4010 Lawrence St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$24,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HANDYMAN SPECIAL & INVESTORS DREAM. GUTTERED TO THE STUDS WITH PLENTY OF WORKABLE SPACE AND NEW PLUMBING. A GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR FIRST-TIME BUYERS OR INVESTORS. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING TODAY!!! ALL DATA & MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE & NOT GUARANTEED. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFO & DATA. SHOWINGS ARE BY APPOINTMENT ONLY. PLEASE DO NOT APPROACH THE HOME WITHOUT A CONFIRMED APPOINTMENT. PLEASE DO NOT DISCUSS OFFERS WITH THE SELLER. PLEASE CONTACT A LICENSEE AGENT OR LISTENING OFFICE TO SCHEDULE A SHOWING.
Key facts
- Workable space
- New plumbing
- 3,049 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential; Location: Detroit (municipality: Detroit), Lewis & Crofoots Sub 3 subdivision
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential single-story home; Built in 1923
- Construction: Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Paved street access; 40' frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the entry level (approx. 11 x 6)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the entry level (approx. 7 x 9, 7 x 9, and 9')
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the entry level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement present (unfinished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 39.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 119.29%
- DSCR
- 6.31
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $35,640
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9986 Quincy St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 874 (+10%) | 17mo | $20,000 | $23 | 62 |
| 9744 Holmur St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (+7%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $94 | 62 |
| 9376 Otsego St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 873 (+10%) | 9mo | $39,500 | $45 | 55 |
| 9926 Yosemite St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 787 (-1%) | 20mo | $10,000 | $13 | 54 |
| 9304 Otsego St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (+10%) | 5mo | $32,500 | $37 | 50 |
| 9311 Yellowstone St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 859 (+8%) | 7mo | $79,150 | $92 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.28×
- Total profit
- $57,959
- Equity at exit
- $22,521
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.41×
- Total profit
- $135,884
- Equity at exit
- $48,568
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48204
- Home prices YoY
- 18.5%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,120 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $696
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3226 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $850 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4268 Cortland St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9376 Otsego St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,396 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3759 Atkinson St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,200 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3242 Clairmount St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $1,300 | $2.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $943 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2638 Richton St Unit 2638 Richton Upper Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,423 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4203 Tyler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $895 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2676 Sturtevant St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,523 | $1.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 12415 Monica St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4045 Clements St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4045 Clements St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3812 W Grand St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2285 Cortland St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2023 Tuxedo St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2531 Pingree St Unit 2 (FL 2) Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2926 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 24d | 4 | 1.26mi |
| 2034 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,374 | $1.29 | 12d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13639 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 10d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2433 Pasadena St Unit 2435 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,025 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2021 Blaine St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,200 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $24,999 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $24,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15$24,999 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 511-char remark
-
2026-06-15$24,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,075
- − Management
- −$1,075
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $8,468
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,696
- Household income
- $34,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1418.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.51%
- Current HPI
- 234.0465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-0.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $24,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-13 Listed $24,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-06-07 Listed $16,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-05-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-04-14 Listed $27,590 REALCOMP
- 2003-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-17 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-02-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-01-15 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $25,115 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $572 · -49.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…