1 Callaway St · Manchester, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CORNER LOT OPPORTUNITY! This 2BR/2BA home offers approximately 1,130 sqft with a flexible bonus room off the kitchen—ideal for a small bedroom, home office, or playroom. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, with no appliances currently in place. The home has seen numerous updates, including a durable metal roof, central heat and air system only 2 years old, vinyl siding and vinyl windows installed approximately 6 years ago. Electrical has been updated with a rewire after the current owner's purchase, and most of the plumbing has also been modernized. Exterior features include a fenced backyard, outbuilding for storage, and access to public utilities. Property is being sold “as is. ” Cash or conventional financing will be needed.
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Flexible bonus room
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 5.1% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Meriwether County (rural): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #144 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Meriwether County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Meriwether County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.23%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,334
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -0.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 3rd Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+6%) | 0mo | $78,000 | $78 | 59 |
| 19 Truitt St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,049 (+11%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $57 | 58 |
| 16 Poplar St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 880 (-7%) | 13mo | $10,000 | $11 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $84,452
- Equity at exit
- $67,476
- IRR
- 48.1%
- Equity multiple
- 11.22×
- Total profit
- $214,334
- Equity at exit
- $145,514
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31816
- Home prices YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $74,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $74,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $74,900 Price Change 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-20$79,900 Active 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (754 chars)
CORNER LOT OPPORTUNITY! This 2BR/2BA home offers approximately 1,130 sqft with a flexible bonus room off the kitchen-ideal for a small bedroom, home office, or playroom. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, with no appliances currently in place. The home has seen numerous updates, including a durable metal roof, central heat and air system only 2 years old, vinyl siding and vinyl windows installed approximately 6 years ago. Electrical has been updated with a rewire after the current owner's purchase, and most of the plumbing has also been modernized. Exterior features include a fenced backyard, outbuilding for storage, and access to public utilities. Property is being sold "as is." Cash or conventional financing will be needed.
-
2026-04-20$79,900 New 754-char remark
Show marketing remark (754 chars)
CORNER LOT OPPORTUNITY! This 2BR/2BA home offers approximately 1,130 sqft with a flexible bonus room off the kitchen-ideal for a small bedroom, home office, or playroom. The galley-style kitchen includes a pantry, with no appliances currently in place. The home has seen numerous updates, including a durable metal roof, central heat and air system only 2 years old, vinyl siding and vinyl windows installed approximately 6 years ago. Electrical has been updated with a rewire after the current owner's purchase, and most of the plumbing has also been modernized. Exterior features include a fenced backyard, outbuilding for storage, and access to public utilities. Property is being sold "as is." Cash or conventional financing will be needed.
-
2004-01-23soldstatus $25,400
-
1996-11-01soldstatus $33,500
-
1996-08-01soldstatus $16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $689 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$211/yr (+$18/mo · 44.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $7,440
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,786
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meriwether County
- NCES district ID
- 1303630
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,287
- Composite
- 16.59/100
- National rank
- #9175
- State rank
- #144 of 174 in GA
Livability — Manchester
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #23555
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manchester, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,872
Population outlook (Meriwether County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,554 people
- By 2030
- 18,482 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 16,204 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 14,030 · -28.2%
- By 2075
- 9,539 · -51.2%
- By 2100
- 6,136 · -68.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 48% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Meriwether
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 37.1% · R 62.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+5.7 2008: R+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.75%
- Current HPI
- 298.3716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+384.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $79,900 CBOR
- 2026-04-20 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2004-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $25,400 Public Records
- 1996-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
- 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…