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1204 Nedra Dr Unit A
D Composite 40.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$189,900

1204 Nedra Dr Unit A · Decatur, AR 72722
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,216 sqft · Townhouse · 71 Days on market
Built 2023 2,178 sqft lot $156/sqft · 6% below area Est $202k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.

Key facts

  • Near parks
  • Near local schools
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING1-CAR ATTACHED GARAGENEAR LOCAL SCHOOLSNEAR PARKSSHORT DRIVE FROM EMPLOYERS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (20.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (30.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#379 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Decatur School District (rural): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #163 of 238 in AR (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Decatur Northside Elementary (math 52% / reading 27%, grade F, #206 of 454 statewide, top 48%, 271 students, 100% FRL); Decatur Middle School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #133 of 201 statewide, top 66%, 177 students, 100% FRL); Decatur High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #269 of 292 statewide, top 92%, 171 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 15791% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,296 (30.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.03%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,565
List price
$189,900
Delta
-5.79%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1213 Nedra Dr Unit B 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,216 (0%) 8mo $175,000 $144 92
1201 Nedra Dr Unit B 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,216 (0%) 10mo $170,000 $140 89

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$86,425
Equity at exit
$171,077
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
6.04×
Total profit
$267,932
Equity at exit
$368,934

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72722

Home prices YoY
15.4%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,323 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$-267

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,661
Max offer price $151,233
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-136 -5% $-202 +0% $-267 +5% $-333 +10% $-398
Rent -10% $-372 -5% $-319 +0% $-267 +5% $-215 +10% $-163
Rate -1.0pp $-172 -0.5pp $-219 base $-267 +0.5pp $-316 +1.0pp $-366

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1206 Nedra Dr Decatur, AR 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,300 $1.04 15d 1 0.02mi
1204 Nedra Dr #1 Decatur, AR 3.0 2.5 1216 $1,195 $0.98 15d 1 0.02mi
1202 Nedra Dr Unit A Decatur, AR 3.0 2.5 1216 $1,250 $1.03 15d 1 0.03mi
1214 Nedra Dr Unit A Decatur, AR 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,300 $1.04 15d 1 0.06mi
401 Honeybee Ave Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 23d 1 0.63mi
401 Foliage St Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1166 $1,600 $1.37 45d 1 0.64mi
308 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,600 $1.37 15d 1 0.66mi
301 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,600 $1.37 15d 1 0.68mi
300 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,600 $1.37 15d 1 0.68mi
221 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,600 $1.37 15d 1 0.68mi
220 Golden Field Rd Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,600 $1.37 15d 1 0.69mi
426 Blue Springs St Decatur, AR 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,250 $1.00 45d 1 1.12mi
248 E Jo Ave Decatur, AR 2.0 1.0 953 $1,150 $1.21 25d 1 1.14mi
527 Pool St Apt C Decatur, AR 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 45d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,900 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,900 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,900 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,900 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 50 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 49 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    historical $1,195
  19. 2026-05-19
    listed $1,195
  20. 2026-05-04
    historical $1,250
  21. 2026-05-03
    listed $1,250
  22. 2026-04-09
    historical $1,275
    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.

  23. 2026-04-09
    listed $189,900 Active 553-char remark
    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.

  24. 2026-04-09
    listed $1,275
    Show marketing remark (553 chars)

    Located in the Sycamore Place subdivision of Decatur, this newly built (2023) two-story residence features approximately 1,216 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, thoughtfully designed with an open-concept layout, durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, and stylish finishes. The home includes a 1-car attached garage making it ideal for both homeowners and investors. Positioned near local schools, parks, and just a short drive from major Northwest Arkansas employers, the property combines small-town charm with accessibility.

  25. 2024-02-19
    soldstatus $190,000 Closed 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    5% interest rate (Seller paid 2/1 rate buy down) $5000 closing cost and choice of an appliance package or fence . Brand new 3BR, 2.5 bath townhome in the growing city of Decatur! Features include granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, LED lighting, ceiling fans in every bedroom, a walk-in closet in the master bedroom and stainless steel appliances. Only 30 minutes from Walmart Corporate Office and XNA. This is also a great investment opportunity for small or large investors!

  26. 2024-01-03
    status Pending 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    5% interest rate (Seller paid 2/1 rate buy down) $5000 closing cost and choice of an appliance package or fence . Brand new 3BR, 2.5 bath townhome in the growing city of Decatur! Features include granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, LED lighting, ceiling fans in every bedroom, a walk-in closet in the master bedroom and stainless steel appliances. Only 30 minutes from Walmart Corporate Office and XNA. This is also a great investment opportunity for small or large investors!

  27. 2023-05-04
    listed $190,000 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    5% interest rate (Seller paid 2/1 rate buy down) $5000 closing cost and choice of an appliance package or fence . Brand new 3BR, 2.5 bath townhome in the growing city of Decatur! Features include granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, LED lighting, ceiling fans in every bedroom, a walk-in closet in the master bedroom and stainless steel appliances. Only 30 minutes from Walmart Corporate Office and XNA. This is also a great investment opportunity for small or large investors!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,876
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,848
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,270
− Management
−$1,270
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$6,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,590
After-tax cash flow
$-1,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur School District
NCES district ID
0504980
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,201
Composite
23.69/100
National rank
#7833
State rank
#163 of 238 in AR

Livability — Decatur

Score
56/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#22548

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, AR
City population
2,920
Population (ZIP)
2,920

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Two or more races 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 5% Black 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 57.29%
Current HPI
428.7914
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Rental Removed $1,195 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed for Rent $1,195 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Rental Removed $1,250 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Listed for Rent $1,250 NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Rental Removed $1,275 NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $189,900 NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed for Rent $1,275 NWARMLS
  • 2024-02-19 Sold (MLS) $190,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-01-03 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2023-05-04 Listed $190,000 NWARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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