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2840 Scottwood Ave
C- Composite 53.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$149,995

2840 Scottwood Ave · Toledo, OH 43610
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1913 4,299 sqft lot $58/sqft · 22% above area Est $123k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

Key facts

  • 4,299 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1913

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,534/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $150k implies a 1201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,995 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.25%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,192
List price
$149,995
Delta
21.76%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2512 Robinwood Ave 0.33mi 4/2.5 2,566 (-0%) 4mo $214,000 $83 79
2530 Robinwood Ave 0.30mi 4/3.0 2,599 (+1%) 12mo $260,000 $100 70
2520 Robinwood Ave 0.31mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,774 (+8%) 1mo $190,000 $68 66
2550 Robinwood Ave 0.26mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,482 (-3%) 15mo $90,000 $36 63
2503 Parkwood Ave 0.34mi 4/2.0 2,696 (+5%) 22mo $5,000 $2 58
2370 Parkwood Ave 0.55mi 4/1.5 2,772 (+8%) 11mo $240,400 $87 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$49,902
Equity at exit
$81,804
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
4.25×
Total profit
$136,382
Equity at exit
$138,608

Cash invested: $41,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43610

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $887/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,168
Max offer price $149,995
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,499
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,995 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,995 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,995 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,995 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,995 Active 155 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,995 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,995 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,995 Active 150 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,995 Active 149 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,995 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,995 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,995 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,995 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,995 Active 142 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,995 Active 141 DOM
  16. 2026-05-17
    price $149,995 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  17. 2026-04-29
    status Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  18. 2026-04-29
    price $154,900 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  19. 2026-04-28
    price $154,950 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  20. 2026-04-21
    historical Contingent 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  21. 2026-03-22
    price $154,995 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  22. 2026-01-09
    listed $159,995 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  23. 2026-01-04
    historical $159,995 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Dreaming of Old West End Living? Must see this wonderful & incredibly spacious 4 possibly 5 bedroom OWE home. 2 full baths. Features maintence free vinyl siding and Pella insulated replacement windows. Brand new gutters just installed, fresh paint inside, beautiful hardwood floors in almost every room, Custom built ins & beautiful fireplace. Dual staircase with one off living room & other off kitchen. White kitchen w/ ceramic tile floors, refrigerator & brand new dishwasher. New Boiler 7-8 years young. Large concrete driveway. Fenced backyard with 1.5 car garage. Low property taxes under $75/month. Agent owner.

  24. 2025-11-30
    historical
  25. 2025-10-14
    price $18,000
  26. 2025-10-14
    price $11,533
  27. 2025-10-08
    price $159,995
  28. 2025-09-24
    price $163,990
  29. 2025-09-18
    listed $163,995 Active
  30. 2025-09-10
    historical
  31. 2025-09-03
    status Active
  32. 2025-08-27
    historical Contingent
  33. 2025-07-04
    listed $164,995 Active
  34. 2025-06-28
    historical
  35. 2016-02-29
    soldstatus $11,533
  36. 2016-01-30
    price $23,900
  37. 2015-10-01
    listed $23,900
  38. 2015-09-28
    historical
  39. 2015-09-17
    listed $31,900
  40. 2014-05-07
    historical
  41. 2013-05-08
    historical
  42. 2013-05-07
    listed $42,000
  43. 2012-08-23
    listed $74,900
  44. 2010-06-22
    historical
  45. 2009-10-23
    listed $98,900
  46. 2008-12-20
    historical
  47. 2008-06-20
    listed $104,500
  48. 2007-11-19
    soldstatus $18,000
  49. 2007-08-21
    listed $19,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$887 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,613 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$727/yr (+$61/mo · 81.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,404
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$887
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,472
− Management
−$1,472
− Depreciation
−$4,363
Taxable income
$1,057
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$254
After-tax cash flow
$3,210/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas · 437,818 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,057
Household income
$38,369
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
15.7

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.65%
Current HPI
126.1457
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+653.7% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $149,995 NORIS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted NORIS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $154,900 NORIS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $154,950 NORIS
  • 2026-04-21 Contingent NORIS
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $154,995 NORIS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $159,995 NORIS
  • 2026-01-04 Coming Soon $159,995 NORIS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $18,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $11,533 NORIS
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $159,995 NORIS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $163,990 NORIS
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $163,995 NORIS
  • 2025-09-10 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2025-09-03 Relisted NORIS
  • 2025-08-27 Contingent NORIS
  • 2025-07-04 Listed $164,995 NORIS
  • 2025-06-28 Coming Soon NORIS
  • 2016-02-29 Sold (MLS) $11,533 NORIS
  • 2016-01-30 Price Changed $23,900 NORIS
  • 2015-10-01 Listed $23,900 NORIS
  • 2015-09-28 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2015-09-17 Listed $31,900 NORIS
  • 2014-05-07 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2013-05-08 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2013-05-07 Listed $42,000 NORIS
  • 2012-08-23 Listed $74,900 NORIS
  • 2010-06-22 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2009-10-23 Listed $98,900 NORIS
  • 2008-12-20 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2008-06-20 Listed $104,500 NORIS
  • 2007-11-19 Sold (MLS) $18,000 NORIS
  • 2007-08-21 Listed $19,900 NORIS

Property tax history

-5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $887 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…