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2940 Sun Spot Cir
D+ Composite 46.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,900

2940 Sun Spot Cir · Anchorage, AK 99507
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1984 3,484 sqft lot Est $381k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

At the end of a cul-de-sac, you'll find a charming 1302sf home with no HOA dues, raspberry bushes in the spacious backyard, an interior where you can cozy up to the fireplace, and a functional layout where everyone can have their own private space. Recent improvements include new bedroom windows that invite in natural light, a newer sliding glass door leading to the backyard, updated flooring, and fresh paint throughout the home's high-traffic areas for a refreshed feel where it matters most. Upstairs, you'll find the primary suite connected to the jack-and-jill bathroom; a modern vanity paired with a large mirror that adds a clean, updated touch to the space. Down the hall, you'll love the

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1984

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; No carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Attached property; Built in 1984
  • Construction: Block and wood frame construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt/composition shingle roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
  • Interior features: Wood stove

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-892/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Abbott Loop Elementary (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #128 of 156 statewide, top 86%, 248 students, 75% FRL); Hanshew Middle School (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #27 of 36 statewide, top 74%, 691 students, 42% FRL); Service High School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #21 of 61 statewide, top 33%, 1,544 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $264,040 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.97%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$381,486
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8020 Sabrina St 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,360 (+4%) 2mo $335,000 $246 77
8530 Gordon Cir 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,264 (-3%) 6mo $385,000 $305 76
7809 Moose Run Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,336 (+3%) 12mo $349,900 $262 73
7801 Spruce St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,372 (+5%) 5mo $319,500 $233 62
7811 Snow View Dr 0.26mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,428 (+10%) 9mo $305,995 $214 59
7721 Virda Lee Cir 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,216 (-7%) 13mo $285,000 $234 58
7680 Delridge Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,464 (+12%) 9mo $424,900 $290 55
7730 Little Bend Cir 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,166 (-10%) 3mo $367,900 $316 51
8921 Little Creek Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,464 (+12%) 12mo $470,000 $321 46
7711 Little Bend Cir 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,488 (+14%) 1mo $436,000 $293 45
7950 Casey Cir 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,437 (+10%) 11mo $450,000 $313 42
7324 Zurich St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,439 (+10%) 11mo $445,000 $309 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-49,028
Equity at exit
$49,189
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-8,488
Equity at exit
$28,524

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alaska
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; security deposits capped; courts moderate-paced.

ZIP-level market 99507

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,640 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax from tax record
$293 /mo · $3,513/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$554
Net cashflow
$-74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,735
Max offer price $316,766
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8124 Marsha Loop Anchorage, AK 3.0 2.5 1480 $2,700 $1.82 43d 1 0.09mi
2721 E 84th Ave Unit A Anchorage, AK 3.0 2.0 1376 $2,900 $2.11 23d 1 0.20mi
7330 Meadow St Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 1028 $2,399 $2.33 23d 1 0.92mi
2400 Sentry Dr Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 910 $1,700 $1.87 21d 1 0.93mi
7310 Chugach Meadows Loop Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 1028 $2,399 $2.33 21d 1 0.95mi
7308 Chugach Meadows Loop Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.5 1240 $2,550 $2.06 13d 1 0.95mi
6521 Baby Bear Dr Anchorage, AK 3.0 2.0 1503 $2,995 $1.99 43d 1 0.97mi
2969 Silver Chase Ct Anchorage, AK 3.0 2.0 1388 $2,700 $1.95 43d 1 1.38mi
701 E 78th Ave Unit 705 Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 1020 $2,450 $2.40 13d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $329,900 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $329,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-05-22
    listed $329,900 Active
  5. 2020-08-31
    soldstatus
  6. 2020-07-15
    status Pending
  7. 2020-07-10
    listed $255,000 Active
  8. 2013-09-13
    soldstatus
  9. 2013-07-18
    listed $229,000
  10. 2002-12-10
    soldstatus
  11. 1997-09-10
    soldstatus
  12. 1997-06-11
    listed $112,000
  13. 1997-05-19
    listed $114,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,513 · $293/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,720 · $310/mo
Expected delta
+$206/yr (+$17/mo · 5.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,685
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$3,513
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,535
− Management
−$2,535
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable loss
−$6,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,590
After-tax cash flow
$698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anchorage School District
NCES district ID
0200180
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$76,447
Composite
37.0/100
National rank
#4523
State rank
#6 of 21 in AK

Livability — Anchorage

Score
78/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anchorage, AK
County
Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
City population
218,117
Metro
Anchorage, AK
Population (ZIP)
37,301
Household income
$107,992
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,993 people
By 2030
321,771 · +2.2%
By 2040
335,493 · +6.5%
By 2050
352,799 · +12.0%
By 2075
414,771 · +31.7%
By 2100
474,485 · +50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Asian 16% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 6% Black 4% Pacific Islander 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage

2024 margin
D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
2016→2024 swing
+27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -216.29%
Current HPI
273.1227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.35%
Metro
Anchorage, AK
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+189.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $329,900 AKMLS
  • 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-07-15 Pending AKMLS
  • 2020-07-10 Listed $255,000 AKMLS
  • 2013-09-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-07-18 Listed $229,000 AKMLS
  • 2002-12-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-09-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-06-11 Listed $112,000 AKMLS
  • 1997-05-19 Listed $114,000 AKMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,513 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…