Unit 30 Hubert · Swansboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
REGULAR PRICE: $63,999 | OWN IT NOW: $57,999! Brand-New 2-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home - Move-In Ready! Don't miss this limited-time opportunity to own a brand-new manufactured home at an unbeatable value. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, families, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern design, comfort, and functionality - all at a price that's often less than renting Enjoy the convenience of on-site parking and a move-in-ready home that requires no renovations or updates - just bring your belongings and settle in. Limited-Time "Own It Now" Price: $57,999 Home Features: ✔ 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-Concept Kitc
Key facts
- Open concept kitchen
- On site parking
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Plan name: 270PU1663U Unit 32/34/36; Status: Active; Spec inventory type
- Financial info: List price: $79,999
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric heating (heat pump); Central air conditioning
- Home design: Single-unit (spec build); Address: Unit 32 Hubert, Hubert NC 28539
- Construction: 990 living area
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.5% in Swansboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in NC, #3,124 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.63%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $26,828
- Equity at exit
- $9,542
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $69,891
- Equity at exit
- $5,533
Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28539
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$336
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$80 /mo · $960/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $636 | -5% $614 | +0% $592 | +5% $570 | +10% $548 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $488 | -5% $540 | +0% $592 | +5% $643 | +10% $695 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $624 | -0.5pp $608 | base $592 | +0.5pp $575 | +1.0pp $558 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,000
- Closing costs
- $1,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Queens Rd Hubert, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $63,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $63,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $63,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $63,999 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,999 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,999 Active 33 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,585
- − Property taxes
- −$960
- − Insurance
- −$320
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,257
- − Management
- −$1,257
- − Depreciation
- −$1,862
- Taxable income
- $6,467
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,552
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onslow County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,076
- Composite
- 38.66/100
- National rank
- #4148
- State rank
- #84 of 178 in NC
Livability — Swansboro
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #3124
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Onslow County · 164,453 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,351
- Household income
- $66,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,789 people
- By 2030
- 194,463 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 193,629 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 193,248 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 196,995 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 201,513 · +6.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onslow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.68%
- Current HPI
- 186.871
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…