2840 Scottwood Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$149,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
Key facts
- 4,299 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1913
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,534/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $150k implies a 1201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.25%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,192
- List price
- $149,995
- Delta
- 21.76%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2512 Robinwood Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,566 (-0%) | 4mo | $214,000 | $83 | 79 |
| 2530 Robinwood Ave | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 2,599 (+1%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $100 | 70 |
| 2520 Robinwood Ave | 0.31mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,774 (+8%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $68 | 66 |
| 2550 Robinwood Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,482 (-3%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $36 | 63 |
| 2503 Parkwood Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,696 (+5%) | 22mo | $5,000 | $2 | 58 |
| 2370 Parkwood Ave | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 | 2,772 (+8%) | 11mo | $240,400 | $87 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $49,902
- Equity at exit
- $81,804
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $136,382
- Equity at exit
- $138,608
Cash invested: $41,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43610
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $887/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,499
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 49 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,995 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,995 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,995 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,995 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $149,995 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $149,995 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,995 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,995 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,995 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,995 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $149,995 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $149,995 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $149,995 Active 143 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,995 Active 142 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $149,995 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $149,995 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
-
2026-04-29status Active 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
-
2026-04-29price $154,900 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
-
2026-04-28price $154,950 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
-
2026-04-21historical Contingent 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
-
2026-03-22price $154,995 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
-
2026-01-09$159,995 Active 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
-
2026-01-04historical $159,995 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.
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2025-11-30historical
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2025-10-14price $18,000
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2025-10-14price $11,533
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2025-10-08price $159,995
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2025-09-24price $163,990
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2025-09-18$163,995 Active
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2025-09-10historical
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2025-09-03status Active
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2025-08-27historical Contingent
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2025-07-04$164,995 Active
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2025-06-28historical
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2016-02-29soldstatus $11,533
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2016-01-30price $23,900
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2015-10-01$23,900
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2015-09-28historical
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2015-09-17$31,900
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2014-05-07historical
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2013-05-08historical
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2013-05-07$42,000
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2012-08-23$74,900
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2010-06-22historical
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2009-10-23$98,900
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2008-12-20historical
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2008-06-20$104,500
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2007-11-19soldstatus $18,000
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2007-08-21$19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,613 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$727/yr (+$61/mo · 81.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,404
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$887
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,472
- − Management
- −$1,472
- − Depreciation
- −$4,363
- Taxable income
- $1,057
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$254
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas · 437,818 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,057
- Household income
- $38,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.7
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Current HPI
- 126.1457
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+653.7% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $149,995 NORIS
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — NORIS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $154,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $154,950 NORIS
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — NORIS
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $154,995 NORIS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $159,995 NORIS
- 2026-01-04 Coming Soon $159,995 NORIS
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $18,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $11,533 NORIS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $159,995 NORIS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $163,990 NORIS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $163,995 NORIS
- 2025-09-10 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-09-03 Relisted — NORIS
- 2025-08-27 Contingent — NORIS
- 2025-07-04 Listed $164,995 NORIS
- 2025-06-28 Coming Soon — NORIS
- 2016-02-29 Sold (MLS) $11,533 NORIS
- 2016-01-30 Price Changed $23,900 NORIS
- 2015-10-01 Listed $23,900 NORIS
- 2015-09-28 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2015-09-17 Listed $31,900 NORIS
- 2014-05-07 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2013-05-08 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2013-05-07 Listed $42,000 NORIS
- 2012-08-23 Listed $74,900 NORIS
- 2010-06-22 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2009-10-23 Listed $98,900 NORIS
- 2008-12-20 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2008-06-20 Listed $104,500 NORIS
- 2007-11-19 Sold (MLS) $18,000 NORIS
- 2007-08-21 Listed $19,900 NORIS
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $887 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…