3906 N 14th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$22,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 1,306 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1924
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
- Cap rate 46.0% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,114/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($152 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 141.83%
- DSCR
- 7.31
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3868 N 15th St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,233 (+1%) | 8mo | $70,500 | $57 | 88 |
| 2128 W Atkinson Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (-1%) | 6mo | $66,000 | $55 | 65 |
| 1508 W Concordia Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-2%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $126 | 65 |
| 4110 N 7th St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+6%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $73 | 62 |
| 4164 N 21st St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (-1%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $124 | 60 |
| 4215 N 19th St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,190 (-2%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $109 | 58 |
| 3311 N 8th St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,259 (+3%) | 2mo | $63,000 | $50 | 56 |
| 2234 W Melvina St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-8%) | 4mo | $98,000 | $87 | 54 |
| 3850 N 19th Pl | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,387 (+14%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $65 | 53 |
| 4182 N 13th St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,351 (+11%) | 5mo | $239,000 | $177 | 52 |
| 4332 N 15th St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,090 (-11%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 3815 N Vel R Phillips Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (-14%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $163 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.43×
- Total profit
- $64,258
- Equity at exit
- $19,819
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.17×
- Total profit
- $167,383
- Equity at exit
- $42,741
Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53206
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$115
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$28 /mo · $330/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $728
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,500
- Closing costs
- $660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3747 N 16th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $875 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3927-3929 N 17th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3646 N 19th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3911 N 20th St Unit 3913 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4048 N 7th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3908 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $895 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3600 N Vel R. Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3410 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1326 W Burleigh St Unit 1326 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3703 N 1st St Unit Upper-3705 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3058 N 11th St Unit 3058 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $945 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3901 N 27th St Unit 3907 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $895 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3025 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,125 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2955 N 17th St Unit B UPSTAIRS Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3373 N Richards St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 312 E Townsend St Unit 312 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $975 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3228 N Achilles St Unit 3228A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $895 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3156 N 1st St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3352 N Richards St Unit Second floor Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $845 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3039 N 24th Pl Unit 3039 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,195 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 500 W Hampton Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,165 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3255 N Buffum St Unit 3255 Upper Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3037 N 1st St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $990 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 223 E Burleigh St Unit 223 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4848 N Lydell Ave Glendale, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,622 | $1.48 | 4d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 605 E Auer Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2023-01-06status Pending
-
2023-01-03$22,000 Active
-
1993-08-01soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,369
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,232
- − Property taxes
- −$330
- − Insurance
- −$110
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,070
- − Management
- −$1,070
- − Depreciation
- −$640
- Taxable income
- $8,918
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,140
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,887
- Household income
- $29,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Norwegian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 133.03%
- Current HPI
- 397.7151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2023-01-06 Pending — METROMLS
- 2023-01-03 Listed $22,000 METROMLS
- 1993-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,376 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…