CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1915 Campbell Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1915 Campbell Ave · Schenectady, NY 12306
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,874 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1910 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Multiple Offers - Deadline 2/5 at 6pm. If you're looking for an Investment property this one is the cats meoooow. .. The first floor is in need of work throughout. Bonus family room addition in the back. Upstairs was updated years ago and the current tenant takes the upmost care for it. There is a garage but it is a tear down. First floor and basement has a lot of ''things'' left behind and an offer taking the property ''as is'' is highly sought after.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $95,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$261,534) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 32.4% vs local median 6.3% in Schenectady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Schenectady High School (math 75% / reading 90%, grade A, #446 of 1,100 statewide, top 41%, 2,743 students, 71% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Schenectady City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,445/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 629% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.63%
Cap rate
32.38%
Cash-on-cash
93.16%
DSCR
5.15
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$261,534
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
429 Third St 0.13mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,720 (-5%) 10mo $180,000 $66 72
2220-2222 Campbell Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,620 (-9%) 3mo $260,000 $99 64
2122 Broadway 0.27mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,738 (-5%) 13mo $250,000 $91 64
2030 Euclid Ave 0.28mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,496 (-13%) 4mo $300,000 $120 57
1017 Hegeman St 0.45mi 5/2.0 2,568 (-11%) 13mo $322,000 $125 50
720 Congress St 0.52mi 5/3.0 3,042 (+6%) 14mo $62,500 $21 50
724 Congress St 0.53mi 5/3.0 2,844 (-1%) 24mo $170,000 $60 50
348 Olean St 0.65mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,456 (-14%) 14mo $400,000 $163 29
2641 Broadway 0.67mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,544 (-12%) 24mo $140,000 $55 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
94.0%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$116,181
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
96.8%
Equity multiple
11.18×
Total profit
$270,736
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12306

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,445 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$723
Net cashflow
$2,065

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 35%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,445

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1346 10th Ave Schenectady, NY 4.0 2.0 2350 $2,499 $1.06 14d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2023-03-29
    status Pending
  2. 2023-02-09
    status Pending
  3. 2023-02-03
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,340
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,307
− Management
−$3,307
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$24,740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,938
After-tax cash flow
$18,843/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Schenectady City School District
NCES district ID
3626010
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$39,453
Composite
30.2/100
National rank
#6309
State rank
#556 of 590 in NY

Livability — Schenectady

Score
78/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#2597

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Schenectady, NY
County
Schenectady County · 141,369 people
City population
141,369
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
27,865
Household income
$83,202
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
629.0

Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
155,046 people
By 2030
154,322 · -0.5%
By 2040
151,796 · -2.1%
By 2050
148,621 · -4.1%
By 2075
141,229 · -8.9%
By 2100
126,014 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.35%
Current HPI
292.1229
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2023-03-29 Pending Global MLS
  • 2023-02-09 Pending Global MLS
  • 2023-02-03 Listed $95,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,166 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…