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1050 Dogwood Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1050 Dogwood Dr · Belmont, NC 28056
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 888 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1940

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Strategically located in Gastonia (28056), this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home offers a prime value-add opportunity for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Built in 1940 and situated on a generous 0.28-acre level lot, this 888 sqft property provides a solid foundation for a modern interior renovation. Gastonia is seeing significant rental demand. With average area rents for similar 3-bedroom homes at $1,500/month, this property is a strong candidate for a high-yield rental or a BRRRR strategy. The property is priced to allow for a comprehensive update, leaving a healthy margin for a retail exit in a low-inventory market. Minutes from the highly-rated North Belmont Elementary Schoo

Key facts

  • Ample outdoor space
  • Level lot
  • Built 1940

Tags

LEVEL LOTMODERN INTERIOR RENOVATIONQUIET RESIDENTIAL STREETAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$201,576) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.4% in Belmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#105 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $100k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
14.46%
Cash-on-cash
29.15%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$201,576
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
146 Staton Rd 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 881 (-1%) 2mo $200,000 $227 80

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$25,357
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$70,838
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28056

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
361
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $328/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $750
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $736 -5% $708 +0% $680 +5% $651 +10% $623
Rent -10% $552 -5% $616 +0% $680 +5% $743 +10% $807
Rate -1.0pp $730 -0.5pp $705 base $680 +0.5pp $654 +1.0pp $627

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Holly Cir Unit 9 Mt Holly, NC 2.0 1.5 986 $1,250 $1.27 25d 1 0.66mi
300 Holly Cir Unit 9 Mt Holly, NC 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 17d 1 0.66mi
106 Springs St Gastonia, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 25d 1 0.92mi
920 Old Hickory Grove Rd Mount Holly, NC 2.0 1.0 690 $1,450 $2.10 25d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-12
    listed $99,900 Active
  13. 1994-10-21
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$328 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$819 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$491/yr (+$41/mo · 149.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,328
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$328
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,546
− Management
−$1,546
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$6,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,657
After-tax cash flow
$6,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gaston County Schools
NCES district ID
3701620
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,644
Composite
36.39/100
National rank
#4680
State rank
#93 of 178 in NC

Livability — Belmont

Score
71/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#6753

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime D- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gaston County · 201,497 people
City population
26,556
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
36,200
Household income
$90,427
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,027 people
By 2030
237,300 · +3.2%
By 2040
249,659 · +8.5%
By 2050
257,806 · +12.1%
By 2075
272,163 · +18.3%
By 2100
268,652 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gaston

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -244.54%
Current HPI
231.6479
Rent YoY
▲ 1.94%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+162.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $99,900 FSBO.com
  • 1994-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $328 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…