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2306 Bolling Ave
A- Composite 80.01
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$55,000

2306 Bolling Ave · Louisville, KY 40210
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,821 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 1910 6,752 sqft lot ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here is a perfect opportunity to let your imagination run wild. With 1800 square feet, 1.5 bathrooms, and a large back yard, the options are limitless for making this home what you envision. Investors take note and schedule your personal showing today.

Key facts

  • 6,752 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 69 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Built in 1910; Other architectural style
  • Construction: Wood frame with aluminum siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Chain link fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 135

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Two bedrooms on the first floor; Primary bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; One HVAC unit
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Four closets; Cellar basement; First-floor laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mcferran Preparatory Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #670 of 676 statewide, top 100%, 691 students, 83% FRL); Carrithers Middle (math 10% / reading 36%, grade F, #197 of 217 statewide, top 92%, 583 students, 60% FRL); Iroquois High (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #245 of 254 statewide, top 97%, 1,090 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 56% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
21.28%
Cash-on-cash
53.53%
DSCR
3.38
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,890
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1844 Bolling Ave 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,726 (-5%) 6mo $155,000 $90 78
1365 Cypress St 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,764 (-3%) 4mo $165,000 $94 77
2001 Wilson Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,764 (-3%) 8mo $85,000 $48 65
1811 Beech St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,872 (+3%) 2mo $168,000 $90 64
2307 W Lee St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (-12%) 4mo $172,000 $108 62
2724 Hale Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,891 (+4%) 2mo $55,000 $29 61
2300 Oregon Ave 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,810 (-1%) 4mo $142,500 $79 58
1703 Wilson Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,896 (+4%) 7mo $32,000 $17 54
1533 Beech St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,660 (-9%) 2mo $120,000 $72 52
1544 Catalpa St 0.41mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,596 (-12%) 1mo $185,000 $116 50
2107 Ratcliffe Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,706 (-6%) 5mo $198,000 $116 49
2341 Grand Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 2,002 (+10%) 4mo $129,900 $65 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.5%
Equity multiple
6.25×
Total profit
$80,869
Equity at exit
$49,548
10-year hold
IRR
66.2%
Equity multiple
15.38×
Total profit
$221,462
Equity at exit
$106,853

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40210

Home prices YoY
12.1%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,351 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$687

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $725 -5% $706 +0% $687 +5% $668 +10% $649
Rent -10% $580 -5% $634 +0% $687 +5% $740 +10% $794
Rate -1.0pp $715 -0.5pp $701 base $687 +0.5pp $673 +1.0pp $658

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1774 Bolling Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1611 $1,300 $0.81 12d 1 0.37mi
1545 Catalpa St Louisville, KY 4.0 1.5 1760 $1,545 $0.88 5d 1 0.40mi
1618 S 30th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1896 $1,235 $0.65 18d 1 0.63mi
1705 1/2 Hale Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1257 $1,400 $1.11 12d 1 0.82mi
2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1362 $1,150 $0.84 18d 1 0.92mi
2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1300 $995 $0.77 25d 1 0.92mi
2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,250 $0.87 25d 1 0.92mi
1847 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1368 $895 $0.65 5d 1 0.93mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 23d 1 0.96mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 25d 1 0.96mi
3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1450 $1,295 $0.89 23d 1 1.23mi
820 Hazel St Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 1872 $1,395 $0.75 5d 1 1.26mi
737 S 33rd St Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1356 $1,595 $1.18 25d 1 1.43mi
803 S 35th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1486 $1,350 $0.91 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 65 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $55,000
  16. 2026-04-29
    historical Active Under Contract
  17. 2026-04-12
    listed $80,000 Active
  18. 2025-10-17
    status Pending
  19. 2025-10-17
    historical
  20. 2025-10-03
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,209
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,297
− Management
−$1,297
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$7,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,880
After-tax cash flow
$6,364/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
13,518
Household income
$35,347
Rent vs Own
56.0% rent · 44.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 84% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.45%
Current HPI
264.0146
Rent YoY
▲ 8.05%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $55,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $80,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-17 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $80,000 Metro Search MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…