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1119 E US Highway 281 Hwy
B+ Composite 76.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$59,900

1119 E US Highway 281 Hwy · Donna, TX 78537
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1994 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Half acre lot with commercial or multi family potential, very close to International Donna bridge, this property provides plenty of space for an investor, comes with the current mobile home in the property

Key facts

  • Commercial potential
  • Half acre lot
  • 0.5 acre lot

Tags

HALF ACRE LOTCOMMERCIAL POTENTIALMULTI FAMILY POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.5 acre (21,780 sq ft); Living area source: HidalgoCAD; Green/energy features: Other; Building area reported as 1,216 sq ft; Property located north of Donna bridge; turn left on Highway 281 and property will be on the right
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking spaces; listed as other garage or carport
  • Utilities: Sewer: Other
  • Home design: Single-story (building area listed as 1,216 sq ft)
  • Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation; Construction materials: Other; Roof: Other
  • Exterior features: Gravel road access; Fencing (unspecified type); Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Water heater (type unspecified)
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Tile floors; Window coverings; Countertops (unspecified material)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 2.7% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
16.88%
Cash-on-cash
37.82%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.2%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$58,411
Equity at exit
$53,963
10-year hold
IRR
40.2%
Equity multiple
10.06×
Total profit
$152,010
Equity at exit
$116,373

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78537

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
323
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $993/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $692
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-05-08
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$993 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$103/yr (+$9/mo · 10.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,436
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$993
− Insurance
−$1,802
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$4,233
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,016
After-tax cash flow
$3,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Donna ISD
NCES district ID
4817390
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$27,330
Composite
11.16/100
National rank
#9728
State rank
#821 of 826 in TX

Livability — Donna

Score
54/100
State rank
#1411
US rank
#24172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
51,346
Population (ZIP)
51,346

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 49% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 91%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada
Languages at home
15% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.30%
Current HPI
243.3933
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $59,900 MCALLENMLS

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $993 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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