2923 Virginia Rd · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BEAUTIFUL BRICK RANCH W/ 3 BEDROOMS, LARGE HOMESITE . 75 ACRE. LAMINATE FLOORING ONLY 2 YEARS OLD. WINDOWS 2 YEARS OLD. GREAT PLACE TO ENJOY THE GREAT OUTDOORS IN THE HUGE FRONT AND BACKYARD. COVERED FRONT PORCH.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Laminate flooring
- Brick ranch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association amenities: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Crawl space / no basement
- Exterior features: Patio; Front porch; Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Range; Smoke detector(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $136k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Terrace Manor Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 254 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $940 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.06%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,060
- List price
- $135,900
- Delta
- -15.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2391 Wheeless Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,271 (-4%) | 3mo | $159,990 | $126 | 76 |
| 2820 Virginia Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,433 (+8%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $132 | 76 |
| 3011 Storey Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,370 (+3%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $73 | 70 |
| 2805 Virginia Rd | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (+5%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $87 | 69 |
| 2444 Ridge Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (+4%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 3024 Sprucewood Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,211 (-9%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $165 | 61 |
| 2917 Deans Bridge Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (-3%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $113 | 57 |
| 3114 Conner Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-12%) | 4mo | $156,900 | $134 | 53 |
| 2408 Golden Camp Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,458 (+10%) | 5mo | $95,500 | $66 | 51 |
| 2313 Ridge Rd | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+13%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $137 | 49 |
| 3004 Acorn Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,138 (-14%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $136 | 43 |
| 2447 Ridge Rd Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,189 (-10%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $114 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-19,519
- Equity at exit
- $20,263
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-23,246
- Equity at exit
- $11,750
Cash invested: $38,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30906
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$713
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $174 | -5% $135 | +0% $97 | +5% $59 | +10% $20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2 | -5% $48 | +0% $97 | +5% $146 | +10% $196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $132 | base $97 | +0.5pp $62 | +1.0pp $26 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,975
- Closing costs
- $4,077
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2818 Gordy Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $825 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2663 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1250 | $1,446 | $1.16 | 24d | 3 | 0.32mi |
| 3012 Pinewood Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,100 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2820 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2824 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2826 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,095 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2826 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,095 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2816 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2810 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $975 | $0.95 | 45d | 6 | 0.36mi |
| 2851 Rocky Creek Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1171 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2851 Rocky Creek Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1171 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3018 Acorn Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,115 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2605 Shalimar Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2544 Dover St Unit 2544 Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3309 Tate Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $1,500 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2730 Lakewood Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1460 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2730 Lakewood Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1460 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2204 Sandra Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,585 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2205 Southgate Dr Augusta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 770 | $1,099 | $1.43 | 15d | 7 | 1.18mi |
| 2461 Damascus Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 3 | 1.19mi |
| 2612 Lumpkin Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1614 | $1,450 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2595 Kelly St Unit A1 Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2595 Kelly St Unit 1E Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2144 Kelly St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,425 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2140 Kelly St Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2311 Walden Dr Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $900 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2311 Walden Dr Unit E1 Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $875 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2311 Walden Dr Unit A2 Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2830 Lumpkin Rd Unit A Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 19 Trapp Ct Unit 19 Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $995 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2240 Walden Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,495 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2511 Cascade Dr Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,000 | $1.12 | 15d | 2 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13historical
-
2025-12-25$149,900
-
2025-12-25$135,900 Active 212-char remark
-
2024-01-30historical
-
2024-01-30historical
-
2023-10-19$175,000
-
2023-10-19$175,000
-
2022-03-25price $1,300
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $109,900
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $109,900
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $109,900
-
2021-08-17$109,900
-
2021-08-17$109,900
-
2016-10-19soldstatus $50,500
-
2016-10-14soldstatus $50,500
-
2016-10-14soldstatus $50,500
-
2016-07-25$64,900
-
2016-07-25$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,001
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,613
- − Property taxes
- −$1,455
- − Insurance
- −$680
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$3,953
- Taxable loss
- −$1,100
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$264
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,423
- Household income
- $45,999
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3363.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+109.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-25 Listed $135,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-12-25 Listed $149,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-01-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2024-01-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2023-10-19 Listed $175,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-10-19 Listed $175,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-03-25 Price Changed $1,300 RENT.
- 2021-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $109,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $109,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-08-17 Listed $109,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-08-17 Listed $109,900 Hive MLS
- 2016-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $50,500 Public Records
- 2016-10-14 Sold (MLS) $50,500 Hive MLS
- 2016-10-14 Sold (MLS) $50,500 Hive MLS
- 2016-07-25 Listed $64,900 Hive MLS
- 2016-07-25 Listed $64,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,455 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…