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8 Collins St
B Composite 71.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

8 Collins St · Hattiesburg, MS 39401
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,561 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 2001 0.49 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Villa style home with 4 bedrooms, 2 bath in Hattiesburg. This two story home is one of a kind large living area with modern style tile, tall ceiling, fenced yard, outdoor building and more. The 1st floor master bedroom is huge, natural light, walk in closet, shower and tub! Second floor master features private bedroom, bathroom and balcony. Other two bedrooms are on the 1st floor and are a good size. This convenient style kitchen comes with an entry door this allows you to bring groceries right into the kitchen. Additional rooms can be used as a large pantry, home office, playroom, or workout room. Home does include an outdoor building. Don't miss out on this home! Call today for a tour.

Key facts

  • 0.49 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 40 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Circular driveway; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Storage; Fenced yard; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 106 x 200

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Ceramic tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Heat pump
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $834 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.5% vs local median 4.0% in Hattiesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in MS, #2,046 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment F.
  • Forrest County School District (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #47 of 130 in MS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 121 units permitted in Forrest County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Forrest County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.38%
Cap rate
28.52%
Cash-on-cash
79.38%
DSCR
4.53
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
83.7%
Equity multiple
5.09×
Total profit
$51,498
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
87.9%
Equity multiple
11.98×
Total profit
$138,364
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39401

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,522 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,365/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$834

Break-even live

Break-even rent $466
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $859 -5% $846 +0% $834 +5% $821 +10% $808
Rent -10% $713 -5% $773 +0% $834 +5% $894 +10% $954
Rate -1.0pp $856 -0.5pp $845 base $834 +0.5pp $822 +1.0pp $810

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $45,000 Pending 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-04-27
    listed $45,000 Active
  10. 2024-09-06
    soldstatus Closed 696-char remark
    Show marketing remark (696 chars)

    Villa style home with 4 bedrooms, 2 bath in Hattiesburg. This two story home is one of a kind large living area with modern style tile, tall ceiling, fenced yard, outdoor building and more. The 1st floor master bedroom is huge, natural light, walk in closet, shower and tub! Second floor master features private bedroom, bathroom and balcony. Other two bedrooms are on the 1st floor and are a good size. This convenient style kitchen comes with an entry door this allows you to bring groceries right into the kitchen. Additional rooms can be used as a large pantry, home office, playroom, or workout room. Home does include an outdoor building. Don't miss out on this home! Call today for a tour.

  11. 2024-09-04
    soldstatus
  12. 2024-02-09
    status Pending 696-char remark
    Show marketing remark (696 chars)

    Villa style home with 4 bedrooms, 2 bath in Hattiesburg. This two story home is one of a kind large living area with modern style tile, tall ceiling, fenced yard, outdoor building and more. The 1st floor master bedroom is huge, natural light, walk in closet, shower and tub! Second floor master features private bedroom, bathroom and balcony. Other two bedrooms are on the 1st floor and are a good size. This convenient style kitchen comes with an entry door this allows you to bring groceries right into the kitchen. Additional rooms can be used as a large pantry, home office, playroom, or workout room. Home does include an outdoor building. Don't miss out on this home! Call today for a tour.

  13. 2024-02-08
    listed $120,000 Active 696-char remark
    Show marketing remark (696 chars)

    Villa style home with 4 bedrooms, 2 bath in Hattiesburg. This two story home is one of a kind large living area with modern style tile, tall ceiling, fenced yard, outdoor building and more. The 1st floor master bedroom is huge, natural light, walk in closet, shower and tub! Second floor master features private bedroom, bathroom and balcony. Other two bedrooms are on the 1st floor and are a good size. This convenient style kitchen comes with an entry door this allows you to bring groceries right into the kitchen. Additional rooms can be used as a large pantry, home office, playroom, or workout room. Home does include an outdoor building. Don't miss out on this home! Call today for a tour.

  14. 2023-02-23
    soldstatus Closed 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Investor Special! This home has 4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms and an additional cottage in the back that could be used as a Mother-in-law suite or income producing rental. Property to be sold as-is.

  15. 2022-11-01
    listed $55,000 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Investor Special! This home has 4 bedrooms 2 bathrooms and an additional cottage in the back that could be used as a Mother-in-law suite or income producing rental. Property to be sold as-is.

  16. 2010-05-26
    soldstatus $65,000
  17. 2004-04-05
    soldstatus
  18. 2004-01-28
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,365 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,365 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,259
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$1,365
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,461
− Management
−$1,461
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$9,917
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,380
After-tax cash flow
$7,622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forrest County School District
NCES district ID
2801490
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$39,597
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5980
State rank
#47 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hattiesburg

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2046

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hattiesburg, MS
County
Forrest County · 65,413 people
City population
87,151
Metro
Hattiesburg, MS
Population (ZIP)
42,531
Household income
$41,127
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
2534.0

Population outlook (Forrest County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
79,264 people
By 2030
80,822 · +2.0%
By 2040
82,979 · +4.7%
By 2050
84,324 · +6.4%
By 2075
84,942 · +7.2%
By 2100
80,616 · +1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 40% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Forrest

2024 margin
R (+17.9) · D 40.3% · R 58.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -17.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+11.7 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.93%
Current HPI
137.87
Rent YoY
▲ 6.56%
Metro
Hattiesburg, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+12.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $45,000 HAAR
  • 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) HAAR
  • 2024-09-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-02-09 Pending HAAR
  • 2024-02-08 Listed $120,000 HAAR
  • 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) HAAR
  • 2022-11-01 Listed $55,000 HAAR
  • 2010-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2004-04-05 Sold (MLS) HAAR
  • 2004-01-28 Listed $39,900 HAAR

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,365 · -40.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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