906 E Verna St · Gonzales, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home recently refurbished including new higher-gauge metal roof and large covered front patio. Property includes four (4) lots of record. Centrally located in City of Gonzales with easy access to I-10 and Airline Highway. Nearby schools, shopping, medical office and hospitals. Raised kitchen/dining area overlooks the living room. Primary bedroom/bath suite with two closets is at rear of home. Lot measurements are approximate and taken from the Ascension Parish Assessor website: Overall, 100.47 x 158.9 x 100.21 x 159.4' - Southwestern lot - 50 x 69, Northwestern lot - 50 x 89, Northeastern lot - 50 x 89, Southeastern lot - 50 x 69. Subject to city approval, but allowed by existing ordinances additional homes could be located on this property.
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Recently renovated
- Easy access to i-10
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.5% in Gonzales — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#135 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 567 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.09%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,330
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $28,301
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70737
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 567
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,795 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $673/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $421 | +0% $371 | +5% $321 | +10% $272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $229 | -5% $300 | +0% $371 | +5% $442 | +10% $513 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $459 | -0.5pp $416 | base $371 | +0.5pp $326 | +1.0pp $280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 S Audubon Place Ave Gonzales, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1018 S Mire Ave Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 609 Saint Francis Pkwy Gonzales, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1104 | $1,993 | $1.81 | 14d | 15 | 1.00mi |
| 920 W Tony St Unit 12-D Gonzales, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,425 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 910 W Macci St Unit 18D Gonzales, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1108 | $1,375 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-04-06price $175,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home recently refurbished including new higher-gauge metal roof and large covered front patio. Property includes four (4) lots of record. Centrally located in City of Gonzales with easy access to I-10 and Airline Highway. Nearby schools, shopping, medical office and hospitals. Raised kitchen/dining area overlooks the living room. Primary bedroom/bath suite with two closets is at rear of home. Lot measurements are approximate and taken from the Ascension Parish Assessor website: Overall, 100.47 x 158.9 x 100.21 x 159.4' - Southwestern lot - 50 x 69, Northwestern lot - 50 x 89, Northeastern lot - 50 x 89, Southeastern lot - 50 x 69. Subject to city approval, but allowed by existing ordinances additional homes could be located on this property.
-
2026-04-06price $175,000 787-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home recently refurbished including new higher-gauge metal roof and large covered front patio. Property includes four (4) lots of record. Centrally located in City of Gonzales with easy access to I-10 and Airline Highway. Nearby schools, shopping, medical office and hospitals. Raised kitchen/dining area overlooks the living room. Primary bedroom/bath suite with two closets is at rear of home. Lot measurements are approximate and taken from the Ascension Parish Assessor website: Overall, 100.47 x 158.9 x 100.21 x 159.4' - Southwestern lot - 50 x 69, Northwestern lot - 50 x 89, Northeastern lot - 50 x 89, Southeastern lot - 50 x 69. Subject to city approval, but allowed by existing ordinances additional homes could be located on this property.
-
2026-01-17$179,900 Active 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home recently refurbished including new higher-gauge metal roof and large covered front patio. Property includes four (4) lots of record. Centrally located in City of Gonzales with easy access to I-10 and Airline Highway. Nearby schools, shopping, medical office and hospitals. Raised kitchen/dining area overlooks the living room. Primary bedroom/bath suite with two closets is at rear of home. Lot measurements are approximate and taken from the Ascension Parish Assessor website: Overall, 100.47 x 158.9 x 100.21 x 159.4' - Southwestern lot - 50 x 69, Northwestern lot - 50 x 89, Northeastern lot - 50 x 89, Southeastern lot - 50 x 69. Subject to city approval, but allowed by existing ordinances additional homes could be located on this property.
-
2026-01-17$179,900 Active 787-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home recently refurbished including new higher-gauge metal roof and large covered front patio. Property includes four (4) lots of record. Centrally located in City of Gonzales with easy access to I-10 and Airline Highway. Nearby schools, shopping, medical office and hospitals. Raised kitchen/dining area overlooks the living room. Primary bedroom/bath suite with two closets is at rear of home. Lot measurements are approximate and taken from the Ascension Parish Assessor website: Overall, 100.47 x 158.9 x 100.21 x 159.4' - Southwestern lot - 50 x 69, Northwestern lot - 50 x 89, Northeastern lot - 50 x 89, Southeastern lot - 50 x 69. Subject to city approval, but allowed by existing ordinances additional homes could be located on this property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $673 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $962 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$290/yr (+$24/mo · 43.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,534
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$673
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,723
- − Management
- −$1,723
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $1,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$395
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,057/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Gonzales
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #12429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gonzales, LA
- County
- Ascension Parish · 98,362 people
- City population
- 49,084
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,084
- Household income
- $82,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 863.0
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.49%
- Current HPI
- 145.3384
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.26%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-2.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $175,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $175,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listed $179,900 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listed $179,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $673 · +152.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…