1240 E Business Hwy 83 Lot 6 · Mission, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 94.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Mobile Home and land included! 55Plus Community, with community amenities. 3 Bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a bonus room, outdoor storage and RV Covered Parking. This mobile home is move in ready with furniture and appliance included. Come and make this home your own. Price is negotiable.
Key facts
- Outdoor storage
- Community amenities
- Move in ready
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 3.5% in Mission — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#148 in TX, #4,155 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mission CISD (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #775 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 852 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.92%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,467
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -2.70%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Tropical Circle Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (+3%) | 1mo | $39,900 | $30 | 88 |
| 416 Sagittarius St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-1%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $70 | 85 |
| 1510 E Business 83 Unit B16 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,164 (-11%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $50 | 63 |
| 1510 E Business Hwy 83 | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,360 (+4%) | 22mo | $69,900 | $51 | 59 |
| 1516 St Augustine Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-12%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $127 | 50 |
| 1203 Angela Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-14%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $107 | 31 |
| 2011 Loker Ave | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,432 (+10%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $70 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $14,362
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $42,021
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78572
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 852
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $497
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $558 | -5% $527 | +0% $497 | +5% $466 | +10% $435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $441 | +0% $497 | +5% $552 | +10% $608 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $542 | -0.5pp $519 | base $497 | +0.5pp $474 | +1.0pp $450 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1511 Evergreen Ave Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 101 San Jose Dr Apt 4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 101 San Jose Dr Apt 4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 101 San Jose Dr Apt 3 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 105 San Jose Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,345 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 105 San Jose Dr Unit 4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 105 San Jose Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,345 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 600 San Antonio Ave Unit 7 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $880 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 606 San Antonio Ave Unit 1 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 606 San Antonio Ave Unit 4 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 606 San Antonio Ave Unit 606-4 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 103 Yosemite Dr Unit 2 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,375 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 100 Yosemite Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2004 Angus St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $975 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2105 Selena St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1822 Sunset Dr Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1631 | $1,850 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2002 E 1st St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2007 Cassandra St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1923 Sunset Dr Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 720 Ragland Rd #8 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 800 Ragland Rd Unit 9 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 800 Ragland Rd Unit 10 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1927 Sunset Dr Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1801 Crown Pointe Blvd Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1006 Fairway Dr Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,100 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2008 Selena St Unit 3 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 104 Sunflower St Unit 5 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1707 Highland Park Ave Unit 4-B Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1801 Highland Park Ave Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1173 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 19d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 816 Travis St Mission, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,215 | $1.28 | 44d | 12 | 0.96mi |
| 108 N Dove St Unit 3 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2112 Cassandra St Unit 2 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,395 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 813 Travis St #207 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 813 Travis St #408 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,800 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1827 Highland Park Ave Unit 1 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 900 Travis St Mission, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1053 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1901 N Glasscock Rd Unit 17-A Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $950 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1901 N Glasscock Rd Lot 61 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $526 | $0.55 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2210 E 1st St Unit 22 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2210 E 1st St Unit 11 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1130 | $1,300 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-03-25$89,000 Active 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Mobile Home and land included! 55Plus Community, with community amenities. 3 Bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a bonus room, outdoor storage and RV Covered Parking. This mobile home is move in ready with furniture and appliance included. Come and make this home your own. Price is negotiable.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,887
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $4,831
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,159
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and could be replaced
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated and could be updated
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom
- Both paint interior walls — improves appearance and value
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and could be replaced | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and could be updated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom ↑
- Both paint interior walls — improves appearance and value ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mission CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831040
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,855
- Composite
- 17.47/100
- National rank
- #9061
- State rank
- #775 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mission
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #4155
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mission, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 78,024
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,024
- Household income
- $54,298
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 47% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 80%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Portuguese 0%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 76%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.35%
- Current HPI
- 209.3573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.93%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $89,000 MCALLENMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…