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2934 River Ridge Rd
B- Composite 67.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

2934 River Ridge Rd · Bourret, MI 48610
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 1950 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the perfect up-north escape at this rustic year-round cabin, ideally located on a quiet corner lot at 2934 River Ridge Rd in Alger, Michigan. Just a short walk from the Middle Branch of the Tittabawassee River, this inviting property offers a serene wooded setting and access to four-season recreation. Step inside to an open-concept layout that’s both cozy and functional—perfect for relaxing after a day outdoors. The home features a level yard with plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment, a ground-level area for convenient storage, and comes fully furnished, making it move-in ready. Whether you're into snowmobiling, hiking, hunting, or fishing, this property puts adventure right at your doorstep. Enjoy the peace and quiet of nature without sacrificing comfort—a great weekend getaway or full-time residence for those seeking simplicity and serenity in northern Michigan.

Key facts

  • Quiet corner lot
  • Ground-level area
  • Level yard

Tags

QUIET CORNER LOTSERENE WOODED SETTINGOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTLEVEL YARDGROUND-LEVEL AREAFULLY FURNISHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; About 1,000 square feet above grade
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 241 x 60 x 239; Lot about 0.3 acres; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Oven and range; Basement with exterior entry and walk-out access; Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $45k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • West Branch-Rose City Area Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #306 of 540 in MI (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $44,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97%
Cap rate
17.56%
Cash-on-cash
40.22%
DSCR
2.79
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$19,556
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
5.10×
Total profit
$51,559
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48610

Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$884 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $269/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$421

Break-even live

Break-even rent $350
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,900 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $44,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $44,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$269 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$480 · $40/mo
Expected delta
+$211/yr (+$18/mo · 78.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,602
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$269
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$848
− Management
−$848
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$4,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,102
After-tax cash flow
$3,955/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Branch-Rose City Area Schools
NCES district ID
2635850
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,145
Composite
29.15/100
National rank
#6580
State rank
#306 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bourret

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,261

Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,440 people
By 2030
22,281 · -4.9%
By 2040
19,867 · -15.2%
By 2050
17,667 · -24.6%
By 2075
12,909 · -44.9%
By 2100
8,629 · -63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.02%
Current HPI
125.4127
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.1% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-14 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-01 Price Changed $42,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $42,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-01 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-23 Listed $55,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-23 Listed $55,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-11 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-12 Price Changed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-27 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-27 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-08 Sold (MLS) $34,777 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-07-08 Sold (MLS) $34,777 REALCOMP
  • 2020-01-07 Listed $34,777 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-01-07 Listed $34,777 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-01-07 Listed $34,777 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-01-07 Listed $34,777 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $269 · -80.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…