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7208 Mount Morris Nunda Rd
C Composite 55.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

7208 Mount Morris Nunda Rd · Mount Morris, NY 14510
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1946 1.09 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey restaurant/bar, all equipment, furniture and accessories included, currently open for dinner on Fridays only

Key facts

  • Zoned residential
  • 1.09 acre lot
  • Parking

Tags

ZONED RESIDENTIALSPACIOUS 3-BEDROOM APARTMENTTWO 200-AMP ELECTRIC SERVICESUPDATED SEPTIC SYSTEMNEWER 1500-GALLON TANKSTRONG ROAD SIDE EXPOSURE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Circular driveway (additional parking)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Circuit breaker electrical service; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: 2-story existing residence; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Block and concrete construction; Year built: existing
  • Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Gravel driveway; Circular driveway; Corner, rectangular lot with 160 x 296 dimensions; Main thoroughfare frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5 (includes workshop — bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Workshop; Laminate and varied flooring; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,027 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mount Morris Central School District (town): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #537 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $815 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $100k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.26%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,151
Equity at exit
$24,997
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$20,200
Equity at exit
$27,009

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14510

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,872/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $913
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $99,900 Active
  16. 2012-09-20
    soldstatus $25,000
  17. 2007-02-22
    soldstatus $65,000 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Turnkey restaurant/bar, all equipment, furniture and accessories included, currently open for dinner on Fridays only

  18. 2007-02-22
    soldstatus $40,000
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Turnkey restaurant/bar, all equipment, furniture and accessories included, currently open for dinner on Fridays only

  19. 2006-06-01
    listed $69,900 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Turnkey restaurant/bar, all equipment, furniture and accessories included, currently open for dinner on Fridays only

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,872 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,872 · $156/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,821
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,872
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,026
− Management
−$1,026
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$103
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$25
After-tax cash flow
$1,496/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Morris Central School District
NCES district ID
3620010
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$42,913
Composite
32.93/100
National rank
#5596
State rank
#537 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mount Morris

Score
59/100
State rank
#1027
US rank
#20058

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,781

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,466 people
By 2030
61,966 · -2.4%
By 2040
58,398 · -8.0%
By 2050
54,955 · -13.4%
By 2075
49,958 · -21.3%
By 2100
43,944 · -30.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.4) · D 39.3% · R 60.7%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -21.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.4 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+7.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.82%
Current HPI
250.0593
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
  • 2012-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-22 Sold (MLS) $65,000 UNYREIS
  • 2006-06-01 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,872 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…