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2137 Bull Swamp Rd
D+ Composite 47.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$165,000

2137 Bull Swamp Rd · North, SC 29112
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,442 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market
Built 1984 Poor condition 4.90 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country Living very close to Calhoun County, St Matthews, and Orangeburg! Look at this lovely updated 4 bedroom 2 bath home! It sits off of the road on almost 5 acres with beautiful trees, trails, and a large rear deck. The entire home has newer plank flooring, newer paint, updated kitchen, updated bathrooms, a large mudroom/laundry room, and a very cool rustic fireplace. Lots of love to be had in this perfect private home. It shows amazing and will not last long! Call today for a showing!

Key facts

  • Nearly 5 acres
  • 4.9 acre lot
  • Built 1984

Tags

NEARLY 5 ACRESAMPLE SPACE FOR GARDENING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on approximately 4.9 acres

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior finish; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Wood-natural cabinets; Convection range
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath and ceiling fan (main level); Bedroom 2 with vinyl flooring (main level); Bedroom 3 with shared bath and vinyl flooring (main level); Bedroom 4 with shared bath and vinyl flooring (main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump on first level; Central cooling
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Convection range
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level utility/laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-467/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (3.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (15.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#280 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,418 (15.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.01%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$87,408
Equity at exit
$148,645
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
6.61×
Total profit
$259,392
Equity at exit
$320,559

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29112

Home prices YoY
11.7%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$-39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $159,375
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    remarks 658-char remark
  13. 2026-06-04
    listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,730
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,338
− Management
−$1,338
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$3,289
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$789
After-tax cash flow
$323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property presents a significant opportunity for extensive renovation, with major repairs needed to the exterior siding, roof, and landscaping. Improvements in these areas will significantly boost its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — The siding is visibly weathered and stained, indicating significant damage and the need for replacement.
  • Major roof — The roof appears aged and may need replacement, as indicated by the overall poor condition of the exterior.
  • Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and debris is scattered around the foundation, indicating a need for significant maintenance and improvement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale exterior siding replacement — Replacing the weathered siding will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall appearance, making it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Both landscaping and debris removal — A well-maintained exterior and clear of debris will enhance both the resale and rental value by presenting the property in a more appealing and professional manner.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · The siding is visibly weathered and stained, indicating significant damage and the need for replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
roof · The roof appears aged and may need replacement, as indicated by the overall poor condition of the exterior. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and debris is scattered around the foundation, indicating a need for significant maintenance and improvement. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale exterior siding replacement — Replacing the weathered siding will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall appearance, making it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Both landscaping and debris removal — A well-maintained exterior and clear of debris will enhance both the resale and rental value by presenting the property in a more appealing and professional manner.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — North

Score
57/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#21976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D- Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,718

Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,698 people
By 2030
78,615 · -4.9%
By 2040
69,308 · -16.2%
By 2050
60,629 · -26.7%
By 2075
42,678 · -48.4%
By 2100
28,136 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (50%)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 45% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.57%
Current HPI
234.04
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $165,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2020-04-20 Sold (MLS) $161,000 Charleston Trident MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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