3005 Old Alice Rd Unit 1000B · Brownsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Upstairs unit
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime D-.
- Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.42%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,379
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 37.92%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-9,524
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,005
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78526
- Home prices YoY
- -12.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 413
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$303
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3500 Old Alice Rd Unit 1100 H Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 375 Media Luna Rd Brownsville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,202 | $1.28 | 14d | 2 | 0.21mi |
| 401 Jose Marti Blvd Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 711 | $1,200 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 441 Jose Marti Blvd Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $2,000 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 745 Media Luna Rd Unit SANTANDER Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 745 Media Luna Rd Unit SEVILLA Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 95 Poinciana Dr Brownsville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1130 | $2,075 | $1.84 | 44d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 95 Poinciana Dr Brownsville, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 14d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 714 Continental Dr #3 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1482 | $2,400 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 801 Continental Dr #3 Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,225 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2100 W San Marcelo Blvd Brownsville, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1069 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 44d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 2901 Central Blvd Unit 202 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2100 W San Marcelo Blvd Apt 185 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2425 Barnard Rd Brownsville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,165 | $1.31 | 14d | 12 | 0.77mi |
| 460 Gilson Rd Unit 2 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $875 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2425 Barnard Rd Unit ujnit 1-A Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2425 Barnard Rd Unit A-13 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,250 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 625 Habana St Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 424 Gilson Rd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 402 Champions Dr Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $1,300 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 142 Country Club Rd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 10 Country Club Rd Unit A Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 11 Country Club Rd Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2393 McAllen Rd Unit D1-7 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 801 Tropical Dr Unit 3 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1617 E Los Ebanos Blvd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,900 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 184 Stars Ave Unit 7 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1618 E Los Ebanos Blvd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,700 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 42 Fairway Dr Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1604 Yale Ave Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1405 Harvard Ave Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,700 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 605 Paredes Line Rd Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1904 Central Blvd Brownsville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $888 | $0.85 | 44d | 9 | 1.34mi |
| 2700 Farm to Market Road 802 Brownsville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,658 | $1.67 | 14d | 8 | 1.35mi |
| 1653 W San Marcelo Blvd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3055 El Paso Rd Unit H-1 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending 218-char remark
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.
-
2026-03-28status Active 218-char remark
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.
-
2026-03-27status Pending 218-char remark
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.
-
2025-12-15$115,000 Active 218-char remark
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,884
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − HOA
- −$3,636
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$33
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,712/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained and updated condo is in excellent condition and ready for move-in. It offers a great location with all amenities and is a solid investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal and value.
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Installing a smart home system — Smart home features can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Installing a smart home system — Smart home features can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811680
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,490
- Composite
- 21.8/100
- National rank
- #8249
- State rank
- #710 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,012
- Household income
- $70,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1063.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 45% White 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 87%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 19% English-only · Spanish 79% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.28%
- Current HPI
- 220.5233
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — RGVMLS
- 2026-03-28 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2026-03-27 Pending — RGVMLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $115,000 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…