327 E Mulberry St · Alma, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,228 square feet and situated on a corner lot in Alma. Start your mornings on the front porch with a cup of coffee, or unwind in the evenings on the covered back deck. This home offers convenience and outdoor space. This property features a formal dining room and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. The first bathroom includes a convenient tub/shower combo, while the primary suite offers a walk-in shower and a generous walk-in closet. You’ll also appreciate the nicely sized laundry room. Step outside to enjoy the fenced yard—perfect for pets—with a covered back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A new storage building conveys with an acceptable offer, along with the washer, dryer, and refrigerator. Conveniently located close to Walmart, schools, shopping, and great local restaurants, with easy access to I-49 and I-40—making commuting a breeze while keeping you near everything you need.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Fenced yard
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.2% in Alma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#223 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Alma School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #111 of 238 in AR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 47 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.66%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,666
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -19.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254 Main St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,213 (-1%) | 5mo | $146,000 | $120 | 82 |
| 1429 Seals St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,227 (-0%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $118 | 71 |
| 1211 Harris Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+2%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $168 | 71 |
| 405 Mulberry St | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 | 1,068 (-13%) | 14mo | $59,000 | $55 | 63 |
| 519 London St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (-13%) | 14mo | $24,200 | $23 | 57 |
| 1204 Airport Rd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+6%) | 18mo | $225,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 118 Railroad St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,184 (-4%) | 17mo | $41,500 | $35 | 53 |
| 1032 Harris Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,110 (-10%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $122 | 51 |
| 1403 Seals St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,055 (-14%) | 12mo | $40,700 | $39 | 47 |
| 215 Ash St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+8%) | 16mo | $174,900 | $133 | 42 |
| 204 Locust St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,308 (+6%) | 20mo | $50,000 | $38 | 35 |
| 308 Emily Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+14%) | 2mo | $226,000 | $161 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,612
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $26,487
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72921
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,037/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $352 | -5% $324 | +0% $296 | +5% $267 | +10% $239 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $201 | -5% $248 | +0% $296 | +5% $343 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $346 | -0.5pp $321 | base $296 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1216 Seals St Alma, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2021 Plum Creek Ln Unit A Alma, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19status $100,000 Pending 98 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $100,000 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,228 square feet and situated on a corner lot in Alma. Start your mornings on the front porch with a cup of coffee, or unwind in the evenings on the covered back deck. This home offers convenience and outdoor space. This property features a formal dining room and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. The first bathroom includes a convenient tub/shower combo, while the primary suite offers a walk-in shower and a generous walk-in closet. You’ll also appreciate the nicely sized laundry room. Step outside to enjoy the fenced yard—perfect for pets—with a covered back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A new storage building conveys with an acceptable offer, along with the washer, dryer, and refrigerator. Conveniently located close to Walmart, schools, shopping, and great local restaurants, with easy access to I-49 and I-40—making commuting a breeze while keeping you near everything you need.
-
2026-04-21price $105,000 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,228 square feet and situated on a corner lot in Alma. Start your mornings on the front porch with a cup of coffee, or unwind in the evenings on the covered back deck. This home offers convenience and outdoor space. This property features a formal dining room and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. The first bathroom includes a convenient tub/shower combo, while the primary suite offers a walk-in shower and a generous walk-in closet. You’ll also appreciate the nicely sized laundry room. Step outside to enjoy the fenced yard—perfect for pets—with a covered back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A new storage building conveys with an acceptable offer, along with the washer, dryer, and refrigerator. Conveniently located close to Walmart, schools, shopping, and great local restaurants, with easy access to I-49 and I-40—making commuting a breeze while keeping you near everything you need.
-
2026-03-20status Active 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,228 square feet and situated on a corner lot in Alma. Start your mornings on the front porch with a cup of coffee, or unwind in the evenings on the covered back deck. This home offers convenience and outdoor space. This property features a formal dining room and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. The first bathroom includes a convenient tub/shower combo, while the primary suite offers a walk-in shower and a generous walk-in closet. You’ll also appreciate the nicely sized laundry room. Step outside to enjoy the fenced yard—perfect for pets—with a covered back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A new storage building conveys with an acceptable offer, along with the washer, dryer, and refrigerator. Conveniently located close to Walmart, schools, shopping, and great local restaurants, with easy access to I-49 and I-40—making commuting a breeze while keeping you near everything you need.
-
2026-03-03status Pending 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,228 square feet and situated on a corner lot in Alma. Start your mornings on the front porch with a cup of coffee, or unwind in the evenings on the covered back deck. This home offers convenience and outdoor space. This property features a formal dining room and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. The first bathroom includes a convenient tub/shower combo, while the primary suite offers a walk-in shower and a generous walk-in closet. You’ll also appreciate the nicely sized laundry room. Step outside to enjoy the fenced yard—perfect for pets—with a covered back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A new storage building conveys with an acceptable offer, along with the washer, dryer, and refrigerator. Conveniently located close to Walmart, schools, shopping, and great local restaurants, with easy access to I-49 and I-40—making commuting a breeze while keeping you near everything you need.
-
2026-02-23$115,000 Active 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,228 square feet and situated on a corner lot in Alma. Start your mornings on the front porch with a cup of coffee, or unwind in the evenings on the covered back deck. This home offers convenience and outdoor space. This property features a formal dining room and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. The first bathroom includes a convenient tub/shower combo, while the primary suite offers a walk-in shower and a generous walk-in closet. You’ll also appreciate the nicely sized laundry room. Step outside to enjoy the fenced yard—perfect for pets—with a covered back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A new storage building conveys with an acceptable offer, along with the washer, dryer, and refrigerator. Conveniently located close to Walmart, schools, shopping, and great local restaurants, with easy access to I-49 and I-40—making commuting a breeze while keeping you near everything you need.
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2023-06-28soldstatus $78,000 60-char remark
Show marketing remark (60 chars)
2 bedroom 2 bath home in Alma! 1228 sq foot on a corner lot.
-
2023-06-28$78,000 60-char remark
Show marketing remark (60 chars)
2 bedroom 2 bath home in Alma! 1228 sq foot on a corner lot.
-
2023-06-28soldstatus $78,000
Show marketing remark (60 chars)
2 bedroom 2 bath home in Alma! 1228 sq foot on a corner lot.
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2019-03-15soldstatus $107,900
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1998-08-11soldstatus $39,000
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1997-11-20soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,037
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alma School District
- NCES district ID
- 0502250
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,566
- Composite
- 30.34/100
- National rank
- #6264
- State rank
- #111 of 238 in AR
Livability — Alma
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #223
- US rank
- #17089
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alma, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,827
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,108 people
- By 2030
- 61,519 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,735 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 57,521 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 53,143 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 49,596 · -20.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 19.9% · R 78.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+55.0 2012: R+49.9 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.80%
- Current HPI
- 249.3307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $100,000 WRVBOR
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $105,000 WRVBOR
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — WRVBOR
- 2026-03-03 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2026-02-23 Listed $115,000 WRVBOR
- 2023-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-28 Listed $78,000 WRVBOR
- 2023-06-28 Sold (MLS) $78,000 WRVBOR
- 2019-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $107,900 Public Records
- 1998-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,037 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…