7450 Mississippi Ave · Leeds, AL 35094

$40,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1977

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Handyman Special located in Leeds, Al. Home Sold AS-IS 2 bedroom 1 bathroom Off street Parking

Key facts

• Built 1977

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 4.2% in Leeds — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#286 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
• Leeds City (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #51 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $40,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 28.64%
• Cash-on-cash: 79.82%
• DSCR: 4.55
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $110,208
• Comps found: 11

Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7767 Martin Luther King Dr	0.09mi	3/1.0	1,010 (+3%)	7mo	$113,000	$112	85
1945 Arkansas St	0.17mi	3/1.0	1,045 (+6%)	7mo	$190,000	$182	76
7562 Alabama Ave	0.31mi	3/1.0	1,008 (+2%)	11mo	$115,000	$114	73
7578 Alabama Ave	0.32mi	3/2.0	1,031 (+5%)	1mo	$85,000	$82	72
1400 Illinois St	0.43mi	3/1.5	995 (+1%)	18mo	$99,500	$100	61
7635 Cahaba Ave	0.07mi	3/2.0	1,128 (+15%)	12mo	$125,000	$111	58
7700 Michael Cir	0.25mi	3/1.0	1,125 (+14%)	13mo	$199,900	$178	53
1609 Ray St	0.73mi	3/2.0	1,064 (+8%)	8mo	$80,000	$75	42
1325 Vivian St	0.61mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,055 (+7%)	20mo	$165,000	$156	38
1100 Robert E Lee St	0.73mi	3/1.0	905 (-8%)	21mo	$190,000	$210	35
1604 Ray St	0.71mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,119 (+14%)	20mo	$69,100	$62	22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 80.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.66×
• Total profit: $40,966
• Equity at exit: $5,964

10-year hold

• IRR: 83.4%
• Equity multiple: 9.64×
• Total profit: $96,766
• Equity at exit: $3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35094

• Home prices YoY: -9.7%
• Active inventory: 158
• Price-to-rent: 2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,252 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$18 /mo · $214/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $309

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1400 Illinois St Leeds, AL	3.0	1.5	995	$1,200	$1.21	19d	1	0.41mi
8010 4th Ave Apt 114 Leeds, AL	2.0	1.0	1008	$690	$0.68	43d	1	0.71mi
8010 4th Ave Unit 120 Leeds, AL	2.0	1.0	1008	$615	$0.61	15d	1	0.72mi
8010 4th Ave Unit 202 Leeds, AL	2.0	1.0	1008	$595	$0.59	3d	1	0.72mi
1609 Ray St Leeds, AL	3.0	2.0	1064	$1,200	$1.13	1d	1	0.72mi
1952 Calmar St Unit 206 Leeds, AL	2.0	1.0	680	$950	$1.40	43d	1	1.32mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-05-12
   listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $214 · $18/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $214 · $18/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,026
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$214
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,202
• − Management: −$1,202
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $8,804
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,113
• After-tax cash flow: $6,827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Leeds City
• NCES district ID: 0100011
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -25.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $50,367
• Composite: 28.21/100
• National rank: #6803
• State rank: #51 of 129 in AL

Livability — Leeds

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #286
• US rank: #18674

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Leeds, AL
• County: Jefferson County · 527,445 people
• City population: 14,854
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• Population (ZIP): 14,854
• Household income: $74,625
• Rent vs Own: 23.1% rent · 76.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 248.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 669,185 people
• By 2030: 669,694 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 661,388 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 643,086 · -3.9%
• By 2075: 577,267 · -13.7%
• By 2100: 474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -23.99%
• Current HPI: 223.9527
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
• 2026-05-12 Listed $40,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+13.5%/yr

Latest (2020): $214 · -15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.