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3005 Old Alice Rd Unit 1000B
D+ Composite 48.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

3005 Old Alice Rd Unit 1000B · Brownsville, TX 78526
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,007 sqft · Condo · 93 Days on market
Built 1974 Good condition $114/sqft · 38% above area Est $83k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.

Key facts

  • Centrally located
  • Upstairs unit
  • Pool

Tags

UPSTAIRS UNITALL APPLIANCES INCLUDEDCENTRALLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime D-.
  • Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,650 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.42%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,379
List price
$115,000
Delta
37.92%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-9,524
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,005
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78526

Home prices YoY
-12.1%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
413
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
$303
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,390
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3500 Old Alice Rd Unit 1100 H Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.0 1005 $1,500 $1.49 44d 1 0.04mi
375 Media Luna Rd Brownsville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,202 $1.28 14d 2 0.21mi
401 Jose Marti Blvd Brownsville, TX 1.0 1.5 711 $1,200 $1.69 21d 1 0.38mi
441 Jose Marti Blvd Brownsville, TX 1.0 1.5 750 $2,000 $2.67 44d 1 0.46mi
745 Media Luna Rd Unit SANTANDER Brownsville, TX 1.0 1.5 800 $1,400 $1.75 44d 1 0.54mi
745 Media Luna Rd Unit SEVILLA Brownsville, TX 1.0 1.5 800 $1,400 $1.75 21d 1 0.54mi
95 Poinciana Dr Brownsville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1130 $2,075 $1.84 44d 2 0.60mi
95 Poinciana Dr Brownsville, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0 1218 $1,500 $1.23 14d 2 0.60mi
714 Continental Dr #3 Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,400 $1.62 44d 1 0.63mi
801 Continental Dr #3 Brownsville, TX 1.0 1.0 986 $1,225 $1.24 21d 1 0.65mi
2100 W San Marcelo Blvd Brownsville, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1069 $1,450 $1.36 44d 2 0.68mi
2901 Central Blvd Unit 202 Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1176 $1,400 $1.19 21d 1 0.74mi
2100 W San Marcelo Blvd Apt 185 Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1024 $1,500 $1.46 21d 1 0.76mi
2425 Barnard Rd Brownsville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 886 $1,165 $1.31 14d 12 0.77mi
460 Gilson Rd Unit 2 Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $875 $1.03 21d 1 0.77mi
2425 Barnard Rd Unit ujnit 1-A Brownsville, TX 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,600 $1.23 44d 1 0.78mi
2425 Barnard Rd Unit A-13 Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1137 $1,250 $1.10 44d 1 0.78mi
625 Habana St Brownsville, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 21d 1 0.82mi
424 Gilson Rd Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,500 $1.07 44d 1 0.83mi
402 Champions Dr Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.5 814 $1,300 $1.60 21d 1 0.92mi
142 Country Club Rd Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.5 1460 $1,800 $1.23 44d 1 0.96mi
10 Country Club Rd Unit A Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 44d 1 1.00mi
11 Country Club Rd Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 21d 1 1.01mi
2393 McAllen Rd Unit D1-7 Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.5 1040 $1,400 $1.35 21d 1 1.04mi
801 Tropical Dr Unit 3 Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 44d 1 1.11mi
1617 E Los Ebanos Blvd Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,900 $1.61 21d 1 1.14mi
184 Stars Ave Unit 7 Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,900 $1.31 21d 1 1.16mi
1618 E Los Ebanos Blvd Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,700 $1.58 44d 1 1.16mi
42 Fairway Dr Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,500 $1.92 21d 1 1.19mi
1604 Yale Ave Brownsville, TX 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,800 $1.37 21d 1 1.21mi
1405 Harvard Ave Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,700 $1.19 44d 1 1.22mi
605 Paredes Line Rd Brownsville, TX 2.0 1.5 900 $875 $0.97 44d 1 1.34mi
1904 Central Blvd Brownsville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1046 $888 $0.85 44d 9 1.34mi
2700 Farm to Market Road 802 Brownsville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $1,658 $1.67 14d 8 1.35mi
1653 W San Marcelo Blvd Brownsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,700 $1.40 21d 1 1.48mi
3055 El Paso Rd Unit H-1 Brownsville, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 44d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.

  2. 2026-03-28
    status Active 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.

  3. 2026-03-27
    status Pending 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.

  4. 2025-12-15
    listed $115,000 Active 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Wonderful condo in a great location with all the amenities you could need. Upstairs unit with 2 bedrooms and 2 bath. La Plaza Condos are centrally located to the expressway and shopping. Bonus: all appliances included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,884
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− HOA
−$3,636
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$33
After-tax cash flow
$1,712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained and updated condo is in excellent condition and ready for move-in. It offers a great location with all amenities and is a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Installing a smart home system — Smart home features can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Installing a smart home system — Smart home features can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brownsville ISD
NCES district ID
4811680
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$30,490
Composite
21.8/100
National rank
#8249
State rank
#710 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brownsville

Score
79/100
State rank
#62
US rank
#2311

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brownsville, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
60,012
Household income
$70,565
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
1063.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 45% White 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 87%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
19% English-only · Spanish 79% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.28%
Current HPI
220.5233
Rent YoY
▲ 2.77%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $115,000 RGVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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