293 Lee Road 2087 · Smiths Station, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move to low taxes in Lee County! Great starter home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, kitchen with dining area open to greatroom. Large master bedroom. Master bath features separate tub and shower. Separate laundry room. Fenced level backyard. Carport & parking area. Very nice neighborhood with well-cared for homes. USDA Financing available! Great starter home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and Open Floor plan. Fenced level backyard great for kids and pets. Located in established pretty neighborhood. Split bedroom plan. Master bath has separate tub and shower. Separate Laundry room. Carport & storage. USDA Financing Available!
Key facts
- Inviting kitchen
- Large living area
- Bright dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 4 spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Located outside city limits
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom(s) on the first level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Carpet flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.5% in Smiths Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#129 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Lee County (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #40 of 129 in AL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $210k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.68%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,756
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Lee Road 2191 | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (+3%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $166 | 78 |
| 709 Lee Road 2087 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (+1%) | 6mo | $226,000 | $167 | 77 |
| 359 Lee Road 2087 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,234 (-8%) | 8mo | $199,500 | $162 | 74 |
| 556 Lee Road 2087 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,399 (+5%) | 12mo | $224,900 | $161 | 70 |
| 322 Lee Road 2086 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-9%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $165 | 70 |
| 215 Lee Road 2086 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-7%) | 12mo | $205,500 | $165 | 66 |
| 192 Lee Road 2086 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-10%) | 8mo | $193,750 | $161 | 63 |
| 227 Lee Road 2086 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (+7%) | 17mo | $236,500 | $165 | 62 |
| 74 Lee Road 2191 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (+11%) | 6mo | $236,000 | $159 | 58 |
| 51 Lee Road 2191 | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+11%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $162 | 55 |
| 771 Lee Road 2087 | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+12%) | 23mo | $226,900 | $151 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-7,040
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $28,368
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36874
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,121 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $743/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $544 | -5% $485 | +0% $425 | +5% $366 | +10% $306 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $258 | -5% $341 | +0% $425 | +5% $509 | +10% $593 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $531 | -0.5pp $479 | base $425 | +0.5pp $371 | +1.0pp $315 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$210,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $743 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $861 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$118/yr (+$10/mo · 15.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,456
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$743
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,037
- − Management
- −$2,037
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $1,718
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$412
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County
- NCES district ID
- 0102070
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,786
- Composite
- 30.04/100
- National rank
- #6355
- State rank
- #40 of 129 in AL
Livability — Smiths Station
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #13134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,329
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 196,440 people
- By 2030
- 217,417 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 259,467 · +32.1%
- By 2050
- 301,557 · +53.5%
- By 2075
- 402,186 · +104.7%
- By 2100
- 474,503 · +141.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.13%
- Current HPI
- 218.2835
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+69.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $210,000 MAAR
- 2019-03-15 Listed $389,900 LCMLS
- 2019-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-31 Sold (MLS) $118,000 CBOR
- 2019-01-31 Sold (MLS) $118,000 EABOR
- 2019-01-19 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2018-07-18 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2018-07-18 Listed $119,900 CBOR
- 2018-07-18 Listed $119,900 EABOR
- 2008-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $743 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…