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Tbd Slick Rock Rd
C- Composite 53.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$22,500

Tbd Slick Rock Rd · Cherokee Village, AR 72542
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured public records · 167 Days on market
3.98 ac lot $47/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hunting Cabin in Ozark Foothills sitting on 4.00 acres near Spring River. This property offers hunting, fishing, canoeing, and kayaking in nearby rivers. The cabin is in need of TLC . There are no closets. Water and electric already in place . Hardwood trees with deer, turkey, and other wildlife.

Key facts

  • Hardwood trees
  • Wildlife
  • 4 acres

Tags

4 ACRESSPRING RIVERHARDWOOD TREESWILDLIFE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 52.4% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 41% / reading 36%, grade F, #105 of 201 statewide, top 52%, 492 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($156 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $19,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.63%
Cap rate
52.39%
Cash-on-cash
164.63%
DSCR
8.33
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,593
List price
$22,500
Delta
-81.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.68×
Total profit
$67,310
Equity at exit
$20,270
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.59×
Total profit
$154,941
Equity at exit
$43,713

Cash invested: $6,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72542

Home prices YoY
26.5%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$118
Tax from tax record
$9 /mo · $110/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$864

Break-even live

Break-even rent $173
Max offer price $22,500
Occupancy floor 27%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $877 -5% $871 +0% $864 +5% $858 +10% $852
Rent -10% $764 -5% $814 +0% $864 +5% $914 +10% $964
Rate -1.0pp $876 -0.5pp $870 base $864 +0.5pp $858 +1.0pp $853

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,625
Closing costs
$675
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $22,500 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $22,500 Active 165 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $22,500 Active 164 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $22,500 Active 163 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $22,500 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $22,500 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $22,500 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $22,500 Active 158 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $22,500 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $22,500 Active 154 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $22,500 Active 153 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $22,500 Active 149 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $22,500 Active 148 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $22,500 Active 147 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $22,500 Active 146 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $22,500 Active 145 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    price $22,500 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Hunting Cabin in Ozark Foothills sitting on 4.00 acres near Spring River. This property offers hunting, fishing, canoeing, and kayaking in nearby rivers. The cabin is in need of TLC . There are no closets. Water and electric already in place . Hardwood trees with deer, turkey, and other wildlife.

  18. 2026-04-09
    price $225,000 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Hunting Cabin in Ozark Foothills sitting on 4.00 acres near Spring River. This property offers hunting, fishing, canoeing, and kayaking in nearby rivers. The cabin is in need of TLC . There are no closets. Water and electric already in place . Hardwood trees with deer, turkey, and other wildlife.

  19. 2026-01-07
    status New Listing 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Hunting Cabin in Ozark Foothills sitting on 4.00 acres near Spring River. This property offers hunting, fishing, canoeing, and kayaking in nearby rivers. The cabin is in need of TLC . There are no closets. Water and electric already in place . Hardwood trees with deer, turkey, and other wildlife.

  20. 2026-01-07
    listed $28,000 New Listing 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Hunting Cabin in Ozark Foothills sitting on 4.00 acres near Spring River. This property offers hunting, fishing, canoeing, and kayaking in nearby rivers. The cabin is in need of TLC . There are no closets. Water and electric already in place . Hardwood trees with deer, turkey, and other wildlife.

  21. 2026-01-06
    historical 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Hunting Cabin in Ozark Foothills sitting on 4.00 acres near Spring River. This property offers hunting, fishing, canoeing, and kayaking in nearby rivers. The cabin is in need of TLC . There are no closets. Water and electric already in place . Hardwood trees with deer, turkey, and other wildlife.

  22. 2026-01-01
    historical
  23. 2025-04-17
    listed $29,000 New Listing
  24. 2023-01-17
    historical
  25. 2023-01-11
    status Back on Market
  26. 2022-12-28
    status Under Contract
  27. 2022-12-13
    price $33,000
  28. 2022-10-06
    listed $35,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$110 · $9/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$144 · $12/mo
Expected delta
+$34/yr (+$3/mo · 31.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,202
− Mortgage interest
−$1,260
− Property taxes
−$110
− Insurance
−$112
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,216
− Management
−$1,216
− Depreciation
−$655
Taxable income
$10,633
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,552
After-tax cash flow
$7,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland School District
NCES district ID
0507770
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,066
Composite
33.63/100
National rank
#5400
State rank
#66 of 238 in AR

Livability — Cherokee Village

Score
62/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#17211

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,090
Population (ZIP)
3,829

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,739 people
By 2030
11,330 · -3.5%
By 2040
10,483 · -10.7%
By 2050
9,717 · -17.2%
By 2075
8,351 · -28.9%
By 2100
6,853 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.0% · R 80.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-43.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -62.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.1 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+33.1 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.05%
Current HPI
191.38
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $22,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $225,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $28,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-04-17 Listed $29,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-01-17 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2023-01-11 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2022-12-28 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-12-13 Price Changed $33,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-10-06 Listed $35,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $110 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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