1240 E Business Hwy 83 Lot 6 · Mission, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 94.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.4
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Mobile Home and land included! 55Plus Community, with community amenities. 3 Bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a bonus room, outdoor storage and RV Covered Parking. This mobile home is move in ready with furniture and appliance included. Come and make this home your own. Price is negotiable.
Key facts
- Outdoor storage
- Community amenities
- Move in ready
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.7% in Mission — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#148 in TX, #4,155 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Mission CISD (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #775 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bryan El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 651 students, 71% FRL); Mission J H (math 13% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 680 students, 78% FRL); Veterans Memorial H S (math 19% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,073 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 1,932 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1115 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.37%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,950
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -16.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Tropical Circle Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (+3%) | 4mo | $39,900 | $30 | 85 |
| 416 Sagittarius St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-1%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $70 | 82 |
| 1510 E Business 83 Unit B16 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,164 (-11%) | 7mo | $58,000 | $50 | 60 |
| 1516 St Augustine Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-12%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $127 | 48 |
| 1203 Angela Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-14%) | 17mo | $120,000 | $107 | 29 |
| 2011 Loker Ave | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,432 (+10%) | 24mo | $100,000 | $70 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $6,168
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $23,261
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $112,500 ($92/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 109 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -25.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78572
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1115
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,063 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $321
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $347 | +0% $321 | +5% $296 | +10% $270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $237 | -5% $279 | +0% $321 | +5% $363 | +10% $405 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $359 | -0.5pp $341 | base $321 | +0.5pp $302 | +1.0pp $282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1511 Evergreen Ave Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1286 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 139d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 101 San Jose Dr Apt 4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 119d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 101 San Jose Dr Apt 3 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 139d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 101 San Jose Dr Apt 4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 139d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 103 San Jose Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 62d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 105 San Jose Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,345 | $1.13 | 115d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 105 San Jose Dr Unit 4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 139d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 105 San Jose Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,345 | $1.13 | 110d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 614 San Antonio Ave Apt 7 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 62d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 600 San Antonio Ave Unit 7 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 62d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 600 San Antonio Ave Unit 7 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $880 | $0.98 | 139d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 606 San Antonio Ave Unit 1 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 119d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 102 San Jose Dr Unit 102-4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,425 | $1.05 | 62d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 102 San Jose Dr Unit 4 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,425 | $1.05 | 6d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 105 San Jose Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 6d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 606 San Antonio Ave Unit 4 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 117d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 606 San Antonio Ave Unit 606-4 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 139d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 103 Yosemite Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,375 | $1.23 | 62d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 103 Yosemite Dr Unit 2 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,375 | $1.23 | 139d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 107 San Jose Dr Apt 3 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,150 | $1.29 | 62d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 100 Yosemite Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 139d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 102 Yosemite Dr Unit 2 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,325 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 102 Yosemite Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,325 | $1.19 | 62d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 117 Keystone St Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1129 | $1,300 | $1.15 | 62d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2004 Angus St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $975 | $0.85 | 139d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2105 Selena St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 110d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1822 Sunset Dr Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1631 | $1,850 | $1.13 | 110d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2002 E 1st St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 139d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1106 Ursula St Unit 2 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $900 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2007 Cassandra St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 0d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1923 Sunset Dr Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 117d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 720 Ragland Rd #8 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 119d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 720 Ragland Rd #9 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 800 Ragland Rd Unit 10 Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 139d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 800 Ragland Rd Unit 9 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 139d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1927 Sunset Dr Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 140d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1801 Crown Pointe Blvd Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1801 Crown Pointe Blvd Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 110d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1027 Fairway Dr Unit 1 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 62d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2010 Selena St Unit 1 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $75,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $75,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $75,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $75,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $75,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $75,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $75,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $75,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-09-16pricedays on market $75,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $89,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $89,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $89,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $89,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $89,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $89,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $89,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $89,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $89,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $89,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $89,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $89,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $89,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $89,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $89,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $89,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $89,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $89,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $89,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $89,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $89,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $89,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $89,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $89,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $89,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $89,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $89,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $89,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $89,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $89,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $89,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $89,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $89,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $89,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $89,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $89,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $89,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $89,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $89,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $89,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $89,000 Active 122 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,832
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$680
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and could be replaced
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated and could be updated
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom ↑
- Both paint interior walls — improves appearance and value ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mission CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831040
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,855
- Composite
- 17.47/100
- National rank
- #9061
- State rank
- #775 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mission
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #4155
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mission, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 955,232 people
- City population
- 78,024
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,024
- Household income
- $54,298
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 47% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 80%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Portuguese 0%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 76%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.35%
- Current HPI
- 209.3573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.93%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $89,000 MCALLENMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…