127 Knight N Gail Dr · Mooresville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$268,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.
Key facts
- Recently updated
- Kitchen w island
- Graded school system
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manufactured homes allowed (per restrictions)
- HOA & community: No HOA dues; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Community well; Septic system installed; Cable available and connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; Completed development; One story; Second living quarters on the main level; RA zoning
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl and wood exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Cleared and wooded lot; Publicly maintained paved roads (asphalt, concrete, paved)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Linoleum; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Insulated and storm windows; Insulated door(s); Kitchen island; Storage; Room count: 3
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.9% in Mooresville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#66 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Coddle Creek Elementary (math 71% / reading 68%, grade A-, #95 of 1,410 statewide, top 7%, 696 students, 27% FRL); Lake Norman High (math 78% / reading 71%, grade B+, #92 of 535 statewide, top 18%, 1,986 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Iredell-Statesville Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 488 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $268k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,824
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 Mill Pond Ln | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-4%) | 1mo | $194,500 | $134 | 68 |
| 131 Smyrna Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (-0%) | 13mo | $230,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 160 Bluffton Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (+11%) | 16mo | $395,000 | $236 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-24,059
- Equity at exit
- $39,960
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-5,745
- Equity at exit
- $23,172
Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28115
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 488
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,469 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,405
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $869/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $512 | -5% $437 | +0% $361 | +5% $285 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $166 | -5% $263 | +0% $361 | +5% $458 | +10% $556 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $496 | -0.5pp $429 | base $361 | +0.5pp $291 | +1.0pp $221 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,000
- Closing costs
- $8,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11111 Mill Spring Ln Concord, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $2,000 | $2.19 | 2d | 124 | 0.40mi |
| 136 Madelia Pl Mooresville, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2053 | $2,295 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 19020 Potts Park Ln Davidson, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $3,674 | $3.33 | 2d | 57 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $268,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $268,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $268,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $268,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $268,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $268,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $268,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $268,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $268,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $268,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $268,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $268,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $268,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $268,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $268,000
-
2026-04-30status Active
-
2026-03-28price $278,000
-
2026-01-30$288,000 Active
-
2015-07-02soldstatus $85,000 Closed 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.
-
2015-07-02soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.
-
2015-04-27historical Under Contract - Show 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.
-
2015-03-02$85,000 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.
-
2014-06-05price $85,000
-
2014-05-02price $90,000
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2004-05-21soldstatus $99,000
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1999-02-01soldstatus $111,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $869 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,198 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,328/yr (+$111/mo · 152.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,012
- − Property taxes
- −$869
- − Insurance
- −$1,340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,370
- − Management
- −$2,370
- − Depreciation
- −$7,796
- Taxable loss
- −$134
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$32
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iredell-Statesville Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702310
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,201
- Composite
- 44.98/100
- National rank
- #2703
- State rank
- #51 of 178 in NC
Livability — Mooresville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #5026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Iredell County · 182,638 people
- City population
- 92,370
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,544
- Household income
- $87,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 803.0
Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,510 people
- By 2030
- 206,171 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 227,781 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 245,102 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 280,896 · +44.4%
- By 2100
- 294,375 · +51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iredell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.96%
- Current HPI
- 246.6181
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+141.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $268,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $278,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listed $288,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-02 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-27 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-02 Listed $85,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-05 Price Changed $85,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-02 Price Changed $90,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 1999-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $869 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…