23804 Blackburn Rd · Oakwood, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property presents an excellent BRRRR opportunity for seasoned investors looking to unlock strong upside potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, the home offers a spacious layout with generously sized living areas, a functional kitchen, and vaulted ceilings that add character and an open feel throughout the main living space. A 2-car attached garage adds both convenience and additional value for future tenants or owner-occupants. The exterior features durable vinyl siding and solid curb appeal, while the interior offers the perfect canvas for investors ready to renovate and restore the property to its full potential. Vacant at closing, this home provides immediate access for reh
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Solid curb appeal
- Accessible location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Private water supply
- Home design: Two-story home; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,590
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 1.9% in Oakwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bedford City (suburban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #597 of 656 in OH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.31%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $208,290
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24455 Tryon Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-10%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $131 | 58 |
| 6705 Tupelo Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,540 (-3%) | 11mo | $247,500 | $161 | 56 |
| 6694 Balsam Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-3%) | 8mo | $229,500 | $149 | 56 |
| 6735 Basswood Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-9%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $128 | 55 |
| 191 Henry St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,574 (-1%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $98 | 54 |
| 7472 Painter Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-2%) | 8mo | $207,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 6562 Pau Pau Ct | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,584 (-0%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $164 | 52 |
| 6604 Basswood Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,376 (-14%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $156 | 41 |
| 6662 Deer Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,476 (-7%) | 20mo | $167,000 | $113 | 35 |
| 7349 Wright Ave | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,352 (-15%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $37 | 31 |
| 6699 Deer Ct | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,372 (-14%) | 16mo | $143,000 | $104 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $22,904
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $84,321
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44146
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,576 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,751/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7287 Wright Ave Bedford, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1752 | $1,795 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6699 Deer Ct Bedford, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1372 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 330 Paul St Bedford, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1891 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 10d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 153 Henry St Bedford, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$120,000 Active
-
2025-05-20soldstatus $110,000
-
2025-01-30soldstatus $70,000
-
2022-04-07historical
-
2022-03-31historical Contingent
-
2022-03-21$109,900 Active
-
2018-07-12historical
-
2018-01-11price $69,900
-
2017-07-13$79,900 Active
-
2007-05-24soldstatus $25,000
-
2007-05-18soldstatus $25,000
-
2007-02-09$27,900
-
2007-02-02historical
-
2007-01-03$42,500
-
2006-12-25historical
-
2006-10-23$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,751 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,751 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,908
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,751
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,513
- − Management
- −$1,513
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $5,211
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,211/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bedford City
- NCES district ID
- 3910017
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,353
- Composite
- 21.69/100
- National rank
- #8273
- State rank
- #597 of 656 in OH
Livability — Oakwood
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakwood, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 32,301
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,349
- Household income
- $54,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 33% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 1% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.08%
- Current HPI
- 172.9421
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.83%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+140.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $120,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-07 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2022-03-31 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2022-03-21 Listed $109,900 MLSNOW
- 2018-07-12 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2018-01-11 Price Changed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-07-13 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-02-09 Listed $27,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-02-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-01-03 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW
- 2006-12-25 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-10-23 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,751 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…