1204 Nedra Dr Unit A · Decatur, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.
Key facts
- Near parks
- Near local schools
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (20.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (30.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#379 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Decatur School District (rural): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #163 of 238 in AR (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Decatur Northside Elementary (math 52% / reading 27%, grade F, #206 of 454 statewide, top 48%, 271 students, 100% FRL); Decatur Middle School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #133 of 201 statewide, top 66%, 177 students, 100% FRL); Decatur High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #269 of 292 statewide, top 92%, 171 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 15791% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.03%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,565
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -5.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1213 Nedra Dr Unit B | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,216 (0%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $144 | 92 |
| 1201 Nedra Dr Unit B | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,216 (0%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $140 | 89 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $86,425
- Equity at exit
- $171,077
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.04×
- Total profit
- $267,932
- Equity at exit
- $368,934
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72722
- Home prices YoY
- 15.4%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,323 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $-267
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-136 | -5% $-202 | +0% $-267 | +5% $-333 | +10% $-398 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-372 | -5% $-319 | +0% $-267 | +5% $-215 | +10% $-163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-172 | -0.5pp $-219 | base $-267 | +0.5pp $-316 | +1.0pp $-366 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1206 Nedra Dr Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1204 Nedra Dr #1 Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $1,195 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1202 Nedra Dr Unit A Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1214 Nedra Dr Unit A Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 401 Honeybee Ave Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 401 Foliage St Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 308 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 301 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 300 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 221 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 220 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 426 Blue Springs St Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 248 E Jo Ave Decatur, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 953 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 527 Pool St Apt C Decatur, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical $1,195
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2026-05-19$1,195
-
2026-05-04historical $1,250
-
2026-05-03$1,250
-
2026-04-09historical $1,275
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.
-
2026-04-09$189,900 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.
-
2026-04-09$1,275
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.
-
2024-02-19soldstatus $190,000 Closed 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
5% interest rate (Seller paid 2/1 rate buy down) $5000 closing cost and choice of an appliance package or fence . Brand new 3BR, 2.5 bath townhome in the growing city of Decatur! Features include granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, LED lighting, ceiling fans in every bedroom, a walk-in closet in the master bedroom and stainless steel appliances. Only 30 minutes from Walmart Corporate Office and XNA. This is also a great investment opportunity for small or large investors!
-
2024-01-03status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
5% interest rate (Seller paid 2/1 rate buy down) $5000 closing cost and choice of an appliance package or fence . Brand new 3BR, 2.5 bath townhome in the growing city of Decatur! Features include granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, LED lighting, ceiling fans in every bedroom, a walk-in closet in the master bedroom and stainless steel appliances. Only 30 minutes from Walmart Corporate Office and XNA. This is also a great investment opportunity for small or large investors!
-
2023-05-04$190,000 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
5% interest rate (Seller paid 2/1 rate buy down) $5000 closing cost and choice of an appliance package or fence . Brand new 3BR, 2.5 bath townhome in the growing city of Decatur! Features include granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, LED lighting, ceiling fans in every bedroom, a walk-in closet in the master bedroom and stainless steel appliances. Only 30 minutes from Walmart Corporate Office and XNA. This is also a great investment opportunity for small or large investors!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,270
- − Management
- −$1,270
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$6,624
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,590
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur School District
- NCES district ID
- 0504980
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,201
- Composite
- 23.69/100
- National rank
- #7833
- State rank
- #163 of 238 in AR
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #379
- US rank
- #22548
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, AR
- City population
- 2,920
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,920
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Two or more races 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 5% Black 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 57.29%
- Current HPI
- 428.7914
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-99.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Rental Removed $1,195 NWARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed for Rent $1,195 NWARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Rental Removed $1,250 NWARMLS
- 2026-05-03 Listed for Rent $1,250 NWARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Rental Removed $1,275 NWARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $189,900 NWARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed for Rent $1,275 NWARMLS
- 2024-02-19 Sold (MLS) $190,000 NWARMLS
- 2024-01-03 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2023-05-04 Listed $190,000 NWARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…