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C- Composite 54.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$22,000

3906 N 14th St · Milwaukee, WI 53206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,220 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1924 1,306 sqft lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 1,306 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1924

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
  • Cap rate 46.0% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,114/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($152 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.06%
Cap rate
46.01%
Cash-on-cash
141.83%
DSCR
7.31
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,980
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3868 N 15th St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,233 (+1%) 8mo $70,500 $57 88
2128 W Atkinson Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,210 (-1%) 6mo $66,000 $55 65
1508 W Concordia Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,190 (-2%) 3mo $150,000 $126 65
4110 N 7th St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+6%) 4mo $95,000 $73 62
4164 N 21st St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,205 (-1%) 6mo $150,000 $124 60
4215 N 19th St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,190 (-2%) 8mo $130,000 $109 58
3311 N 8th St 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,259 (+3%) 2mo $63,000 $50 56
2234 W Melvina St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-8%) 4mo $98,000 $87 54
3850 N 19th Pl 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,387 (+14%) 8mo $90,000 $65 53
4182 N 13th St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,351 (+11%) 5mo $239,000 $177 52
4332 N 15th St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,090 (-11%) 1mo $135,000 $124 51
3815 N Vel R Phillips Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,046 (-14%) 1mo $170,000 $163 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.43×
Total profit
$64,258
Equity at exit
$19,819
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
28.17×
Total profit
$167,383
Equity at exit
$42,741

Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53206

Rents YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$115
Tax est. 1.5%
$28 /mo · $330/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $192
Max offer price $22,000
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,500
Closing costs
$660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3747 N 16th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1200 $875 $0.73 43d 1 0.22mi
3927-3929 N 17th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 43d 1 0.22mi
3646 N 19th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 935 $1,100 $1.18 4d 1 0.40mi
3911 N 20th St Unit 3913 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 23d 1 0.47mi
4048 N 7th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 23d 1 0.47mi
3908 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 23d 1 0.50mi
3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.55mi
3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 885 $895 $1.01 43d 1 0.63mi
2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 17d 1 0.66mi
3600 N Vel R. Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 4d 1 0.75mi
3410 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 17d 1 0.79mi
1326 W Burleigh St Unit 1326 Lower Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 2d 1 0.89mi
3703 N 1st St Unit Upper-3705 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1034 $1,200 $1.16 43d 1 0.89mi
3058 N 11th St Unit 3058 Lower Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 840 $945 $1.12 23d 1 0.95mi
3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1065 $1,175 $1.10 4d 1 0.96mi
3901 N 27th St Unit 3907 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 715 $895 $1.25 23d 1 0.97mi
4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 17d 1 0.98mi
3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1212 $1,550 $1.28 4d 1 1.07mi
3025 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1153 $1,125 $0.98 43d 1 1.10mi
2955 N 17th St Unit B UPSTAIRS Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 17d 1 1.11mi
3373 N Richards St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 23d 1 1.16mi
312 E Townsend St Unit 312 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,250 $0.89 23d 1 1.18mi
4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1118 $975 $0.87 21d 1 1.19mi
3228 N Achilles St Unit 3228A Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 713 $895 $1.26 43d 1 1.19mi
3156 N 1st St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 43d 1 1.20mi
3352 N Richards St Unit Second floor Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.20mi
3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $845 $0.89 14d 1 1.24mi
2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.5 1098 $1,595 $1.45 2d 1 1.24mi
3039 N 24th Pl Unit 3039 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 16d 1 1.24mi
2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,195 $1.18 43d 1 1.27mi
500 W Hampton Ave Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 710 $1,165 $1.64 12d 1 1.29mi
3255 N Buffum St Unit 3255 Upper Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 43d 1 1.29mi
3037 N 1st St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 763 $990 $1.30 43d 1 1.29mi
223 E Burleigh St Unit 223 Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1153 $1,395 $1.21 43d 1 1.35mi
3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 43d 1 1.35mi
3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 23d 1 1.35mi
4848 N Lydell Ave Glendale, WI 2.0 2.0 1097 $1,622 $1.48 4d 2 1.45mi
605 E Auer Ave Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 10d 1 1.46mi
2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 17d 1 1.49mi
2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2023-01-06
    status Pending
  2. 2023-01-03
    listed $22,000 Active
  3. 1993-08-01
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,369
− Mortgage interest
−$1,232
− Property taxes
−$330
− Insurance
−$110
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,070
− Management
−$1,070
− Depreciation
−$640
Taxable income
$8,918
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,140
After-tax cash flow
$6,597/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
19,887
Household income
$29,336
Rent vs Own
67.8% rent · 32.2% own
Severe rent burden
2061.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Norwegian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 133.03%
Current HPI
397.7151
Rent YoY
▲ 8.28%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2023-01-06 Pending METROMLS
  • 2023-01-03 Listed $22,000 METROMLS
  • 1993-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,376 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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