516 Crawford Ave · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quaint and affordable Altoona home for sale! On the first floor you will find a large living room and an eat in kitchen. There is brand new carpeting throughout the home! There is also an enclosed front AND back porch! The house is set back from the street just a bit, giving you the perfect opportunity for the cutest front garden you could dream of. Upstairs, you will find two bedrooms, one bath, and a bonus area. The attic can be used for additional storage. Out back is a carport for an off-street parking opportunity! Don't wait, this cutie is priced to sell!
Key facts
- Enclosed back porch
- Eat in kitchen
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $70k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.74%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,769
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -22.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Pearl St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,497 (+11%) | 4mo | $89,900 | $60 | 65 |
| 224 E 3rd Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,377 (+2%) | 0mo | $98,700 | $72 | 64 |
| 705 2nd Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,503 (+12%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $47 | 63 |
| 414 Grant Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,518 (+13%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $72 | 63 |
| 308 Crawford Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,504 (+12%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $68 | 61 |
| 224 Hudson Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $142 | 58 |
| 1313 Grant Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,371 (+2%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $179 | 58 |
| 210 Crawford Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (+14%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $95 | 54 |
| 412 E Logan Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,302 (-3%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $162 | 53 |
| 921 6th Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,172 (-13%) | 1mo | $13,000 | $11 | 52 |
| 409 2nd St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (-15%) | 1mo | $12,500 | $11 | 51 |
| 1018 S 10th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-12%) | 3mo | $131,900 | $112 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $7,123
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $30,011
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16602
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,123/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $329 | -5% $309 | +0% $289 | +5% $270 | +10% $250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $250 | +0% $289 | +5% $328 | +10% $367 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $307 | base $289 | +0.5pp $271 | +1.0pp $253 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,277 | $1.31 | 44d | 9 | 1.19mi |
| 2015 12th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $69,900 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Quaint and affordable Altoona home for sale! On the first floor you will find a large living room and an eat in kitchen. There is brand new carpeting throughout the home! There is also an enclosed front AND back porch! The house is set back from the street just a bit, giving you the perfect opportunity for the cutest front garden you could dream of. Upstairs, you will find two bedrooms, one bath, and a bonus area. The attic can be used for additional storage. Out back is a carport for an off-street parking opportunity! Don't wait, this cutie is priced to sell!
-
2026-03-16price $74,900 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Quaint and affordable Altoona home for sale! On the first floor you will find a large living room and an eat in kitchen. There is brand new carpeting throughout the home! There is also an enclosed front AND back porch! The house is set back from the street just a bit, giving you the perfect opportunity for the cutest front garden you could dream of. Upstairs, you will find two bedrooms, one bath, and a bonus area. The attic can be used for additional storage. Out back is a carport for an off-street parking opportunity! Don't wait, this cutie is priced to sell!
-
2026-02-24price $79,900 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Quaint and affordable Altoona home for sale! On the first floor you will find a large living room and an eat in kitchen. There is brand new carpeting throughout the home! There is also an enclosed front AND back porch! The house is set back from the street just a bit, giving you the perfect opportunity for the cutest front garden you could dream of. Upstairs, you will find two bedrooms, one bath, and a bonus area. The attic can be used for additional storage. Out back is a carport for an off-street parking opportunity! Don't wait, this cutie is priced to sell!
-
2026-02-09$89,900 Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Quaint and affordable Altoona home for sale! On the first floor you will find a large living room and an eat in kitchen. There is brand new carpeting throughout the home! There is also an enclosed front AND back porch! The house is set back from the street just a bit, giving you the perfect opportunity for the cutest front garden you could dream of. Upstairs, you will find two bedrooms, one bath, and a bonus area. The attic can be used for additional storage. Out back is a carport for an off-street parking opportunity! Don't wait, this cutie is priced to sell!
-
2015-10-23soldstatus $32,000 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Clean 2-3 bedroom home. Offers newer carpets, newer roof, 1.5 carport. Large eat in kitchen. Just move in!
-
2015-09-22$37,900 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Clean 2-3 bedroom home. Offers newer carpets, newer roof, 1.5 carport. Large eat in kitchen. Just move in!
-
2013-07-31soldstatus $34,650
-
2013-07-26soldstatus $34,650
-
2013-01-21$34,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,123 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,123 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,828
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,123
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$946
- − Management
- −$946
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,869/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,352
- Household income
- $55,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 740.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.37%
- Current HPI
- 212.2268
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+100.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $69,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $74,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $79,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $89,900 AHARMLS
- 2015-10-23 Sold (MLS) $32,000 AHARMLS
- 2015-09-22 Listed $37,900 AHARMLS
- 2013-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $34,650 Public Records
- 2013-07-26 Sold (MLS) $34,650 AHARMLS
- 2013-01-21 Listed $34,900 AHARMLS
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,123 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…