8 E 5th St · Oswego, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.
Key facts
- First-floor bedroom
- Double lot
- Shed in back yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
- Home design: 2 stories; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Irregular lot (approx. 74 x 100)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Includes bedrooms (total rooms listed: 8)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, commute F.
- Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $175k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.55%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,381
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 34.22%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 E 5th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,592 (-4%) | 2mo | $44,000 | $28 | 78 |
| 30 E 4th St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-7%) | 6mo | $144,000 | $94 | 74 |
| 132 Lyon St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,550 (-7%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $55 | 70 |
| 121 E 3rd St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,591 (-4%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $88 | 67 |
| 58 E 8th St | 0.26mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,514 (-9%) | 6mo | $132,500 | $88 | 63 |
| 94 E 5th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,417 (-15%) | 2mo | $148,930 | $105 | 59 |
| 77 W 7th St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-4%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $141 | 55 |
| 42 W Mohawk St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,701 (+2%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $71 | 55 |
| 150 1/2 E 3rd St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,834 (+10%) | 1mo | $42,000 | $23 | 51 |
| 51 E Albany St | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,540 (-7%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $117 | 51 |
| 74 E Oneida St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,886 (+14%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $66 | 48 |
| 55 Catherine St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,852 (+12%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $108 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.25% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $18,357
- Equity at exit
- $31,973
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $110,287
- Equity at exit
- $25,426
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13126
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 19.2%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,107 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 W Mohawk St Unit TH Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,745 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 39 W 6th St Unit 2-A Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 103 W 8th St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 23 NW 9th St Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 105 W Oneida St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,540 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 130 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 136 W Cayuga St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 138 W Cayuga St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,300 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 141 W Cayuga St Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9 Lathrop St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 148 W Seneca St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 85 Liberty St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6 Lathrop St Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,725 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 144 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 153 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,340 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 135 W Mohawk St Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 164 W Schuyler St Unit A Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,755 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 161 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,240 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4 Murray St Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 143 Liberty St Unit A Oswego, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,480 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 14 Pond Path Oswego, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 536-char remark
-
2026-05-04$175,000 Active 536-char remark
-
2020-06-24soldstatus $65,000 Closed Sale or Rented 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.
-
2020-05-05status Under Contract- Do Not Show 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.
-
2020-02-21$69,900 Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
A YARD TO ENJOY! PARTIALLY FENCED YARD LARGE ENOUGH FOR SHED, PLAY YARD , BACKYARD PARTIES AND A GARDEN. GREAT 3-4 BEDROOM HOME AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE WITH 2ND FLOOR LAUNDRY, FRONT AND BACK STAIRCASE, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH, MOST NEWER WINDOWS, CENTRAL AIR AND SPACIOUS LIVING JUST A SHORT WALK TO THE LAKE AND FORT ONTARIO.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,428 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,693 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- +$265/yr (+$22/mo · 10.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,428
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,023
- − Management
- −$2,023
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $3,041
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$730
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oswego City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3622050
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,835
- Composite
- 38.2/100
- National rank
- #4257
- State rank
- #465 of 590 in NY
Livability — Oswego
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #265
- US rank
- #4189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oswego, NY
- County
- Oswego County · 36,495 people
- City population
- 36,495
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,495
- Household income
- $65,346
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1341.0
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.25%
- Current HPI
- 295.5134
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 19.18%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+150.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $175,000 CNYIS
- 2020-06-24 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CNYIS
- 2020-05-05 Pending — CNYIS
- 2020-02-21 Listed $69,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+12.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,428 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…