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33 Vista Dr
D Composite 41.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

33 Vista Dr · North Towanda, PA 18848
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market
Built 1966 1.92 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move-in ready and meticulously cared for, this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom manufactured home sits on a generous 1.92-acre lot. Very well maintained and easy to own, it's an excellent starter home or a solid income-producing property for investors. The expansive outdoor space offers plenty of room for gardening, recreation, or future improvements, while the tidy interior keeps upkeep simple and affordable. A versatile layout and strong upside make this property a smart choice for first-time buyers or those looking to grow their real estate portfolio

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Versatile layout
  • Move in ready

Tags

MOVE IN READYGENEROUS LOTEXPANSIVE OUTDOOR SPACEVERSATILE LAYOUT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Approximately 1.92-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($571/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Towanda Area SD (town): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #372 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Towanda Area El Sch (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 443 students, 100% FRL); Towanda Area Jshs (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #287 of 437 statewide, top 66%, 720 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 43% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $106,658 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.58%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-17,918
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-11,878
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18848

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,067 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $778/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $121 -5% $84 +0% $48 +5% $11 +10% $-25
Rent -10% $-37 -5% $5 +0% $48 +5% $90 +10% $132
Rate -1.0pp $113 -0.5pp $80 base $48 +0.5pp $14 +1.0pp $-20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $129,000 Active 548-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$778 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,408 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$630/yr (+$53/mo · 81.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,799
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$778
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,024
− Management
−$1,024
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$1,650
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$396
After-tax cash flow
$967/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Towanda Area SD
NCES district ID
4223550
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$45,242
Composite
32.74/100
National rank
#5638
State rank
#372 of 539 in PA

Livability — North Towanda

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,625

Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,236 people
By 2030
54,660 · -4.5%
By 2040
49,502 · -13.5%
By 2050
44,277 · -22.6%
By 2075
33,420 · -41.6%
By 2100
22,919 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Polish 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradford

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.57%
Current HPI
158.5429
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $129,000 NMPA

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $778 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…