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66 Lewis St Multi-family
A- Composite 81.38
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

66 Lewis St · Buffalo, NY 14206
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,156 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1910 3,180 sqft lot Est $149k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Welcome to 66 Lewis Street in Buffalo’s 14206 area. This well-maintained two-family home offers a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. The lower unit features 2 bedrooms, a living room, dining room, kitchen, and a full bathroom. The upper unit also offers 2 bedrooms, a living room, dining room, kitchen, and a full bathroom. The property includes a full basement, a deck, and a detached garage. The home sits on a stone foundation and provides a practical layout in a convenient location. Priced at $139,900, this is a solid addition to any portfolio or an ideal home for an owner-occupant. Vacant Lot located at 70 Lewis St (SBL#: 140200-112-690-0004-003-000) is included in

Key facts

  • Practical layout
  • Full basement
  • Two family home

Tags

TWO FAMILY HOMEFULL BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGESTONE FOUNDATIONPRACTICAL LAYOUTCONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,844/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $140k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.27%
Cash-on-cash
39.21%
DSCR
2.74
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,764
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1038 Clinton St 0.13mi 6/2.0 2,156 (0%) 18mo $148,530 $69 79
910 Clinton St 0.34mi 6/2.0 2,208 (+2%) 14mo $70,000 $32 69
475 Babcock St 0.30mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,288 (+6%) 12mo $235,000 $103 61
109 Baitz Ave 0.53mi 6/2.0 2,268 (+5%) 11mo $75,000 $33 58
202 Metcalfe St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,960 (-9%) 10mo $215,000 $110 58
138 Scoville Ave 0.44mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,112 (-2%) 20mo $128,000 $61 55
31 Lord St 0.60mi 6/2.0 2,282 (+6%) 11mo $172,500 $76 53
878 Clinton St 0.40mi 6/2.0 2,400 (+11%) 14mo $130,000 $54 51
220 Metcalfe St 0.33mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,896 (-12%) 18mo $70,000 $37 45
555 Fillmore Ave 0.67mi 6/2.0 2,376 (+10%) 16mo $225,000 $95 38
455 Fillmore Ave 0.49mi 6/2.0 2,428 (+13%) 22mo $95,000 $39 38
116 Baitz Ave 0.50mi 6/2.0 2,445 (+13%) 21mo $185,000 $76 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.9%
Equity multiple
4.57×
Total profit
$139,717
Equity at exit
$106,842
10-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
9.81×
Total profit
$344,913
Equity at exit
$212,612

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14206

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,844 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$597
Net cashflow
$1,280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,377 -5% $1,328 +0% $1,280 +5% $1,232 +10% $1,183
Rent -10% $1,055 -5% $1,168 +0% $1,280 +5% $1,392 +10% $1,505
Rate -1.0pp $1,350 -0.5pp $1,316 base $1,280 +0.5pp $1,244 +1.0pp $1,207

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,844

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 25d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-08
    listed $139,900 Active
  3. 2026-01-27
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-26
    historical
  5. 2025-12-02
    listed $139,900 Active
  6. 2019-06-12
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,128
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,098
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,730
− Management
−$2,730
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$13,963
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,351
After-tax cash flow
$12,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,631
Household income
$50,450
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
841.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.06%
Current HPI
457.3935
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+197.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-26 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $224 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…