4110 Derrick St · Sherwood Shores, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
Key facts
- Secluded lots
- Covered carport
- Large shade trees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks
Exterior
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Faces west; Slab foundation; Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Metal roof
- Construction: Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Fire pit; Exterior lighting; Workshop (outbuilding); Partial privacy fencing; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Oven; Range; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Vinyl windows; Other interior features; Electric oven and range connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (8.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.9% in Sherwood Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,519 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Kingston (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #70 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kingston Es (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 845 statewide, top 25%, 620 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Ms (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #57 of 345 statewide, top 18%, 286 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Hs (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 362 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 42 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; list at $255k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.62%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $156,305
- Equity at exit
- $229,724
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.25×
- Total profit
- $446,354
- Equity at exit
- $495,409
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73439
- Home prices YoY
- 12.3%
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,332 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,487/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $347 | +0% $275 | +5% $203 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $91 | -5% $183 | +0% $275 | +5% $367 | +10% $459 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $403 | -0.5pp $340 | base $275 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $255,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $255,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $255,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $255,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $255,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $259,000
-
2026-02-04$264,000 Active
-
2025-11-07historical $1,495
-
2025-10-29price $1,495
-
2025-10-03price $1,695
-
2025-09-19historical
-
2025-07-22price $279,000
-
2025-07-21price $285,000
-
2025-03-19$289,000 Active
-
2025-03-10$1,795
-
2022-03-25soldstatus $160,000 Closed 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2022-02-21status Pending 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2022-01-21status Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2022-01-08status Pending 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2022-01-05price $169,900 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2022-01-04status Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2021-10-25status Pending 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2021-09-20$175,000 Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!
-
2009-07-06soldstatus $54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,487 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,666 · $389/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,180/yr (+$265/mo · 213.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$1,487
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,239
- − Management
- −$2,239
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$957
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$230
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingston
- NCES district ID
- 4016590
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,655
- Composite
- 24.88/100
- National rank
- #7585
- State rank
- #70 of 270 in OK
Livability — Sherwood Shores
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1519
- US rank
- #25941
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,011
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,405 people
- By 2030
- 18,038 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 19,513 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 21,283 · +22.3%
- By 2075
- 27,884 · +60.2%
- By 2100
- 35,435 · +103.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.4) · D 17.7% · R 81.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -63.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+38.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.96%
- Current HPI
- 246.2253
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+379.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $259,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-04 Listed $264,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-07 Rental Removed $1,495 REDFIN
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $1,495 REDFIN
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $1,695 REDFIN
- 2025-09-19 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $279,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $285,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-19 Listed $289,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-10 Listed for Rent $1,795 REDFIN
- 2022-03-25 Sold (MLS) $160,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-02-21 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-01-21 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-01-08 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-01-05 Price Changed $169,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-01-04 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-10-25 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-09-20 Listed $175,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,487 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…