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2271 Route 50
B Composite 72.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

2271 Route 50 · Tuckahoe, NJ 08270
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,484 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1940 6,530 sqft lot $67/sqft · 68% below area ↓ 49% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Zoning: TV - District is designated for a mix of residential, commercial, and, in some areas, waterfront development to support local growth. House is in need of extensive renovation and is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. Shared Driveway with adjacent property owner. Qualified Owner Occupant Buyers can use a renovation loan to buy the property and fund the repairs into one loan at the end. . House has been red tagged by township and is not structurally sound. Do not go into house or onto property . as it is unsafe.

Key facts

  • 6,530 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $928 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Upper Township School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #151 of 472 in NJ (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
17.43%
Cash-on-cash
39.79%
DSCR
2.77
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$310,982
List price
$100,000
Delta
-67.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 Reading Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,500 (+1%) 22mo $255,000 $170 70
101 Whitman Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,497 (+1%) 3mo $459,500 $307 66
147 Reading Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+9%) 15mo $308,000 $190 65
147 Reading Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+9%) 16mo $308,000 $190 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$43,080
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
42.9%
Equity multiple
5.08×
Total profit
$114,283
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08270

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,299 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$321 /mo · $3,858/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$928

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,124
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $985 -5% $957 +0% $928 +5% $900 +10% $872
Rent -10% $747 -5% $838 +0% $928 +5% $1,019 +10% $1,110
Rate -1.0pp $979 -0.5pp $954 base $928 +0.5pp $902 +1.0pp $876

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
  19. 2026-03-07
    listed $100,000 Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Zoning: TV - District is designated for a mix of residential, commercial, and, in some areas, waterfront development to support local growth. House is in need of extensive renovation and is being sold in ''AS IS'' condition. Shared Driveway with adjacent property owner. Qualified Owner Occupant Buyers can use a renovation loan to buy the property and fund the repairs into one loan at the end. . House has been red tagged by township and is not structurally sound. Do not go into house or onto property . as it is unsafe.

  20. 2025-02-13
    soldstatus $55,000
  21. 2025-01-31
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Welcome to 2271 Route 50, excellent investment opportunity! Whether you're seeking a serene permanent residence or a lucrative rental investment, 2271 Route 50 holds immense potential. Value is in the land.

  22. 2024-01-09
    status Pending 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Welcome to 2271 Route 50, excellent investment opportunity! Whether you're seeking a serene permanent residence or a lucrative rental investment, 2271 Route 50 holds immense potential. Value is in the land.

  23. 2023-11-15
    price $70,000
  24. 2023-11-14
    price $70,000 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Welcome to 2271 Route 50, excellent investment opportunity! Whether you're seeking a serene permanent residence or a lucrative rental investment, 2271 Route 50 holds immense potential. Value is in the land.

  25. 2023-10-17
    listed $80,000 Active 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Welcome to 2271 Route 50, excellent investment opportunity! Whether you're seeking a serene permanent residence or a lucrative rental investment, 2271 Route 50 holds immense potential. Value is in the land.

  26. 2023-08-29
    historical
  27. 2023-08-22
    price $140,000
  28. 2023-08-11
    listed $150,000 Active
  29. 2023-08-09
    historical
  30. 2023-08-09
    listed $150,000 Active
  31. 2007-10-24
    soldstatus $162,000
  32. 2007-05-31
    historical
  33. 2007-01-19
    listed $189,900
  34. 2006-12-31
    historical
  35. 2006-10-09
    listed $194,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,858 · $321/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,858 · $321/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,584
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$3,858
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,207
− Management
−$2,207
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$10,302
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,473
After-tax cash flow
$8,668/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Upper Township School District
NCES district ID
3416650
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$78,141
Composite
43.29/100
National rank
#3040
State rank
#151 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Tuckahoe

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Tuckahoe, NJ
Population (ZIP)
8,239

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape May

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.19%
Current HPI
300.6266
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-48.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-31 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-01-09 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-15 Price Changed $70,000 CMCMLS
  • 2023-11-14 Price Changed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-17 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-22 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-11 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-09 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-01-19 Listed $189,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-12-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-10-09 Listed $194,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,858 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…