119 River St · Madison, OH 44057

$220,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,472 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market

Built 1924 7,840 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 119 River Street located in historic Madison Village. This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Dutch Colonial is sure to capture your heart and make it hard to leave once you see it in person. This two-story home blends classic character with thoughtful modern upgrades throughout. Recent improvements include a full kitchen remodel (2020), updated full and half bathrooms (2020), new flooring (2020), new carpet (2025), and fifteen replacement windows (2020). Additional updates include a metal roof (2018), furnace (2015), tankless gas water heater (2024), and a converted natural gas fireplace (2024). The sunroom has also been recently refreshed, including another eleven wind

Key facts

• New carpet
• New flooring
• Full kitchen remodel

Tags

• FULL KITCHEN REMODEL
• UPDATED FULL BATHROOMS
• UPDATED HALF BATHROOMS
• NEW FLOORING
• NEW CARPET
• REPLACEMENT WINDOWS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($126/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (14.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $189k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#250 in OH, #3,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Madison Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #308 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $188,612 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.20%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.43×
• Total profit: $-34,977
• Equity at exit: $32,803

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.52×
• Total profit: $-29,582
• Equity at exit: $19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44057

• Active inventory: 96
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,886 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,154
• Tax from tax record: −$234 /mo · $2,810/yr
• Insurance: −$92
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$396
• Net cashflow: $11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,873

Max offer price $220,000

Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $55,000
• Closing costs: $6,600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-30
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-31
   historical Contingent
3. 2026-03-23
   listed $220,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,810 · $234/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,121 · $260/mo
• Expected delta: +$311/yr (+$26/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,633
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,323
• − Property taxes: −$2,810
• − Insurance: −$1,100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,811
• − Management: −$1,811
• − Depreciation: −$6,400
• Taxable loss: −$3,621
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$869
• After-tax cash flow: $995/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Madison Local
• NCES district ID: 3904788
• Math proficiency: 58% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $51,608
• Composite: 49.99/100
• National rank: #1924
• State rank: #308 of 656 in OH

Livability — Madison

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #250
• US rank: #3982

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Madison, OH
• County: Lake · 224,932 people
• City population: 19,491
• Metro: Cleveland, OH
• Population (ZIP): 19,491
• Household income: $70,212
• Rent vs Own: 16.2% rent · 83.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 8.5

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 230,022 people
• By 2030: 228,151 · -0.8%
• By 2040: 221,018 · -3.9%
• By 2050: 212,754 · -7.5%
• By 2075: 200,309 · -12.9%
• By 2100: 183,315 · -20.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

• 2024 margin: R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -241.42%
• Current HPI: 187.8978
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2026-03-31 Contingent — MLSNOW
• 2026-03-23 Listed $220,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,810 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.