2445 SW 6th Rd SW · Florida Ridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$297,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home located in the desirable Vero Beach Highlands neighborhood. This well-maintained residence offers a spacious layout with comfortable living areas, abundant natural light, a beautifully updated kitchen, and a new roof for added peace of mind. The primary suite features a private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy a generous yard with room for outdoor gatherings, gardening, or future enhancements. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, parks, and just a short drive to Vero Beach’s beautiful sandy beaches. A wonderful opportunity in a sought-after community.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Near dining
- Generous yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with restrictions/possible restrictions (conditional)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $34 monthly fee; Community clubhouse; Fitness center; Maintained community; Street lights; Tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; 1 covered garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Resale property
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (8.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.5% in Florida Ridge — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $298k implies a 337% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.03%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $281,916
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2385 6th Ave SW | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-2%) | 4mo | $286,000 | $199 | 79 |
| 21 Lavilla Way | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,446 (-2%) | 7mo | $269,000 | $186 | 66 |
| 18 Montoya | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,446 (-2%) | 5mo | $289,000 | $200 | 62 |
| 11 Villa Del Norte | 0.16mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,305 (-12%) | 7mo | $249,000 | $191 | 60 |
| 16 Danzar | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,439 (-2%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 751 Highland Dr SW | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,278 (-13%) | 1mo | $222,000 | $174 | 59 |
| 2445 8th Ave SW | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,313 (-11%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $126 | 57 |
| 925 Highland Dr SW | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-9%) | 8mo | $264,500 | $197 | 50 |
| 1085 23rd Pl SW | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (-6%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $216 | 50 |
| 726 SW 18th Pl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-7%) | 4mo | $354,900 | $259 | 44 |
| 65 Lavilla Way | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,687 (+14%) | 6mo | $299,000 | $177 | 43 |
| 11 Villa Blanca | 0.61mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,305 (-12%) | 8mo | $249,000 | $191 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-54,363
- Equity at exit
- $44,358
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-47,088
- Equity at exit
- $25,722
Cash invested: $83,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32962
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,339 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,560
- Tax from tax record
- −$271 /mo · $3,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$34
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $-141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $28 | -5% $-56 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-225 | +10% $-309 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-325 | -5% $-233 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-48 | +10% $44 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9 | -0.5pp $-65 | base $-141 | +0.5pp $-218 | +1.0pp $-296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,375
- Closing costs
- $8,925
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2450 8th Ave SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2320 Water Oaks Ln Unit 111 Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1811 | $3,500 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 985 23rd Pl SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,200 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7503 Paso Robles Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 254 Hawthorne Ln Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1703 | $2,900 | $1.70 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6906 Ocala Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,955 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 335 Hawthorne Ln Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7500 Pensacola Rd Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,150 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5642 Sunberry Cir Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,950 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2066 5th Ct SE Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $3,850 | $2.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3766 Harborside Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $2,160 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7403 Winter Garden Pkwy Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $34 · $408/yr
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $297,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $297,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $297,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $297,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $297,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $297,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $297,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $297,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $297,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $297,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $297,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $297,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $297,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $297,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $297,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $297,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-26$297,500 Active
-
2025-08-07historical $1,700
-
2025-06-28$1,700
-
2024-06-25historical $1,850
-
2024-06-22historical $1,850
-
2024-06-13price $1,850
-
2024-06-12price $1,850
-
2024-05-30price $1,900
-
2024-05-30price $1,900
-
2024-04-30price $2,000
-
2024-04-30price $2,000
-
2024-04-08$2,100
-
2024-04-08$2,100
-
1981-08-01soldstatus $68,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,246 · $271/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,246 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,665
- − Property taxes
- −$3,246
- − Insurance
- −$1,488
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,246
- − Management
- −$2,246
- − HOA
- −$408
- − Depreciation
- −$8,655
- Taxable loss
- −$6,882
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,652
- After-tax cash flow
- $-36/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Florida Ridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #6129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florida Ridge, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 25,629
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,522
- Household income
- $66,664
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 425.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.13%
- Current HPI
- 333.3274
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.18%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+336.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Listed $297,500 MARMLS
- 2025-08-07 Rental Removed $1,700 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-06-28 Listed for Rent $1,700 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-06-25 Rental Removed $1,850 RENT.
- 2024-06-22 Rental Removed $1,850 RAIRCMLS
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $1,850 RAIRCMLS
- 2024-06-12 Price Changed $1,850 RENT.
- 2024-05-30 Price Changed $1,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2024-05-30 Price Changed $1,900 RENT.
- 2024-04-30 Price Changed $2,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2024-04-30 Price Changed $2,000 RENT.
- 2024-04-08 Listed for Rent $2,100 RENT.
- 2024-04-08 Listed for Rent $2,100 RAIRCMLS
- 1981-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,246 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…