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608 Vance St
B- Composite 68.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$103,000

608 Vance St · Reidsville, NC 27320
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,188 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1915

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

You must be pre-qualified to view the house. Once you have proof of funds you may set a time for a viewing. & Acirc; & nbsp; Ready to live a more sustainable life? Villa Fortuna was built in 1887. She is listed on the national registry of historic places for the architecture. This home is the perfect blend of unpretentious elegance and a rustic urban farm. Reidsville is a charming town. This part of North Carolina is as close to my home state Connecticut, as I have ever seen. Here we have a lot less snow, shorter winter and yet we still have lilacs in the spring! Most everything in town is within 2 to 5 miles of the driveway. Greensboro and Danville are 30 minutes in either directio

Key facts

  • Mulberry trees
  • Apple trees
  • Peach trees

Tags

RUSTIC URBAN FARMAPPLE TREESMULBERRY TREESPEACH TREESPLUM TREESWOODSHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $103k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $740 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $103k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.7% in Reidsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#553 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Reidsville Middle (math 27% / reading 33%, grade F, #335 of 475 statewide, top 72%, 614 students, 100% FRL); Reidsville High (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #414 of 535 statewide, top 79%, 753 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 258 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $712 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,910 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.92%
Cash-on-cash
30.80%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$236,304
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Pinedale Dr 0.36mi 2/2.5 (-1) 2,097 (-4%) 0mo $260,000 $124 65
207 Mccollum Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,976 (-10%) 10mo $175,000 $89 62
317 Maple Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 2,187 (-0%) 13mo $295,000 $135 59
1311 Vance St 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,199 (+0%) 15mo $210,000 $95 59
805 Spring St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,172 (-1%) 13mo $235,000 $108 55
607 Maple Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,064 (-6%) 14mo $235,000 $114 42
825 Crescent Dr 0.61mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,469 (+13%) 12mo $105,000 $43 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$30,457
Equity at exit
$15,358
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
4.03×
Total profit
$87,255
Equity at exit
$8,906

Cash invested: $28,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27320

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$540
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,186/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$740

Break-even live

Break-even rent $863
Max offer price $103,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $798 -5% $769 +0% $740 +5% $711 +10% $682
Rent -10% $598 -5% $669 +0% $740 +5% $811 +10% $882
Rate -1.0pp $792 -0.5pp $766 base $740 +0.5pp $713 +1.0pp $686

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,750
Closing costs
$3,090
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2012 Richardson Dr Reidsville, NC 3.0 2.0 2272 $1,800 $0.79 16d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $103,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $103,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $103,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $103,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $103,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $103,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $103,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $103,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $103,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $103,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $103,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $103,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $103,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $103,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,186 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,186 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$5,770
− Property taxes
−$1,186
− Insurance
−$515
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$2,996
Taxable income
$7,677
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,843
After-tax cash flow
$7,039/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockingham County Schools
NCES district ID
3703990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,914
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5673
State rank
#120 of 178 in NC

Livability — Reidsville

Score
59/100
State rank
#553
US rank
#20359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Reidsville, NC
City population
38,610
Population (ZIP)
38,610

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,103 people
By 2030
83,763 · -3.8%
By 2040
76,082 · -12.7%
By 2050
68,106 · -21.8%
By 2075
52,531 · -39.7%
By 2100
39,871 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 23% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.42%
Current HPI
205.028
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $103,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,186 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…