🏷️ Likely Rental
2825 W State St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
This Historic City of Milwaukee Multifamily property is available to Owner Occupant Purchasers Only & must be converted from a Multi-family home and to a Single Family Residence. The possibilities for this home are endless! * * (Conversion permit required; must be converted to a single family; Hist. Code: On NRHP and locally designated; Concordia Neighborhood local historic district) * * Per the City this property is ''On Hold''
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Two-story single-family home; Located in a city (Milwaukee)
- Construction: Less than 1/2 acre lot; Lot size approximately 0.1 acre; Zoning: RT3; Year built information from assessor/public record
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Sidewalks
Interior
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Shower over tub
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Wood floors; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Recommended offer: $5k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 319.4% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($5k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 33.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 319.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1118.23%
- DSCR
- 50.75
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,518
- List price
- $5,000
- Delta
- -97.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3425 W Highland Blvd #3427 | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 3,063 (-6%) | 11mo | $158,900 | $52 | 60 |
| 2810 W Mckinley Blvd | 0.32mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 3,722 (+15%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $40 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 66.19×
- Total profit
- $91,264
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 163.39×
- Total profit
- $227,341
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53208
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,695 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $1,305
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,308 | -5% $1,306 | +0% $1,305 | +5% $1,303 | +10% $1,301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,171 | -5% $1,238 | +0% $1,305 | +5% $1,372 | +10% $1,439 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,307 | -0.5pp $1,306 | base $1,305 | +0.5pp $1,303 | +1.0pp $1,302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1227 W Juneau Ave Unit 1227 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3022 | $1,550 | $0.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $5,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $5,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $5,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $5,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $5,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $5,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $5,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $5,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $5,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $5,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $5,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $5,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $5,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $5,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $5,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$5,000 Active 578-char remark
-
2022-03-15historical 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
This Historic City of Milwaukee Multifamily property is available to Owner Occupant Purchasers Only & must be converted from a Multi-family home and to a Single Family Residence. The possibilities for this home are endless! * * (Conversion permit required; must be converted to a single family; Hist. Code: On NRHP and locally designated; Concordia Neighborhood local historic district) * * Per the City this property is ''On Hold''
-
2022-02-16historical
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. (Conversion permit required; must be converted to a single family; Hist. Code: On NRHP and locally designated; Concordia Neighborhood local historic district)This property is strictly restricted for sale for OWNER/OCCUPANCY only. Sealed Bids due by 02/07/2022 by 10:00AM.
-
2022-02-14$5,000 Active 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
This Historic City of Milwaukee Multifamily property is available to Owner Occupant Purchasers Only & must be converted from a Multi-family home and to a Single Family Residence. The possibilities for this home are endless! * * (Conversion permit required; must be converted to a single family; Hist. Code: On NRHP and locally designated; Concordia Neighborhood local historic district) * * Per the City this property is ''On Hold''
-
2022-01-05$5,000 Active
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. (Conversion permit required; must be converted to a single family; Hist. Code: On NRHP and locally designated; Concordia Neighborhood local historic district)This property is strictly restricted for sale for OWNER/OCCUPANCY only. Sealed Bids due by 02/07/2022 by 10:00AM.
-
2018-03-17historical
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2017-12-14$6,200 Active
-
2015-07-17soldstatus $12,000 Sold
-
2015-07-16status Pending
-
2015-07-10historical Contingent
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2015-04-03$19,800 Active
-
2005-10-27soldstatus $77,000
-
2005-09-08soldstatus $80,000
-
1990-07-01soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,627
- − Management
- −$1,627
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $16,561
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,975
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,201
- Household income
- $52,690
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1568.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.92%
- Current HPI
- 333.7268
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.78%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-75.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $5,000 METROMLS
- 2022-03-15 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2022-02-16 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2022-02-14 Listed $5,000 METROMLS
- 2022-01-05 Listed $5,000 METROMLS
- 2018-03-17 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2017-12-14 Listed $6,200 METROMLS
- 2015-07-17 Sold (MLS) $12,000 METROMLS
- 2015-07-16 Pending — METROMLS
- 2015-07-10 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2015-04-03 Listed $19,800 METROMLS
- 2005-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-08 Sold (MLS) $80,000 METROMLS
- 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+23.7%/yrLatest (2020): $6,603 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…