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4110 Derrick St
C Composite 56.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$255,000

4110 Derrick St · Sherwood Shores, TX 73439
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 126 Days on market
Built 1999 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

Key facts

  • Secluded lots
  • Covered carport
  • Large shade trees

Tags

COVERED CARPORTMETAL SHOP BUILDINGPARTIAL PRIVACY FENCESECLUDED LOTSLARGE SHADE TREESBOAT RAMPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces west; Slab foundation; Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Metal roof
  • Construction: Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Fire pit; Exterior lighting; Workshop (outbuilding); Partial privacy fencing; Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Oven; Range; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Vinyl windows; Other interior features; Electric oven and range connections
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (8.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.9% in Sherwood Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,519 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Kingston (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #70 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kingston Es (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 845 statewide, top 25%, 620 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Ms (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #57 of 345 statewide, top 18%, 286 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Hs (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 362 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 42 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; list at $255k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.59%
Cash-on-cash
4.62%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$156,305
Equity at exit
$229,724
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
7.25×
Total profit
$446,354
Equity at exit
$495,409

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 73439

Home prices YoY
12.3%
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,332 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,487/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,984
Max offer price $255,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $419 -5% $347 +0% $275 +5% $203 +10% $131
Rent -10% $91 -5% $183 +0% $275 +5% $367 +10% $459
Rate -1.0pp $403 -0.5pp $340 base $275 +0.5pp $209 +1.0pp $142

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $255,000 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $255,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $255,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $255,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $255,000 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $255,000 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $255,000 Active 117 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $255,000 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-04-16
    price $259,000
  11. 2026-02-04
    listed $264,000 Active
  12. 2025-11-07
    historical $1,495
  13. 2025-10-29
    price $1,495
  14. 2025-10-03
    price $1,695
  15. 2025-09-19
    historical
  16. 2025-07-22
    price $279,000
  17. 2025-07-21
    price $285,000
  18. 2025-03-19
    listed $289,000 Active
  19. 2025-03-10
    listed $1,795
  20. 2022-03-25
    soldstatus $160,000 Closed 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  21. 2022-02-21
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  22. 2022-01-21
    status Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  23. 2022-01-08
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  24. 2022-01-05
    price $169,900 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  25. 2022-01-04
    status Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  26. 2021-10-25
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  27. 2021-09-20
    listed $175,000 Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Come take a look at this well maintained home close to Cardinal Cove on Lake Texoma! Home is 3 bedrooms 2 full baths boast covered carport, metal shop building, built in fire pit, and partial privacy fence. Sitting on 2 secluded lots with large shade trees. Just blocks to boat ramps, restaurants, and sandy beaches of Texoma!

  28. 2009-07-06
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,487 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,666 · $389/mo
Expected delta
+$3,180/yr (+$265/mo · 213.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,985
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$1,487
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,239
− Management
−$2,239
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$230
After-tax cash flow
$3,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingston
NCES district ID
4016590
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,655
Composite
24.88/100
National rank
#7585
State rank
#70 of 270 in OK

Livability — Sherwood Shores

Score
49/100
State rank
#1519
US rank
#25941

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,011

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,405 people
By 2030
18,038 · +3.6%
By 2040
19,513 · +12.1%
By 2050
21,283 · +22.3%
By 2075
27,884 · +60.2%
By 2100
35,435 · +103.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.4) · D 17.7% · R 81.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -63.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+38.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.96%
Current HPI
246.2253
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+379.6% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $259,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $264,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-11-07 Rental Removed $1,495 REDFIN
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $1,495 REDFIN
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $1,695 REDFIN
  • 2025-09-19 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-22 Price Changed $279,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $285,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-03-19 Listed $289,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-03-10 Listed for Rent $1,795 REDFIN
  • 2022-03-25 Sold (MLS) $160,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-02-21 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-01-21 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-01-08 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-01-05 Price Changed $169,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-01-04 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-10-25 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-09-20 Listed $175,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2009-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,487 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…