8290 Soda Bay Rd · Soda Bay, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 32 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Re-Imagined Cottage with Golf Course Views in Exclusive Buckingham! Tucked away off the road and surrounded by nature, this beautifully remodeled two bedroom, one bath home offers the quintessential blend of comfort, style, and serenity. Completely rebuilt from the ground up to modern code—including energy efficiency upgrades and a full fire sprinkler system—this property is both thoughtfully enhanced and safety-minded, with multiple damaged trees removed over the years to reduce fire risk and support peace of mind. Inside, an open floor plan is filled with natural light and complemented by a stylish spiral staircase leading to a versatile bonus loft—ideal for storage or even more sleeping space. An enclosed laundry room provides additional storage as well and adds everyday convenience. Expansive windows showcase picturesque views of the Buckingham Golf Course and a nearby pond, seamlessly blending indoor and outdoor living. High-quality finishes throughout add warmth and character, while sliding glass doors open to a spacious wrap-around deck— ideal for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or entertaining with nature as your backdrop. The landscaped grounds feature an in-and-out asphalt driveway, reinforced retaining walls, and a concrete pad providing additional level parking. A paver stone stairwell offers convenient entry to the lower portion of the property. As part of the Buckingham HOA, you’ll enjoy the use of a private boat launch, beach, dock, and clubhouse. With quick access to the nine hole golf course and Frisbee golf, this turnkey Buckingham gem is perfect as a peaceful full-time residence or a rejuvenating weekend escape—offering privacy, natural beauty, and modern convenience all in one.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Bonus loft
- Spiral staircase
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-182 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (12.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (24.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Soda Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#595 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Kelseyville Unified (town): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,150 of 1,400 in CA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Riviera Elementary (223 students, 60% FRL); Mountain Vista Middle (375 students, 76% FRL); Kelseyville High (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #811 of 1,170 statewide, top 70%, 540 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $265k implies a 349% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.94%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $342,898
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -22.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2984 Buckingham Dr | 0.06mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+2%) | 12mo | $365,000 | $343 | 70 |
| 3095 S Lake Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 | 1,176 (+13%) | 6mo | $338,000 | $287 | 62 |
| 2724 Buckingham Dr | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 11mo | $415,000 | $371 | 54 |
| 2510 Westlake Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+13%) | 20mo | $330,000 | $281 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-54,548
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-62,488
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95451
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,873/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$18
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $-182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-32 | -5% $-107 | +0% $-182 | +5% $-257 | +10% $-332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-340 | -5% $-261 | +0% $-182 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-24 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-49 | -0.5pp $-115 | base $-182 | +0.5pp $-251 | +1.0pp $-321 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3565 Idlewood Dr Kelseyville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7095 Fairview Dr Kelseyville, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $18 · $216/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $265,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $265,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $265,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $265,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $265,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $265,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $265,000 1775-char remark
Show marketing remark (1775 chars)
Charming Re-Imagined Cottage with Golf Course Views in Exclusive Buckingham! Tucked away off the road and surrounded by nature, this beautifully remodeled two bedroom, one bath home offers the quintessential blend of comfort, style, and serenity. Completely rebuilt from the ground up to modern code—including energy efficiency upgrades and a full fire sprinkler system—this property is both thoughtfully enhanced and safety-minded, with multiple damaged trees removed over the years to reduce fire risk and support peace of mind. Inside, an open floor plan is filled with natural light and complemented by a stylish spiral staircase leading to a versatile bonus loft—ideal for storage or even more sleeping space. An enclosed laundry room provides additional storage as well and adds everyday convenience. Expansive windows showcase picturesque views of the Buckingham Golf Course and a nearby pond, seamlessly blending indoor and outdoor living. High-quality finishes throughout add warmth and character, while sliding glass doors open to a spacious wrap-around deck— ideal for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or entertaining with nature as your backdrop. The landscaped grounds feature an in-and-out asphalt driveway, reinforced retaining walls, and a concrete pad providing additional level parking. A paver stone stairwell offers convenient entry to the lower portion of the property. As part of the Buckingham HOA, you’ll enjoy the use of a private boat launch, beach, dock, and clubhouse. With quick access to the nine hole golf course and Frisbee golf, this turnkey Buckingham gem is perfect as a peaceful full-time residence or a rejuvenating weekend escape—offering privacy, natural beauty, and modern convenience all in one.
-
2026-01-28price $275,000 1775-char remark
Show marketing remark (1775 chars)
Charming Re-Imagined Cottage with Golf Course Views in Exclusive Buckingham! Tucked away off the road and surrounded by nature, this beautifully remodeled two bedroom, one bath home offers the quintessential blend of comfort, style, and serenity. Completely rebuilt from the ground up to modern code—including energy efficiency upgrades and a full fire sprinkler system—this property is both thoughtfully enhanced and safety-minded, with multiple damaged trees removed over the years to reduce fire risk and support peace of mind. Inside, an open floor plan is filled with natural light and complemented by a stylish spiral staircase leading to a versatile bonus loft—ideal for storage or even more sleeping space. An enclosed laundry room provides additional storage as well and adds everyday convenience. Expansive windows showcase picturesque views of the Buckingham Golf Course and a nearby pond, seamlessly blending indoor and outdoor living. High-quality finishes throughout add warmth and character, while sliding glass doors open to a spacious wrap-around deck— ideal for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or entertaining with nature as your backdrop. The landscaped grounds feature an in-and-out asphalt driveway, reinforced retaining walls, and a concrete pad providing additional level parking. A paver stone stairwell offers convenient entry to the lower portion of the property. As part of the Buckingham HOA, you’ll enjoy the use of a private boat launch, beach, dock, and clubhouse. With quick access to the nine hole golf course and Frisbee golf, this turnkey Buckingham gem is perfect as a peaceful full-time residence or a rejuvenating weekend escape—offering privacy, natural beauty, and modern convenience all in one.
-
2025-10-02price $285,000 1775-char remark
Show marketing remark (1775 chars)
Charming Re-Imagined Cottage with Golf Course Views in Exclusive Buckingham! Tucked away off the road and surrounded by nature, this beautifully remodeled two bedroom, one bath home offers the quintessential blend of comfort, style, and serenity. Completely rebuilt from the ground up to modern code—including energy efficiency upgrades and a full fire sprinkler system—this property is both thoughtfully enhanced and safety-minded, with multiple damaged trees removed over the years to reduce fire risk and support peace of mind. Inside, an open floor plan is filled with natural light and complemented by a stylish spiral staircase leading to a versatile bonus loft—ideal for storage or even more sleeping space. An enclosed laundry room provides additional storage as well and adds everyday convenience. Expansive windows showcase picturesque views of the Buckingham Golf Course and a nearby pond, seamlessly blending indoor and outdoor living. High-quality finishes throughout add warmth and character, while sliding glass doors open to a spacious wrap-around deck— ideal for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or entertaining with nature as your backdrop. The landscaped grounds feature an in-and-out asphalt driveway, reinforced retaining walls, and a concrete pad providing additional level parking. A paver stone stairwell offers convenient entry to the lower portion of the property. As part of the Buckingham HOA, you’ll enjoy the use of a private boat launch, beach, dock, and clubhouse. With quick access to the nine hole golf course and Frisbee golf, this turnkey Buckingham gem is perfect as a peaceful full-time residence or a rejuvenating weekend escape—offering privacy, natural beauty, and modern convenience all in one.
-
2025-08-24price $295,000 1775-char remark
Show marketing remark (1775 chars)
Charming Re-Imagined Cottage with Golf Course Views in Exclusive Buckingham! Tucked away off the road and surrounded by nature, this beautifully remodeled two bedroom, one bath home offers the quintessential blend of comfort, style, and serenity. Completely rebuilt from the ground up to modern code—including energy efficiency upgrades and a full fire sprinkler system—this property is both thoughtfully enhanced and safety-minded, with multiple damaged trees removed over the years to reduce fire risk and support peace of mind. Inside, an open floor plan is filled with natural light and complemented by a stylish spiral staircase leading to a versatile bonus loft—ideal for storage or even more sleeping space. An enclosed laundry room provides additional storage as well and adds everyday convenience. Expansive windows showcase picturesque views of the Buckingham Golf Course and a nearby pond, seamlessly blending indoor and outdoor living. High-quality finishes throughout add warmth and character, while sliding glass doors open to a spacious wrap-around deck— ideal for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or entertaining with nature as your backdrop. The landscaped grounds feature an in-and-out asphalt driveway, reinforced retaining walls, and a concrete pad providing additional level parking. A paver stone stairwell offers convenient entry to the lower portion of the property. As part of the Buckingham HOA, you’ll enjoy the use of a private boat launch, beach, dock, and clubhouse. With quick access to the nine hole golf course and Frisbee golf, this turnkey Buckingham gem is perfect as a peaceful full-time residence or a rejuvenating weekend escape—offering privacy, natural beauty, and modern convenience all in one.
-
2025-08-02$310,000 Active 1775-char remark
Show marketing remark (1775 chars)
Charming Re-Imagined Cottage with Golf Course Views in Exclusive Buckingham! Tucked away off the road and surrounded by nature, this beautifully remodeled two bedroom, one bath home offers the quintessential blend of comfort, style, and serenity. Completely rebuilt from the ground up to modern code—including energy efficiency upgrades and a full fire sprinkler system—this property is both thoughtfully enhanced and safety-minded, with multiple damaged trees removed over the years to reduce fire risk and support peace of mind. Inside, an open floor plan is filled with natural light and complemented by a stylish spiral staircase leading to a versatile bonus loft—ideal for storage or even more sleeping space. An enclosed laundry room provides additional storage as well and adds everyday convenience. Expansive windows showcase picturesque views of the Buckingham Golf Course and a nearby pond, seamlessly blending indoor and outdoor living. High-quality finishes throughout add warmth and character, while sliding glass doors open to a spacious wrap-around deck— ideal for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or entertaining with nature as your backdrop. The landscaped grounds feature an in-and-out asphalt driveway, reinforced retaining walls, and a concrete pad providing additional level parking. A paver stone stairwell offers convenient entry to the lower portion of the property. As part of the Buckingham HOA, you’ll enjoy the use of a private boat launch, beach, dock, and clubhouse. With quick access to the nine hole golf course and Frisbee golf, this turnkey Buckingham gem is perfect as a peaceful full-time residence or a rejuvenating weekend escape—offering privacy, natural beauty, and modern convenience all in one.
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2015-05-01soldstatus $59,000 Sold 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
PYRAMID TREE HOUSE, unfortunately fire damaged, but an opportunity for a new owner. Worst home in a great sought-after area. Over a third of an acre of privacy with views of Borax Lake through the trees. Wrap around deck. Circular driveway. Short walk to the golf course. Community beach and club house.
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2015-05-01soldstatus $59,000 Closed Sale
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
PYRAMID TREE HOUSE, unfortunately fire damaged, but an opportunity for a new owner. Worst home in a great sought-after area. Over a third of an acre of privacy with views of Borax Lake through the trees. Wrap around deck. Circular driveway. Short walk to the golf course. Community beach and club house.
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2015-05-01soldstatus $59,000
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
PYRAMID TREE HOUSE, unfortunately fire damaged, but an opportunity for a new owner. Worst home in a great sought-after area. Over a third of an acre of privacy with views of Borax Lake through the trees. Wrap around deck. Circular driveway. Short walk to the golf course. Community beach and club house.
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2015-04-27historical Pending 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
PYRAMID TREE HOUSE, unfortunately fire damaged, but an opportunity for a new owner. Worst home in a great sought-after area. Over a third of an acre of privacy with views of Borax Lake through the trees. Wrap around deck. Circular driveway. Short walk to the golf course. Community beach and club house.
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2015-03-30status Contingent 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
PYRAMID TREE HOUSE, unfortunately fire damaged, but an opportunity for a new owner. Worst home in a great sought-after area. Over a third of an acre of privacy with views of Borax Lake through the trees. Wrap around deck. Circular driveway. Short walk to the golf course. Community beach and club house.
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2015-03-30historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
PYRAMID TREE HOUSE, unfortunately fire damaged, but an opportunity for a new owner. Worst home in a great sought-after area. Over a third of an acre of privacy with views of Borax Lake through the trees. Wrap around deck. Circular driveway. Short walk to the golf course. Community beach and club house.
-
2015-03-12$59,000 Active 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
PYRAMID TREE HOUSE, unfortunately fire damaged, but an opportunity for a new owner. Worst home in a great sought-after area. Over a third of an acre of privacy with views of Borax Lake through the trees. Wrap around deck. Circular driveway. Short walk to the golf course. Community beach and club house.
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2015-02-23$59,000 Active
-
2002-10-04soldstatus $160,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,873 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,873 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,932
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$2,873
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,915
- − Management
- −$1,915
- − HOA
- −$216
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$6,864
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,647
- After-tax cash flow
- $-537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kelseyville Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0619320
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,210
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #12920
- State rank
- #1150 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Soda Bay
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #19239
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 24,333 people
- Metro
- Clearlake, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,592
- Household income
- $62,568
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 194.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,396 people
- By 2030
- 60,626 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 56,453 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 53,054 · -15.0%
- By 2075
- 47,663 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 41,804 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 11% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 28% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.2% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.45%
- Current HPI
- 168.6995
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Clearlake, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+65.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $265,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $275,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $285,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed $295,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-02 Listed $310,000 CRMLS
- 2015-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-01 Sold (MLS) $59,000 CRMLS
- 2015-05-01 Sold (MLS) $59,000 BAREIS
- 2015-04-27 Delisted — BAREIS
- 2015-03-30 Pending — BAREIS
- 2015-03-30 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2015-03-12 Listed $59,000 BAREIS
- 2015-02-23 Listed $59,000 CRMLS
- 2002-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,873 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…