1515 Milpitas Blvd #17 · Milpitas, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$340,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready and beautifully updated with rare low space rent of approximately $355/month! Welcome to this turnkey 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Mobilodge of Milpitas Park, a well-kept 55+ senior community in the heart of Milpitas. Freshly painted inside with brand-new appliances, this home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space with soaring vaulted ceilings and an abundance of natural light. The functional floor plan flows easily from the living room into a spacious kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, generous counter space, and a convenient breakfast-bar peninsula. A standout built-in china hutch with glass-front display cabinetry adds charm and extra storage in the dining area. Both bedrooms are comfortable and filled with light, and the home lives easy for everyday comfort. One of the best features? A rare low space rent of approximately $355/month, expected to remain the same for the new owner per park management (buyer to verify). Community amenities include a sparkling pool and clubhouse. Ideally located near shopping, dining, and major commute routes. Community requires at least one resident 55+, with all other occupants 50+. Homes with space rent this low rarely come available don't miss it.
Key facts
- Updated
- Manufactured home
- Freshly painted
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA amenities: Other (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Space 17 (monthly rent $390)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Park home on leased land
- Construction: Property primary ID: 490488; Restrictions: Other (see remarks)
- Exterior features: Other roof (see remarks); Lot size per assessor
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Kitchen/Family room combo; No formal dining room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $335k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $335k (1.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 1.4% in Milpitas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#38 in CA, #1,267 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D, cost of living F.
- Milpitas Unified (urban): math 65% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #44 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.78%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $379,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Wilson Way #171 | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (0%) | 7mo | $360,000 | $321 | 80 |
| 1515 Milpitas Blvd #88 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-2%) | 20mo | $305,000 | $279 | 79 |
| 1515 N Milpitas Blvd #70 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-7%) | 13mo | $352,000 | $338 | 77 |
| 1515 N Milpitas Blvd #66 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,195 (+7%) | 9mo | $420,000 | $351 | 76 |
| 1515 N Milpitas Blvd #97 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,227 (+10%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $269 | 76 |
| 60 Wilson Way #37 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (0%) | 14mo | $380,000 | $339 | 73 |
| 60 Wilson Way #43 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,180 (+5%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $339 | 72 |
| 1515 N Milpitas Blvd #96 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 16mo | $435,000 | $363 | 66 |
| 60 Wilson Way #158 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 8mo | $385,000 | $370 | 61 |
| 60 Wilson Way #55 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+10%) | 2mo | $427,500 | $348 | 61 |
| 120 Dixon Lndg #76 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-14%) | 13mo | $365,000 | $380 | 54 |
| 60 Wilson Way #91 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+12%) | 20mo | $420,000 | $336 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-24,314
- Equity at exit
- $50,695
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $54,682
- Equity at exit
- $29,397
Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95035
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,354 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,783
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$425 /mo · $5,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$704
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $535 | -5% $418 | +0% $300 | +5% $183 | +10% $65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $35 | -5% $168 | +0% $300 | +5% $433 | +10% $565 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $471 | -0.5pp $387 | base $300 | +0.5pp $212 | +1.0pp $122 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,000
- Closing costs
- $10,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 440 Dixon Landing Rd Milpitas, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $3,507 | $3.80 | 0d | 24 | 0.33mi |
| 231 Dixon Landing Rd Milpitas, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $2,872 | $3.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 931 Coventry Cir Milpitas, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1257 | $3,850 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1083 N Abbott Ave Milpitas, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $2,995 | $3.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 804 Erie Cir #1604 Milpitas, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $3,080 | $2.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1010 N Abbott Ave Milpitas, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $3,450 | $2.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 403 Heath St Milpitas, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $3,695 | $3.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 439 Sandhurst Dr Milpitas, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $3,833 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $340,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $340,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $340,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (1262 chars)
Move-in ready and beautifully updated with rare low space rent of approximately $355/month! Welcome to this turnkey 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Mobilodge of Milpitas Park, a well-kept 55+ senior community in the heart of Milpitas. Freshly painted inside with brand-new appliances, this home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space with soaring vaulted ceilings and an abundance of natural light. The functional floor plan flows easily from the living room into a spacious kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, generous counter space, and a convenient breakfast-bar peninsula. A standout built-in china hutch with glass-front display cabinetry adds charm and extra storage in the dining area. Both bedrooms are comfortable and filled with light, and the home lives easy for everyday comfort. One of the best features? A rare low space rent of approximately $355/month, expected to remain the same for the new owner per park management (buyer to verify). Community amenities include a sparkling pool and clubhouse. Ideally located near shopping, dining, and major commute routes. Community requires at least one resident 55+, with all other occupants 50+. Homes with space rent this low rarely come available don't miss it.
-
2026-06-15$340,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (1262 chars)
Move-in ready and beautifully updated with rare low space rent of approximately $355/month! Welcome to this turnkey 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Mobilodge of Milpitas Park, a well-kept 55+ senior community in the heart of Milpitas. Freshly painted inside with brand-new appliances, this home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space with soaring vaulted ceilings and an abundance of natural light. The functional floor plan flows easily from the living room into a spacious kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, generous counter space, and a convenient breakfast-bar peninsula. A standout built-in china hutch with glass-front display cabinetry adds charm and extra storage in the dining area. Both bedrooms are comfortable and filled with light, and the home lives easy for everyday comfort. One of the best features? A rare low space rent of approximately $355/month, expected to remain the same for the new owner per park management (buyer to verify). Community amenities include a sparkling pool and clubhouse. Ideally located near shopping, dining, and major commute routes. Community requires at least one resident 55+, with all other occupants 50+. Homes with space rent this low rarely come available don't miss it.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,250
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,045
- − Property taxes
- −$5,100
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,220
- − Management
- −$3,220
- − Depreciation
- −$9,891
- Taxable loss
- −$1,926
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$462
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milpitas Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0624500
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $101,295
- Composite
- 63.83/100
- National rank
- #591
- State rank
- #44 of 517 in CA
Livability — Milpitas
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #1267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milpitas, CA
- County
- Santa Clara County · 1,806,974 people
- City population
- 78,810
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,810
- Household income
- $178,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1670.0
Population outlook (Santa Clara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,179,074 people
- By 2030
- 2,301,297 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 2,528,195 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 2,712,135 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 2,998,701 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 2,931,429 · +34.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Asian (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 10% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 54% · China, Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 31% English-only · Chinese 14% Other Indo-European 12% Vietnamese 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Clara
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.0) · D 68.1% · R 28.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: 40.9pp · 2024: 40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.0 2020: D+47.4 2016: D+52.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1214.69%
- Current HPI
- 350.2635
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.33%
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $340,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-06-15 Listed $340,000 MLSListings
Property tax history
-9.6%/yrLatest (2011): $285 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…