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802 E Spur Ct
B Composite 72.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$339,000

802 E Spur Ct · Hemlock Farms, PA 18428
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,495 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1970 1.00 ac lot $227/sqft · 29% above area Est $316k · 7% over $250/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away on a quiet double lot on a cul-de-sac, this custom modified Redwood A-frame home offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and natural charm. Set on a flat, beautifully wooded one-acre lot, the property provides privacy, serenity, and plenty of space to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find top-of-the-line finishes throughout, Slate Style Architectural shingles, Anderson windows, Brazilian Cherry Flooring, high end kitchen cabinets and granite counters, this home is highlighted by the signature soaring ceilings and expansive windows and skylights that fill the home with natural light. A wood burning stove offers heat and a snug ambiance. The thoughtfully designed layout includes three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering both comfort and functionality, with a wood burning stove for everyday living or weekend escapes. A one-car garage adds convenience, and an open deck offers outside entertaining area, whether you're looking for a peaceful vacation retreat or a cozy full-time residence for a small family, this stunning A-frame delivers the best of both worlds. Turn Key opportunity! House is being sold furnished ( with a few exclusions) making it easy to move right in and enjoy!

Key facts

  • Open deck
  • Wooded lot
  • Expansive windows

Tags

CUL-DE-SACWOODED LOTSOARING CEILINGSEXPANSIVE WINDOWSOPEN DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $339k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $339k).
  • Recommended offer: $319k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 7.1% in Hemlock Farms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $318,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.03%
Cash-on-cash
13.36%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$316,091
List price
$339,000
Delta
7.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
804 Rowel Ct 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+3%) 18mo $189,900 $124 71
803 Lariat Ct 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,588 (+6%) 8mo $190,000 $120 66
800 Osprey Ct 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+5%) 9mo $310,000 $198 60
106 Fetlock Dr 0.15mi 3/3.0 1,700 (+14%) 7mo $255,000 $150 58
109 Canterbrook Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+3%) 11mo $275,000 $179 56
211 Stirrup Ln 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,638 (+10%) 22mo $283,500 $173 51
603 Forest Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,276 (-15%) 12mo $269,000 $211 46
144 Pommel Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,282 (-14%) 14mo $265,000 $207 44
223 Comstock dr Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,420 (-5%) 22mo $200,000 $141 41
809 Lasso Ct N 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,368 (-8%) 12mo $279,000 $204 41
118 Ledgeway Ln 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,716 (+15%) 8mo $399,999 $233 35
101 Widgeon Ln 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,304 (-13%) 24mo $252,500 $194 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$252,047
Equity at exit
$305,398
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
8.26×
Total profit
$689,496
Equity at exit
$658,602

Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18428

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,373 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,778
Tax from tax record
$228 /mo · $2,741/yr
Insurance
$141
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$918
Net cashflow
$1,057

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,035
Max offer price $339,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,249 -5% $1,153 +0% $1,057 +5% $961 +10% $865
Rent -10% $712 -5% $884 +0% $1,057 +5% $1,230 +10% $1,402
Rate -1.0pp $1,228 -0.5pp $1,143 base $1,057 +0.5pp $969 +1.0pp $880

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,750
Closing costs
$10,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 Pommel Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 1691 $4,400 $2.60 1d 1 0.08mi
113 Portage Ln Milford, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,000 $2.86 1d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $339,000 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $339,000 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $339,000 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $339,000 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $339,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $339,000 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $339,000 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $339,000 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $339,000 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $339,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $339,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $339,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $339,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $339,000 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $339,000 1216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1216 chars)

    Tucked away on a quiet double lot on a cul-de-sac, this custom modified Redwood A-frame home offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and natural charm. Set on a flat, beautifully wooded one-acre lot, the property provides privacy, serenity, and plenty of space to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find top-of-the-line finishes throughout, Slate Style Architectural shingles, Anderson windows, Brazilian Cherry Flooring, high end kitchen cabinets and granite counters, this home is highlighted by the signature soaring ceilings and expansive windows and skylights that fill the home with natural light. A wood burning stove offers heat and a snug ambiance. The thoughtfully designed layout includes three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering both comfort and functionality, with a wood burning stove for everyday living or weekend escapes. A one-car garage adds convenience, and an open deck offers outside entertaining area, whether you're looking for a peaceful vacation retreat or a cozy full-time residence for a small family, this stunning A-frame delivers the best of both worlds. Turn Key opportunity! House is being sold furnished ( with a few exclusions) making it easy to move right in and enjoy!

  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $345,000 Active 1216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1216 chars)

    Tucked away on a quiet double lot on a cul-de-sac, this custom modified Redwood A-frame home offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and natural charm. Set on a flat, beautifully wooded one-acre lot, the property provides privacy, serenity, and plenty of space to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find top-of-the-line finishes throughout, Slate Style Architectural shingles, Anderson windows, Brazilian Cherry Flooring, high end kitchen cabinets and granite counters, this home is highlighted by the signature soaring ceilings and expansive windows and skylights that fill the home with natural light. A wood burning stove offers heat and a snug ambiance. The thoughtfully designed layout includes three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering both comfort and functionality, with a wood burning stove for everyday living or weekend escapes. A one-car garage adds convenience, and an open deck offers outside entertaining area, whether you're looking for a peaceful vacation retreat or a cozy full-time residence for a small family, this stunning A-frame delivers the best of both worlds. Turn Key opportunity! House is being sold furnished ( with a few exclusions) making it easy to move right in and enjoy!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,741 · $228/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,049 · $337/mo
Expected delta
+$1,307/yr (+$109/mo · 47.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,472
− Mortgage interest
−$18,989
− Property taxes
−$2,741
− Insurance
−$1,695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,198
− Management
−$4,198
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$9,862
Taxable income
$7,789
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,869
After-tax cash flow
$10,814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hemlock Farms

Score
68/100
State rank
#884
US rank
#9421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemlock Farms, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,446

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.60%
Current HPI
340.8254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $339,000 PWMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $345,000 PWMLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,741 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…