17038 E Nc 55 Hwy · Stonewall, NC
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A RESIDENTIAL AND/OR COMMERCIAL OPPORTUNITY IN THE STONEWALL COMMUNITY! Located on NC 55, with wide road frontage (over 208') and all of the unique potential you could ever want in a property, which is so conveniently located. The 2-bedroom residence has abundant character with a Southwest flavor is awaiting your renovations to make it your own! It is a ''Toolbox Special'', with work to be done, some extensive by appearance, but appears a great investment value and a highly adaptable floor plan! It has a metal roof, lots of tile work in the house, a large living room and fantastic country kitchen layout! The architectural style is enhanced by a huge double carport and covered patio area. Yo
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Double carport
- Large living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space with workshop area; Carport with 2 spaces; Additional off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: 1; Wood siding and frame construction
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Pond view; Outbuildings including shed(s), storage, workshop; Additional on-site parking (gravel/unpaved areas); No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating and cooling); Electric heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 47/100 on livability (#718 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pamlico County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #111 of 178 in NC (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pamlico County Primary (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 345 students, 99% FRL); Pamlico County Middle (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #215 of 475 statewide, top 46%, 271 students, 98% FRL); Pamlico County High (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #334 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 464 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 56% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Pamlico County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pamlico County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.19%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $59,850
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17038 Nc 55 Hwy | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 1,578 (+0%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $38 | 96 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $37,221
- Equity at exit
- $40,018
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $95,550
- Equity at exit
- $61,673
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28515
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,388 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$89,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,657
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$1,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $3,840
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$922
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,060/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The property presents a fair condition with moderate rehabilitation needs, offering potential for significant value increase through updates.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — simple and outdated
- Moderate exterior siding — some discoloration
- Minor landscaping — simple landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both repair and paint exterior siding — improving exterior appearance boosts both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · simple and outdated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · simple landscaping | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $9,500–48,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both repair and paint exterior siding — improving exterior appearance boosts both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pamlico County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703510
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,650
- Composite
- 34.19/100
- National rank
- #5272
- State rank
- #111 of 178 in NC
Livability — Stonewall
- Score
- 47/100
- State rank
- #718
- US rank
- #26270
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stonewall, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,759
Population outlook (Pamlico County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,046 people
- By 2030
- 11,446 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 9,947 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 8,639 · -28.3%
- By 2075
- 6,578 · -45.4%
- By 2100
- 4,814 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Pamlico
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.6% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -32.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.1 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $89,000 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…