5049 Birdsong St · North Port, FL 34291

$305,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 503 Days on market

Built 2025 10,000 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• DSCR +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Quartz countertops
• Walk-in closet

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• SOFT CLOSE CABINETS
• WATERPROOF VINYL FLOORING
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• WALK-IN CLOSET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (6.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (30.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $212k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 536 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 503 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $33k; list at $305k implies a 833% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $212,460 (30.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 503 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.70% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.88%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.48%
• DSCR: 0.93
• GRM: 12.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.34×
• Total profit: $-56,288
• Equity at exit: $45,476

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.32×
• Total profit: $-58,319
• Equity at exit: $26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34291

• Home prices YoY: -9.1%
• Active inventory: 536
• Price-to-rent: 12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,125 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,599
• Tax from tax record: −$57 /mo · $685/yr
• Insurance: −$127
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$446
• Net cashflow: $-105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,258

Max offer price $286,422

Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $76,250
• Closing costs: $9,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $305,000 Active 503 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $305,000 Active 502 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $305,000 Active 500 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $305,000 Active 498 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $305,000 Active 497 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $305,000 Active 495 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $305,000 Active 494 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $305,000 Active 492 DOM
9. 2026-06-05
   days on market $305,000 Active 489 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 488 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $305,000 Active 487 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,000 Active 486 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 485 DOM
14. 2026-01-28
    status Active 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

15. 2026-01-26
    historical 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

16. 2025-10-20
    price $309,000 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

17. 2025-08-20
    price $310,000 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

18. 2025-08-20
    status Active 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

19. 2025-08-18
    status Pending 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

20. 2025-07-27
    status Active 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

21. 2025-07-26
    historical 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

22. 2025-05-19
    price $319,000 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

23. 2025-04-03
    price $328,200 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

24. 2025-01-26
    listed $338,200 Active 727-char remark

    Show marketing remark (727 chars)

    Under Construction. New 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in North Port, FL. This stunning residence features an open floor plan, quartz countertops, soft close cabinets, waterproof vinyl flooring throughout, and stainless steel appliances. The master suite includes a walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with tiled shower walls. Enjoy peace of mind with impact windows and the convenience of a two-car garage. The outdoor space offers ample room for activities. Conveniently located near local amenities, parks, schools, and shopping. Be the first to live in this beautiful home – schedule your showing today!Pictures are from a similar model and finishes may vary. All measurements should be verified by Buyers agent.

25. 2021-05-20
    soldstatus $32,700
26. 2004-08-30
    soldstatus $43,500
27. 2004-02-11
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $685 · $57/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,532 · $211/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,847/yr (+$154/mo · 269.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,495
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,085
• − Property taxes: −$685
• − Insurance: −$1,525
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,040
• − Management: −$2,040
• − Depreciation: −$8,873
• Taxable loss: −$6,751
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,620
• After-tax cash flow: $358/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sarasota
• NCES district ID: 1201680
• Math proficiency: 63% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 63% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $51,167
• Composite: 53.68/100
• National rank: #1428
• State rank: #7 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Port

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #252
• US rank: #3975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: North Port, FL
• County: Sarasota County · 448,376 people
• City population: 75,324
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 8,630
• Household income: $93,425
• Rent vs Own: 18.6% rent · 81.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 19.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 452,380 people
• By 2030: 474,175 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 511,577 · +13.1%
• By 2050: 541,467 · +19.7%
• By 2075: 604,947 · +33.7%
• By 2100: 621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6%
• Common ancestry: Subsaharan African 6% French 4% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada
• Languages at home: 72% English-only · Spanish 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

• 2024 margin: R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -30.53%
• Current HPI: 306.4167
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1960.0% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-28 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-20 Price Changed $309,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-20 Price Changed $310,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-07-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-07-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-19 Price Changed $319,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-04-03 Price Changed $328,200 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-01-26 Listed $338,200 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $32,700 Public Records
• 2004-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
• 2004-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $685 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.