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1450 N Dixie Downs Rd #92
C+ Composite 64.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

1450 N Dixie Downs Rd #92 · St. George, UT 84770
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market
Built 1982 Good condition $600/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NOT a 55+ Community & Land is NOT included. Lot is rented for $400/month. Water is $20/month & owner covers all other utilities. Completely remodeled with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, carpet in the bedrooms & tile flooring in the bathrooms. New electrical. .. wiring & circuitry, insulation, sheet rock, texture & paint, skirting & landscaping. Master suite includes a master bath & walk in closet. Close to grocery stores, schools & nearby parks. Please be aware: buyer must pass a background check & credit check through the Canyon View Park. (Seller WILL NOT owner finance).

Key facts

  • New floors
  • Fresh paint
  • Modern upgrades

Tags

NEW ROOFMODERN UPGRADESNEW WATER HEATERFRESH PAINTNEW FLOORSLANDSCAPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $600; HOA fee includes water and sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces; No additional parking features listed
  • Utilities: Sewer available; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story
  • Construction: Wood siding and concrete construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Metal roof; Built as a mobile home
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fenced; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Heating present
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Paradise Canyon (math 31% / reading 24%, grade F, #451 of 585 statewide, top 77%, 478 students, 62% FRL); Lava Ridge Intermediate (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #61 of 138 statewide, top 47%, 815 students, 42% FRL); Snow Canyon High (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 171 statewide, top 36%, 1,266 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 777 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.74%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,440
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$13,616
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84770

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
777
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,922 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$600
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,634
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $296 -5% $262 +0% $227 +5% $193 +10% $158
Rent -10% $76 -5% $151 +0% $227 +5% $303 +10% $379
Rate -1.0pp $278 -0.5pp $253 base $227 +0.5pp $201 +1.0pp $175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1664 N Dixie Downs Rd Unit 2 St. George, UT 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,700 $1.15 22d 1 0.29mi
1591 W 1170 N Unit 24 St. George, UT 3.0 2.5 1314 $1,588 $1.21 22d 1 0.39mi
1090 N 1800 West Cir Unit 4 St. George, UT 4.0 2.5 1450 $1,725 $1.19 22d 1 0.43mi
1840 W 1100 N St. George, UT 4.0 2.0 1634 $1,800 $1.10 22d 1 0.46mi
1308 W 1130 N #2 St George, UT 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,695 $1.30 15d 1 0.61mi
1606 N Raven Ln Saint George, UT 3.0 2.0 1670 $1,973 $1.18 22d 1 0.70mi
1040 N 1300 W #89 St. George, UT 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 22d 1 0.74mi
960 Heritage Dr #52 Santa Clara, UT 3.0 2.5 1858 $2,200 $1.18 15d 1 1.01mi
1151 W 540 N Unit 4 St. George, UT 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 22d 1 1.32mi
260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1123 $1,975 $1.76 22d 18 1.39mi
260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1187 $1,950 $1.64 15d 20 1.39mi
438 N Stone Mountain Dr #1 Saint George, UT 4.0 2.5 1483 $1,950 $1.31 15d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$600 · $7,200/yr
Likely covers
waterelectriclandscaping

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $100,000 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    price $100,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $120,000
  16. 2026-04-21
    price $135,000
  17. 2026-04-06
    listed $150,000 Active
  18. 2026-01-28
    price $150,000
  19. 2025-10-28
    price $160,000
  20. 2020-10-29
    soldstatus 642-char remark
    Show marketing remark (642 chars)

    NOT a 55+ Community & Land is NOT included. Lot is rented for $400/month. Water is $20/month & owner covers all other utilities. Completely remodeled with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, carpet in the bedrooms & tile flooring in the bathrooms. New electrical. .. wiring & circuitry, insulation, sheet rock, texture & paint, skirting & landscaping. Master suite includes a master bath & walk in closet. Close to grocery stores, schools & nearby parks. Please be aware: buyer must pass a background check & credit check through the Canyon View Park. (Seller WILL NOT owner finance).

  21. 2020-08-06
    listed $87,500 642-char remark
    Show marketing remark (642 chars)

    NOT a 55+ Community & Land is NOT included. Lot is rented for $400/month. Water is $20/month & owner covers all other utilities. Completely remodeled with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, carpet in the bedrooms & tile flooring in the bathrooms. New electrical. .. wiring & circuitry, insulation, sheet rock, texture & paint, skirting & landscaping. Master suite includes a master bath & walk in closet. Close to grocery stores, schools & nearby parks. Please be aware: buyer must pass a background check & credit check through the Canyon View Park. (Seller WILL NOT owner finance).

  22. 2020-03-15
    listed $87,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,065
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,845
− Management
−$1,845
− HOA
−$7,200
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$399
After-tax cash flow
$2,329/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This turnkey home features a new roof, updated interiors, and modern upgrades, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both replace carpet — updates interior and improves rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both replace carpet — updates interior and improves rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington District
NCES district ID
4901140
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,861
Composite
37.47/100
National rank
#4408
State rank
#37 of 80 in UT

Livability — St. George

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. George, UT
County
Washington County · 179,216 people
City population
101,579
Metro
St. George, UT
Population (ZIP)
48,397
Household income
$70,024
Rent vs Own
39.6% rent · 60.4% own
Severe rent burden
1605.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
193,324 people
By 2030
211,699 · +9.5%
By 2040
246,449 · +27.5%
By 2050
278,447 · +44.0%
By 2075
342,734 · +77.3%
By 2100
382,815 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Slovak 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.0% · R 75.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+1.2pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -356.86%
Current HPI
234.9418
Rent YoY
▲ 2.42%
Metro
St. George, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $120,000 WCBOR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $135,000 WCBOR
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $150,000 WCBOR
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $150,000 WCBOR
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $160,000 WCBOR
  • 2020-10-29 Sold (MLS) ICBORMLS
  • 2020-08-06 Listed $87,500 ICBORMLS
  • 2020-03-15 Listed $87,500 ICBORMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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