4055 -4059 Murdock Ave · New York, NY 10466

$949,000

12 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,026 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 8 Days on market

Built 1920 5,000 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.9/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

1 family on a 75 x 100 lot in Baychester, separate deeds for the house and lot — investor special. Solid two-unit layout needs rehab and cosmetic/updating work throughout. Property includes private driveway and two car garage, plus yard space on a deep lot with room to expand and add value. Great location near neighborhood retail, transit options, schools and parks — high demand rental market. Ideal for investors looking to rehab and maximize rental income or resale. Large Green House

Key facts

• Large green house
• Private driveway
• Deep lot

Tags

• PRIVATE DRIVEWAY
• TWO CAR GARAGE
• YARD SPACE
• DEEP LOT
• LARGE GREEN HOUSE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $949k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-825/yr) — negative. Per door: $-23/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $937k (1.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $724k (23.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $724k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $7,244/mo this rent would consume 132% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $724,400 (23.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.76% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.21%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.31%
• DSCR: 0.99
• GRM: 10.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.40×
• Total profit: $-158,518
• Equity at exit: $141,499

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-145,141
• Equity at exit: $82,052

Cash invested: $265,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10466

• Active inventory: 161
• Price-to-rent: 32.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $7,244 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,977
• Tax from tax record: −$419 /mo · $5,033/yr
• Insurance: −$395
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,521
• Net cashflow: $-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,331

Max offer price $936,859

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $468	-5% $200	+0% $-69	+5% $-337	+10% $-606
Rent	-10% $-641	-5% $-355	+0% $-69	+5% $217	+10% $504
Rate	-1.0pp $409	-0.5pp $173	base $-69	+0.5pp $-315	+1.0pp $-565

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 3× units	2	1	$7,245
Total (3 units)			$7,244

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $237,250
• Closing costs: $28,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-28
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-14
   listed $949,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,033 · $419/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $10,536 · $878/mo
• Expected delta: +$5,503/yr (+$459/mo · 109.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $86,928
• − Mortgage interest: −$53,159
• − Property taxes: −$5,033
• − Insurance: −$4,745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$6,954
• − Management: −$6,954
• − Depreciation: −$27,607
• Taxable loss: −$17,524
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,206
• After-tax cash flow: $3,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 71,116
• Household income: $65,969
• Rent vs Own: 60.1% rent · 39.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 4791.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
• Languages at home: 67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -314.77%
• Current HPI: 349.542
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-14 Listed $949,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,033 · +101.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.