,426

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13126

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Rents YoY
19.2%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,107 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$202 /mo · $2,428/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,510
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 W Mohawk St Unit TH Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,745 $1.52 43d 1 0.63mi
39 W 6th St Unit 2-A Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,725 $1.15 13d 1 0.65mi
103 W 8th St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 13d 1 0.78mi
23 NW 9th St Oswego, NY 4.0 1.5 1700 $2,300 $1.35 13d 1 0.84mi
105 W Oneida St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,540 $1.41 13d 1 0.87mi
130 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,500 $1.47 13d 1 0.92mi
136 W Cayuga St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,300 $1.44 13d 1 0.93mi
138 W Cayuga St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,300 $1.15 13d 1 0.94mi
141 W Cayuga St Oswego, NY 4.0 1.0 1311 $2,100 $1.60 13d 1 0.95mi
9 Lathrop St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 2100 $2,500 $1.19 13d 1 0.96mi
148 W Seneca St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 13d 1 0.96mi
85 Liberty St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,500 $1.39 13d 1 0.96mi
6 Lathrop St Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,725 $1.57 13d 1 0.97mi
144 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,400 $1.20 13d 1 0.98mi
153 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 1.5 1800 $2,340 $1.30 13d 1 1.00mi
135 W Mohawk St Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1103 $1,700 $1.54 13d 1 1.01mi
164 W Schuyler St Unit A Oswego, NY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,755 $1.25 13d 1 1.03mi
161 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,240 $1.60 13d 1 1.03mi
4 Murray St Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1589 $1,800 $1.13 13d 1 1.05mi
143 Liberty St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,480 $1.46 13d 1 1.07mi
14 Pond Path Oswego, NY 3.0 1.5 1408 $2,300 $1.63 13d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 536-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $175,000 Active 536-char remark
  3. 2020-06-24
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed Sale or Rented 322-char remark
    Show marketing remark (322 chars)

    A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.

  4. 2020-05-05
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 322-char remark
    Show marketing remark (322 chars)

    A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.

  5. 2020-02-21
    listed $69,900 Active 322-char remark
    Show marketing remark (322 chars)

    A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,428 · $202/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,693 · $224/mo
Expected delta
+$265/yr (+$22/mo · 10.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,283
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,428
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,023
− Management
−$2,023
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$3,041
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$730
After-tax cash flow
$4,928/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oswego City School District
NCES district ID
3622050
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$45,835
Composite
38.2/100
National rank
#4257
State rank
#465 of 590 in NY

Livability — Oswego

Score
75/100
State rank
#265
US rank
#4189

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oswego, NY
County
Oswego County · 36,495 people
City population
36,495
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
36,495
Household income
$65,346
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
1341.0

Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,465 people
By 2030
109,968 · -3.9%
By 2040
99,205 · -13.3%
By 2050
87,979 · -23.1%
By 2075
65,100 · -43.1%
By 2100
47,117 · -58.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oswego

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.25%
Current HPI
295.5134
Rent YoY
▲ 19.18%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $175,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-06-24 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-05-05 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-02-21 Listed $69,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,428 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…