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4010 Lawrence St
C Composite 59.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$24,999

4010 Lawrence St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1923 3,049 sqft lot Est $36k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HANDYMAN SPECIAL & INVESTORS DREAM. GUTTERED TO THE STUDS WITH PLENTY OF WORKABLE SPACE AND NEW PLUMBING. A GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR FIRST-TIME BUYERS OR INVESTORS. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING TODAY!!! ALL DATA & MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE & NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFO & DATA. SHOWINGS ARE BY APPOINTMENT ONLY. PLEASE DO NOT APPROACH THE HOME WITHOUT A CONFIRMED APPOINTMENT. PLEASE DO NOT DISCUSS OFFERS WITH THE SELLER. PLEASE CONTACT A LICENSEE AGENT OR LISTENING OFFICE TO SCHEDULE A SHOWING.

Key facts

  • Workable space
  • New plumbing
  • 3,049 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW PLUMBINGWORKABLE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential; Location: Detroit (municipality: Detroit), Lewis & Crofoots Sub 3 subdivision

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential single-story home; Built in 1923
  • Construction: Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Paved street access; 40' frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the entry level (approx. 11 x 6)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the entry level (approx. 7 x 9, 7 x 9, and 9')
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the entry level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement present (unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Cap rate 39.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $24,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.48%
Cap rate
39.69%
Cash-on-cash
119.29%
DSCR
6.31
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$35,640
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9986 Quincy St 0.14mi 3/1.0 874 (+10%) 17mo $20,000 $23 62
9744 Holmur St 0.30mi 3/1.0 850 (+7%) 14mo $80,000 $94 62
9376 Otsego St 0.44mi 3/1.0 873 (+10%) 9mo $39,500 $45 55
9926 Yosemite St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 787 (-1%) 20mo $10,000 $13 54
9304 Otsego St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 875 (+10%) 5mo $32,500 $37 50
9311 Yellowstone St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 859 (+8%) 7mo $79,150 $92 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.28×
Total profit
$57,959
Equity at exit
$22,521
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.41×
Total profit
$135,884
Equity at exit
$48,568

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,120 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $572/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$696

Break-even live

Break-even rent $239
Max offer price $24,999
Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3226 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 12d 1 0.36mi
3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 782 $850 $1.09 43d 1 0.42mi
3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 4d 1 0.42mi
4268 Cortland St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 0.46mi
9376 Otsego St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 873 $1,396 $1.60 43d 1 0.46mi
3759 Atkinson St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 919 $1,200 $1.31 24d 1 0.59mi
9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 4d 1 0.70mi
3242 Clairmount St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 530 $1,300 $2.45 43d 1 0.73mi
12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $943 $0.94 4d 1 0.74mi
2638 Richton St Unit 2638 Richton Upper Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.74mi
12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,423 $1.58 4d 1 0.77mi
4203 Tyler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $895 $0.94 43d 1 0.78mi
2676 Sturtevant St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 24d 1 0.78mi
3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.79mi
9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 43d 1 0.79mi
3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,523 $1.69 16d 1 0.81mi
12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $975 $1.30 17d 1 0.83mi
12663 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 21d 1 0.83mi
12415 Monica St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 43d 1 0.90mi
4045 Clements St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 43d 1 0.95mi
4045 Clements St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 24d 1 0.95mi
3812 W Grand St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,025 $0.93 16d 1 1.04mi
2285 Cortland St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 16d 1 1.04mi
2023 Tuxedo St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 24d 1 1.08mi
2531 Pingree St Unit 2 (FL 2) Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 893 $1,100 $1.23 1d 1 1.21mi
2926 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 17d 1 1.25mi
8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 24d 1 1.26mi
2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 24d 4 1.26mi
2034 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 4d 1 1.27mi
13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1064 $1,374 $1.29 12d 1 1.29mi
13639 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 10d 1 1.30mi
2433 Pasadena St Unit 2435 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 43d 1 1.33mi
2021 Blaine St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 684 $1,200 $1.75 43d 1 1.42mi
5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on marketlisting id $24,999 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,999 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,999 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,999 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    listing id $24,999 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    remarks 511-char remark
  7. 2026-06-15
    listed $24,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$572 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$572 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,443
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$572
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,075
− Management
−$1,075
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$8,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,032
After-tax cash flow
$6,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $24,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $24,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-08-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-06-07 Listed $16,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-05-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-14 Listed $27,590 REALCOMP
  • 2003-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-17 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-02-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-01-15 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $25,115 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $572 · -49.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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