🏷️ Likely Rental
1050 Dogwood Dr · Belmont, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Strategically located in Gastonia (28056), this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home offers a prime value-add opportunity for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Built in 1940 and situated on a generous 0.28-acre level lot, this 888 sqft property provides a solid foundation for a modern interior renovation. Gastonia is seeing significant rental demand. With average area rents for similar 3-bedroom homes at $1,500/month, this property is a strong candidate for a high-yield rental or a BRRRR strategy. The property is priced to allow for a comprehensive update, leaving a healthy margin for a retail exit in a low-inventory market. Minutes from the highly-rated North Belmont Elementary Schoo
Key facts
- Ample outdoor space
- Level lot
- Built 1940
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.4% in Belmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#105 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $100k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.15%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,576
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146 Staton Rd | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 881 (-1%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $227 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $25,357
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $70,838
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28056
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 361
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $328/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $680
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $736 | -5% $708 | +0% $680 | +5% $651 | +10% $623 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $552 | -5% $616 | +0% $680 | +5% $743 | +10% $807 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $730 | -0.5pp $705 | base $680 | +0.5pp $654 | +1.0pp $627 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Holly Cir Unit 9 Mt Holly, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 300 Holly Cir Unit 9 Mt Holly, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 106 Springs St Gastonia, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 920 Old Hickory Grove Rd Mount Holly, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,450 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$99,900 Active
-
1994-10-21soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $328 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 149.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$328
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,546
- − Management
- −$1,546
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $6,905
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,657
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gaston County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701620
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,644
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4680
- State rank
- #93 of 178 in NC
Livability — Belmont
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #6753
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gaston County · 201,497 people
- City population
- 26,556
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,200
- Household income
- $90,427
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 623.0
Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,027 people
- By 2030
- 237,300 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 249,659 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 257,806 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 272,163 · +18.3%
- By 2100
- 268,652 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gaston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- 0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -244.54%
- Current HPI
- 231.6479
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+162.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,900 FSBO.com
- 1994-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $328 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…