12346 Elmdale St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick two story home has wonderful curb appeal, wood floors, lovely tile and so much potential for a fixer upper in a desirable location. See it today! Needs repairs. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS†without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1941
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,333/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $582 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.91%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,320
- List price
- $84,200
- Delta
- 11.79%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12328 Longview St | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-6%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $61 | 80 |
| 12304 Rosemary St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,480 (-1%) | 6mo | $22,000 | $15 | 72 |
| 12737 Promenade St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-4%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $35 | 61 |
| 5794 Dickerson St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,467 (-2%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $80 | 60 |
| 11824 Wilshire Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-6%) | 10mo | $77,400 | $55 | 60 |
| 12572 Rosemary St | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,419 (-5%) | 10mo | $84,000 | $59 | 58 |
| 12590 Rosemary St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,632 (+9%) | 12mo | $41,501 | $25 | 52 |
| 13310 Wilshire Dr | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+7%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $34 | 52 |
| 13134 corbett Corbett St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,407 (-6%) | 9mo | $79,900 | $57 | 52 |
| 12816 Rosemary St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,659 (+11%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $79 | 50 |
| 12027 Kilbourne Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,561 (+4%) | 10mo | $137,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 13106 Kilbourne St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,666 (+11%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $75 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $17,534
- Equity at exit
- $12,554
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $55,440
- Equity at exit
- $7,280
Cash invested: $23,576 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,333 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$442
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,047/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $489
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $537 | -5% $513 | +0% $489 | +5% $466 | +10% $442 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $384 | -5% $437 | +0% $489 | +5% $542 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $532 | -0.5pp $511 | base $489 | +0.5pp $468 | +1.0pp $445 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,050
- Closing costs
- $2,526
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 19d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1874 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5856 Barrett St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 26d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1598 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 6d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,473 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 19d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,200 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,200 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,200 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,200 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,200 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,200 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,200 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,200 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $84,200 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $91,100 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $91,100 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $91,100 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $91,100 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $91,100 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $97,900 471-char remark
Show marketing remark (471 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick two story home has wonderful curb appeal, wood floors, lovely tile and so much potential for a fixer upper in a desirable location. See it today! Needs repairs. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS†without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding.
-
2026-05-01price $97,900 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick two story home has wonderful curb appeal, wood floors, lovely tile and so much potential for a fixer upper in a desirable location. See it today! Needs repairs. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS” without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding.
-
2026-04-15$103,900 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (471 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick two story home has wonderful curb appeal, wood floors, lovely tile and so much potential for a fixer upper in a desirable location. See it today! Needs repairs. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS†without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding.
-
2026-04-15$103,900 Active 471-char remark
Show marketing remark (471 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick two story home has wonderful curb appeal, wood floors, lovely tile and so much potential for a fixer upper in a desirable location. See it today! Needs repairs. RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold “AS-IS†without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,047 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,172 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$125/yr (+$10/mo · 11.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,717
- − Property taxes
- −$1,047
- − Insurance
- −$421
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,280
- − Management
- −$1,280
- − Depreciation
- −$2,449
- Taxable income
- $4,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-5.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $97,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $97,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $103,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $103,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,047 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…