33 Vista Dr · North Towanda, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready and meticulously cared for, this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom manufactured home sits on a generous 1.92-acre lot. Very well maintained and easy to own, it's an excellent starter home or a solid income-producing property for investors. The expansive outdoor space offers plenty of room for gardening, recreation, or future improvements, while the tidy interior keeps upkeep simple and affordable. A versatile layout and strong upside make this property a smart choice for first-time buyers or those looking to grow their real estate portfolio
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Versatile layout
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential manufactured home
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Approximately 1.92-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Gas water heater; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($571/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Towanda Area SD (town): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #372 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Towanda Area El Sch (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 443 students, 100% FRL); Towanda Area Jshs (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #287 of 437 statewide, top 66%, 720 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 43% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.58%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-17,918
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-11,878
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18848
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,067 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $778/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $84 | +0% $48 | +5% $11 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-37 | -5% $5 | +0% $48 | +5% $90 | +10% $132 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $113 | -0.5pp $80 | base $48 | +0.5pp $14 | +1.0pp $-20 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$129,000 Active 548-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,408 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$630/yr (+$53/mo · 81.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$778
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,024
- − Management
- −$1,024
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$1,650
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$396
- After-tax cash flow
- $967/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Towanda Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4223550
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,242
- Composite
- 32.74/100
- National rank
- #5638
- State rank
- #372 of 539 in PA
Livability — North Towanda
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,625
Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,236 people
- By 2030
- 54,660 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 49,502 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 44,277 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 33,420 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 22,919 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Polish 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.57%
- Current HPI
- 158.5429
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $129,000 NMPA
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $778 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…