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327 Sykesville Rd
D Composite 43.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,777

327 Sykesville Rd · Williamstown, NJ 08094
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,668 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1976 0.58 ac lot Est $382k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Pack Your Bags!Great Area, Near Ballfields, Great Rear Yd, Trane Xl1200super Hi Eff C/A Unit 6 Yrs Young Transferrable Warranty, 4 Yr Old Vinyl Fl In Kit & Din Rm, 4 Yr Old W/ W In Br 2 & 3,Owner Painting T/O New Insul Gar Dr, 1 Yr Wnt Poss:July 21 Has warranty.

Key facts

  • Office space
  • Open living room
  • Relaxing views

Tags

OPEN LIVING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENFAMILY ROOMOFFICE SPACEBONUS ROOMRELAXING VIEWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached oversized garage (1 space); Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached property; Shingle roof; Replacement windows
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built year estimated; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot approximately 0.58 acre

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Attic/house fan; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-209/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $347k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $312k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $312k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.9% in Williamstown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#289 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 268 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $350k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $311,764 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$381,972
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
308 Oak St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-6%) 4mo $419,000 $267 77
643 Blue Bell Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,570 (-6%) 5mo $364,900 $232 69
221 Oak St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-14%) 3mo $255,000 $177 63
30 Tool Ln 0.20mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,844 (+11%) 4mo $345,000 $187 61
229 Ireland Ter 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,638 (-2%) 2mo $385,000 $235 59
110 Washington Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,559 (-6%) 1mo $370,000 $237 55
432 Madison Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,464 (-12%) 1mo $290,000 $198 52
921 N Beecham Rd 0.63mi 3/2.5 1,800 (+8%) 3mo $430,000 $239 51
38 Walnut St 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,806 (+8%) 4mo $360,000 $199 51
53 Linwood Ave 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,832 (+10%) 1mo $420,000 $229 50
109 Poplar St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,496 (-10%) 4mo $330,000 $221 47
255 Washington Ave 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,800 (+8%) 2mo $410,000 $228 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-57,702
Equity at exit
$52,153
10-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-51,325
Equity at exit
$30,242

Cash invested: $97,938 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08094

Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,118 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,834
Tax from tax record
$500 /mo · $6,004/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$655
Net cashflow
$-17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,140
Max offer price $346,702
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,444
Closing costs
$10,493
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
62 Washington Ave Williamstown, NJ 3.0 1.5 1434 $2,600 $1.81 7d 1 0.54mi
913 Hampton Way Williamstown, NJ 4.0 2.0 2012 $2,750 $1.37 1d 1 0.60mi
385 N Tuckahoe Rd Unit 969 Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,999 $2.00 24d 1 1.22mi
945 Woodview Ct Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,999 $2.00 22d 1 1.25mi
969 Woodview Ct Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,999 $2.00 20d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    price $349,777
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $359,777 Active
  3. 2000-12-12
    soldstatus $115,000
  4. 2000-12-08
    soldstatus $115,000 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Pack Your Bags!Great Area, Near Ballfields, Great Rear Yd, Trane Xl1200super Hi Eff C/A Unit 6 Yrs Young Transferrable Warranty, 4 Yr Old Vinyl Fl In Kit & Din Rm, 4 Yr Old W/ W In Br 2 & 3,Owner Painting T/O New Insul Gar Dr, 1 Yr Wnt Poss:July 21 Has warranty.

  5. 2000-10-09
    historical 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Pack Your Bags!Great Area, Near Ballfields, Great Rear Yd, Trane Xl1200super Hi Eff C/A Unit 6 Yrs Young Transferrable Warranty, 4 Yr Old Vinyl Fl In Kit & Din Rm, 4 Yr Old W/ W In Br 2 & 3,Owner Painting T/O New Insul Gar Dr, 1 Yr Wnt Poss:July 21 Has warranty.

  6. 2000-06-19
    listed $115,000 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Pack Your Bags!Great Area, Near Ballfields, Great Rear Yd, Trane Xl1200super Hi Eff C/A Unit 6 Yrs Young Transferrable Warranty, 4 Yr Old Vinyl Fl In Kit & Din Rm, 4 Yr Old W/ W In Br 2 & 3,Owner Painting T/O New Insul Gar Dr, 1 Yr Wnt Poss:July 21 Has warranty.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,004 · $500/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,357 · $613/mo
Expected delta
+$1,353/yr (+$113/mo · 22.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,412
− Mortgage interest
−$19,593
− Property taxes
−$6,004
− Insurance
−$1,749
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,993
− Management
−$2,993
− Depreciation
−$10,175
Taxable loss
−$6,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,463
After-tax cash flow
$1,254/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$71,557
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6295
State rank
#302 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Williamstown

Score
69/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#8603

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamstown, NJ
County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
City population
41,595
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
41,595
Household income
$96,699
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.12%
Current HPI
278.3849
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+204.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $349,777 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $359,777 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2000-12-08 Sold (MLS) $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-10-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-19 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,004 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…