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127 Knight N Gail Dr
D Composite 45.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$268,000

127 Knight N Gail Dr · Mooresville, NC 28115
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1999 0.47 ac lot Est $230k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.

Key facts

  • Recently updated
  • Kitchen w island
  • Graded school system

Tags

GRADED SCHOOL SYSTEMRECENTLY UPDATEDLAMINATE WOOD FLOORINGKITCHEN W ISLANDSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOMLAUNDRY SINK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manufactured homes allowed (per restrictions)
  • HOA & community: No HOA dues; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Community well; Septic system installed; Cable available and connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; Completed development; One story; Second living quarters on the main level; RA zoning
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl and wood exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Cleared and wooded lot; Publicly maintained paved roads (asphalt, concrete, paved)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate; Linoleum; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated and storm windows; Insulated door(s); Kitchen island; Storage; Room count: 3
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.9% in Mooresville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#66 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Coddle Creek Elementary (math 71% / reading 68%, grade A-, #95 of 1,410 statewide, top 7%, 696 students, 27% FRL); Lake Norman High (math 78% / reading 71%, grade B+, #92 of 535 statewide, top 18%, 1,986 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Iredell-Statesville Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 488 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $268k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.77%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,824
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
155 Mill Pond Ln 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-4%) 1mo $194,500 $134 68
131 Smyrna Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,510 (-0%) 13mo $230,000 $152 54
160 Bluffton Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,676 (+11%) 16mo $395,000 $236 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-24,059
Equity at exit
$39,960
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-5,745
Equity at exit
$23,172

Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28115

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
488
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,469 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,405
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $869/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,012
Max offer price $268,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $512 -5% $437 +0% $361 +5% $285 +10% $209
Rent -10% $166 -5% $263 +0% $361 +5% $458 +10% $556
Rate -1.0pp $496 -0.5pp $429 base $361 +0.5pp $291 +1.0pp $221

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,000
Closing costs
$8,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11111 Mill Spring Ln Concord, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $2,000 $2.19 2d 124 0.40mi
136 Madelia Pl Mooresville, NC 4.0 2.5 2053 $2,295 $1.12 2d 1 0.85mi
19020 Potts Park Ln Davidson, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1102 $3,674 $3.33 2d 57 1.09mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $268,000 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $268,000 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $268,000 Active 136 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $268,000 Active 135 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $268,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $268,000 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $268,000 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $268,000 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $268,000 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $268,000 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $268,000 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $268,000 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $268,000 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $268,000 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    price $268,000
  16. 2026-04-30
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-28
    price $278,000
  18. 2026-01-30
    listed $288,000 Active
  19. 2015-07-02
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.

  20. 2015-07-02
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.

  21. 2015-04-27
    historical Under Contract - Show 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.

  22. 2015-03-02
    listed $85,000 Active 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    Wonderful Starter Home or Investment Property in Excellent Condition! Huge Master W/Bath & Closet, Open Living Room & Large Kitchen, Split Bedroom Plan, Large Yard & Deck for Entertaining.

  23. 2014-06-05
    price $85,000
  24. 2014-05-02
    price $90,000
  25. 2004-05-21
    soldstatus $99,000
  26. 1999-02-01
    soldstatus $111,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$869 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,198 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$1,328/yr (+$111/mo · 152.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,623
− Mortgage interest
−$15,012
− Property taxes
−$869
− Insurance
−$1,340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,370
− Management
−$2,370
− Depreciation
−$7,796
Taxable loss
−$134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$32
After-tax cash flow
$4,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iredell-Statesville Schools
NCES district ID
3702310
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$51,201
Composite
44.98/100
National rank
#2703
State rank
#51 of 178 in NC

Livability — Mooresville

Score
73/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#5026

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Iredell County · 182,638 people
City population
92,370
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
43,544
Household income
$87,787
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
803.0

Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,510 people
By 2030
206,171 · +6.0%
By 2040
227,781 · +17.1%
By 2050
245,102 · +26.0%
By 2075
280,896 · +44.4%
By 2100
294,375 · +51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iredell

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.96%
Current HPI
246.6181
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+141.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $268,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $278,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $288,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2015-07-02 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-27 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-02 Listed $85,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-05 Price Changed $85,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-02 Price Changed $90,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
  • 1999-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $869 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…