🏗️ New Construction
LaBelle Plan · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -3.0
$165,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+ age qualified community. COMING SOON! Currently under construction. Welcome to Oak Bend, a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where your dream home is coming to life. We are excited to offer a stunning, brand new, beautiful, 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale, featuring approximately 1352 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space. Located in Ocala, this soon-to-be-completed property will offer the perfect blend of modern design and timeless comfort. Construction is underway, and soon you'll be able to step inside and experience an open-concept floor plan, high ceilings, and natural light. The large kitchen will be beautifully designed with stainless steel appliances and custom cabinetry, ideal for both everyday living and entertainment. The spacious primary suite will serve as a relaxing retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities and a walk-in closet. Additional bedrooms will provide flexibility for guests, a home office, or hobby space. Outside, the home will include beautiful low-maintenance landscaping, a covered patio, storage shed and large carport perfect for enjoying your outdoor space once construction is complete. Located in the desirable Oak Bend, residents enjoy access to a variety of premium amenities, including amenities such as a heated pool, fitness center, clubhouse, game room and more. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, I75, parks, public transportation and The Villages.
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- En-suite features
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $166k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (9.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 1.2% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 867 students, 54% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 1071 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.34% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -18.12%
- DSCR
- 0.19
- GRM
- 24.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $387,838
- List price
- $165,800
- Delta
- -57.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9745 SW 30th Ter | 0.97mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+5%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $141 | 55 |
| 9400 SW 30th Ave | 1.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,377 (+2%) | 9mo | $182,000 | $132 | 54 |
| 9850 SW 27th Ave | 0.82mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (+4%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $114 | 52 |
| 9529 SW 30th Ave | 1.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-1%) | 17mo | $86,500 | $64 | 50 |
| 8422 SW 41st Cir | 1.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (-7%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $178 | 48 |
| 10891 SW 41st Ave | 1.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+7%) | 11mo | $304,990 | $211 | 44 |
| 9731 SW 32nd Ct | 1.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-19%) | 0mo | $198,000 | $180 | 40 |
| 10498 SW 18th Ter | 0.83mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 10mo | $625,000 | $413 | 37 |
| 3859 SW 109th Ln | 1.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (+20%) | 4mo | $264,599 | $163 | 36 |
| 9494 SW 31st Ct | 1.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,475 (+9%) | 19mo | $244,900 | $166 | 30 |
| 4272 SW 108th Ln | 1.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+25%) | 14mo | $277,000 | $164 | 28 |
| 1744 SW 108th Ln Unit B | 0.97mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-14%) | 15mo | $105,000 | $90 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -55.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.58×
- Total profit
- $-171,138
- Equity at exit
- $57,828
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.75×
- Total profit
- $-298,357
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
Cash invested: $108,595 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active
- Median asking
- $165,850 ($122/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 1 d
- This list price
- 29% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +134.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34476
- Rents YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 1071
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,317 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,034
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$485 /mo · $5,818/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $-1,640
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,372 | -5% $-1,506 | +0% $-1,640 | +5% $-1,774 | +10% $-1,908 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,744 | -5% $-1,692 | +0% $-1,640 | +5% $-1,588 | +10% $-1,536 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,445 | -0.5pp $-1,541 | base $-1,640 | +0.5pp $-1,741 | +1.0pp $-1,843 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,960
- Closing costs
- $11,635
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3035 SW 108th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,399 | $1.00 | 70d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10948 SW 18th Ter Apt D Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 70d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1836 SW 109th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 70d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1658 SW 108th Ln #1 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,550 | $1.44 | 70d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3085 SW 97th St Unit 2 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,049 | $1.09 | 63d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9975 SW 39th Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $2,295 | $1.23 | 63d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $165,800 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $165,800 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $165,800 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $165,800 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $165,800 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $165,800 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $165,800 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-29pricedays on market $165,800 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $165,850 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $165,850 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $165,850 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $165,850 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $165,850 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $165,850 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $165,850 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $165,850 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $165,850 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $165,850 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $165,850 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $165,850 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $165,850 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $165,850 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $165,850 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $165,850 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $165,850 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $165,850 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $165,850 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $165,850 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $165,850 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $165,850 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $165,850 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $165,850 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $165,850 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $165,850 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-27pricedays on market $165,850 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-01$165,900 Active 1499-char remark
Show marketing remark (1499 chars)
55+ age qualified community. COMING SOON! Currently under construction. Welcome to Oak Bend, a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where your dream home is coming to life. We are excited to offer a stunning, brand new, beautiful, 2026 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale, featuring approximately 1352 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space. Located in Ocala, this soon-to-be-completed property will offer the perfect blend of modern design and timeless comfort. Construction is underway, and soon you'll be able to step inside and experience an open-concept floor plan, high ceilings, and natural light. The large kitchen will be beautifully designed with stainless steel appliances and custom cabinetry, ideal for both everyday living and entertainment. The spacious primary suite will serve as a relaxing retreat, complete with en-suite features like dual vanities and a walk-in closet. Additional bedrooms will provide flexibility for guests, a home office, or hobby space. Outside, the home will include beautiful low-maintenance landscaping, a covered patio, storage shed and large carport perfect for enjoying your outdoor space once construction is complete. Located in the desirable Oak Bend, residents enjoy access to a variety of premium amenities, including amenities such as a heated pool, fitness center, clubhouse, game room and more. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, I75, parks, public transportation and The Villages. Everything you need will be just minutes awa
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,725
- − Property taxes
- −$5,818
- − Insurance
- −$1,939
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$11,283
- Taxable loss
- −$27,491
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,598
- After-tax cash flow
- $-13,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 55+ age-qualified community home is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a good condition score and is located in a vibrant community with amenities like a pool and shuffleboard court.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 365,905 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,997
- Household income
- $65,860
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.22%
- Current HPI
- 189.0869
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.57%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $165,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…