1450 N Dixie Downs Rd #92 · St. George, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NOT a 55+ Community & Land is NOT included. Lot is rented for $400/month. Water is $20/month & owner covers all other utilities. Completely remodeled with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, carpet in the bedrooms & tile flooring in the bathrooms. New electrical. .. wiring & circuitry, insulation, sheet rock, texture & paint, skirting & landscaping. Master suite includes a master bath & walk in closet. Close to grocery stores, schools & nearby parks. Please be aware: buyer must pass a background check & credit check through the Canyon View Park. (Seller WILL NOT owner finance).
Key facts
- New floors
- Fresh paint
- Modern upgrades
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $600; HOA fee includes water and sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces; No additional parking features listed
- Utilities: Sewer available; Electricity connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story
- Construction: Wood siding and concrete construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Metal roof; Built as a mobile home
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Heating present
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Total of 6 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Paradise Canyon (math 31% / reading 24%, grade F, #451 of 585 statewide, top 77%, 478 students, 62% FRL); Lava Ridge Intermediate (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #61 of 138 statewide, top 47%, 815 students, 42% FRL); Snow Canyon High (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 171 statewide, top 36%, 1,266 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 777 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.74%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,440
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $13,616
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84770
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 777
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,922 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$600
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $296 | -5% $262 | +0% $227 | +5% $193 | +10% $158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $151 | +0% $227 | +5% $303 | +10% $379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $278 | -0.5pp $253 | base $227 | +0.5pp $201 | +1.0pp $175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1664 N Dixie Downs Rd Unit 2 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1591 W 1170 N Unit 24 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1314 | $1,588 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1090 N 1800 West Cir Unit 4 St. George, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,725 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1840 W 1100 N St. George, UT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1308 W 1130 N #2 St George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1606 N Raven Ln Saint George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,973 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1040 N 1300 W #89 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 960 Heritage Dr #52 Santa Clara, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1858 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1151 W 540 N Unit 4 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1123 | $1,975 | $1.76 | 22d | 18 | 1.39mi |
| 260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1187 | $1,950 | $1.64 | 15d | 20 | 1.39mi |
| 438 N Stone Mountain Dr #1 Saint George, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1483 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $600 · $7,200/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectriclandscaping
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-16status $100,000 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-03price $100,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-05-15price $120,000
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2026-04-21price $135,000
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2026-04-06$150,000 Active
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2026-01-28price $150,000
-
2025-10-28price $160,000
-
2020-10-29soldstatus 642-char remark
Show marketing remark (642 chars)
NOT a 55+ Community & Land is NOT included. Lot is rented for $400/month. Water is $20/month & owner covers all other utilities. Completely remodeled with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, carpet in the bedrooms & tile flooring in the bathrooms. New electrical. .. wiring & circuitry, insulation, sheet rock, texture & paint, skirting & landscaping. Master suite includes a master bath & walk in closet. Close to grocery stores, schools & nearby parks. Please be aware: buyer must pass a background check & credit check through the Canyon View Park. (Seller WILL NOT owner finance).
-
2020-08-06$87,500 642-char remark
Show marketing remark (642 chars)
NOT a 55+ Community & Land is NOT included. Lot is rented for $400/month. Water is $20/month & owner covers all other utilities. Completely remodeled with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, carpet in the bedrooms & tile flooring in the bathrooms. New electrical. .. wiring & circuitry, insulation, sheet rock, texture & paint, skirting & landscaping. Master suite includes a master bath & walk in closet. Close to grocery stores, schools & nearby parks. Please be aware: buyer must pass a background check & credit check through the Canyon View Park. (Seller WILL NOT owner finance).
-
2020-03-15$87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,845
- − Management
- −$1,845
- − HOA
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,664
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$399
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This turnkey home features a new roof, updated interiors, and modern upgrades, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both replace carpet — updates interior and improves rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both replace carpet — updates interior and improves rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington District
- NCES district ID
- 4901140
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,861
- Composite
- 37.47/100
- National rank
- #4408
- State rank
- #37 of 80 in UT
Livability — St. George
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. George, UT
- County
- Washington County · 179,216 people
- City population
- 101,579
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,397
- Household income
- $70,024
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1605.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 193,324 people
- By 2030
- 211,699 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 246,449 · +27.5%
- By 2050
- 278,447 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 342,734 · +77.3%
- By 2100
- 382,815 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Slovak 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.0% · R 75.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -356.86%
- Current HPI
- 234.9418
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+37.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $120,000 WCBOR
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $135,000 WCBOR
- 2026-04-06 Listed $150,000 WCBOR
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $150,000 WCBOR
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $160,000 WCBOR
- 2020-10-29 Sold (MLS) — ICBORMLS
- 2020-08-06 Listed $87,500 ICBORMLS
- 2020-03-15 Listed $87,500 ICBORMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…